Texas Winter 2013-2014

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TheProfessor
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Re: Re:

#3321 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Jan 06, 2014 4:21 pm

Wntrwthrguy wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:Temperature wise been sitting at 39F since this morning....12zECMWF forecast up to 1/2'' of snow for my area late tonight early morning. Hopefully the atmosphere con moisten up a bit later this evening into tonight!


Oh, I'm sure you'll probably get something. Everybody in this state gets something except for me and my Austin peeps. We get the shaft every time. :(

Going on three years now without even a freezing drizzle storm or any type of winter weather event. Last one was early February 2011 with less than an inch of combined snow/sleet/freezing drizzle.

That Omega block which aggiecutter placed on Austin is impenetrable.


Yep. Exactly how I feel. That just means we should be due for a big storm sometime soon.


Hopefully that big storm includes the metroplex as well.
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Re: Re:

#3322 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 4:29 pm

hriverajr wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:28 of the 50 12zECMWF Ensembles are forecasting at least a trace of snow in and around McAllen for Monday Night into Tuesday Morning. I at least want to see a snow flurry! lol

I am hoping for some Virga on radar tomorrow. Seems a bit of a disturbance has formed south of the baja. It is mostly Cirrus, but I will be watching it just for grins.It is completely overcast here (Del Rio), cloud cover is supposed to erode. :P


I'm starting to see a little bit of Virga on Radar! :P

Sorry would provide a saved pic but I'm at work right now so here is the link.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=bro
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Re: Re:

#3323 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 4:32 pm

Wntrwthrguy wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:Temperature wise been sitting at 39F since this morning....12zECMWF forecast up to 1/2'' of snow for my area late tonight early morning. Hopefully the atmosphere con moisten up a bit later this evening into tonight!


Oh, I'm sure you'll probably get something. Everybody in this state gets something except for me and my Austin peeps. We get the shaft every time. :(

Going on three years now without even a freezing drizzle storm or any type of winter weather event. Last one was early February 2011 with less than an inch of combined snow/sleet/freezing drizzle.

That Omega block which aggiecutter placed on Austin is impenetrable.


Yep. Exactly how I feel. That just means we should be due for a big storm sometime soon.


Not entirely true. We did get freezing drizzle/spurts of light freezing rain in early December 2013 (last year :cheesy: ) at the Weatherdude Center in south Cedar Park/North Austin. :froze: Put a nice coat of ice on the vegetation and furniture, but not the street or pavement.
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Re: Re:

#3324 Postby Portastorm » Mon Jan 06, 2014 4:45 pm

weatherdude1108 wrote:Not entirely true. We did get freezing drizzle/spurts of light freezing rain in early December 2013 (last year :cheesy: ) at the Weatherdude Center in south Cedar Park/North Austin. :froze: Put a nice coat of ice on the vegetation and furniture, but not the street or pavement.


C'mon weatherdude! I'm talking about a legitimate, area-wide event. I remember the night in question well. That was a very minor occurrence which really only impacted portions of north and east Austin. I'm talking about a real event which impacts the entire city or metro area.

It did give TeamPlayersBlue though quite the experience as he tried to commute home that night to H-town from Austin. :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3325 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 5:05 pm

Only 28 degrees in Southlake (near DFW Airport) Texas at 4pm according to my phone. About another hour to break freezing or that's all she wrote folks. :cold:
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3326 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 5:06 pm

A whole bunch of thick cirrus clouds are streaming across Texas. That should put a cap on radiational cooling tonight.
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#3327 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Jan 06, 2014 5:18 pm

Dewpoint is 2.5F at my house. These clouds will cap it some i think too. But the dewpoint continues to drop.
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Re:

#3328 Postby BigB0882 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 5:25 pm

Rgv20 wrote:Temperature wise been sitting at 39F since this morning....12zECMWF forecast up to 1/2'' of snow for my area late tonight early morning. Hopefully the atmosphere con moisten up a bit later this evening into tonight!


I am really rooting for you! I bet you guys never see the white stuff, even less than those cry babies in Austin! :)
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Re:

#3329 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 5:38 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Dewpoint is 2.5F at my house. These clouds will cap it some i think too. But the dewpoint continues to drop.


All official stations around you are reporting a dewpoint of 8-9 deg. Yours may be reading a little low.
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Re: Re:

#3330 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 5:47 pm

BigB0882 wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:Temperature wise been sitting at 39F since this morning....12zECMWF forecast up to 1/2'' of snow for my area late tonight early morning. Hopefully the atmosphere con moisten up a bit later this evening into tonight!


I am really rooting for you! I bet you guys never see the white stuff, even less than those cry babies in Austin! :)


Thanks! In all my life (27years) I have been living here IIRC it has snowed 3 times with the most memorable being Christmas 2004. In February 2011 we had all Ice. (not fun!)
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#3331 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 5:52 pm

40 of the 50 12zECMWF Ensemble Members along with the 12zECMWF Operational and Ensemble Control Run forecast very light snow...We shall see what happens tonight!
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Re: Re:

#3332 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Jan 06, 2014 5:57 pm

wxman57 wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Dewpoint is 2.5F at my house. These clouds will cap it some i think too. But the dewpoint continues to drop.


All official stations around you are reporting a dewpoint of 8-9 deg. Yours may be reading a little low.


Just saw that too.... Hmmmm still in the 2 degree region, any ideas? I have 34.9F now, temp is dropping
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3333 Postby ronyan » Mon Jan 06, 2014 6:13 pm

I have 0F as the dewpoint on my station, 36 @ 22% RH. Maybe the hygrometers in our stations are worse at lower humidities, not sure.
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#3334 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Jan 06, 2014 6:18 pm

I do notice that the temp spikes when the sun gets on it and that happened today when the sun came out for a bit. No idea just guessing. ITs super cloudy now but this morning it was spot on with another station in my area.
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#3335 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 6:40 pm

On my way home from work there was some very light sprinkles, hopefully we can get more moisture than currently forecast!



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
540 PM CST MON JAN 6 2014

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.
&&

[b].AVIATION...A WIDESPREAD AREA OF VERY LIGHT RAIN IS AFFECTING THE
COUNTIES ALONG THE RIO GRANDE RIVER. A FEW REPORTS FROM THE PUBLIC
INDICATE THAT OCCASIONAL VERY LIGHT SLEET IS MIXING IN WITH THE
RAIN.
THUS...THESE TRENDS HAVE BEEN BUILT INTO THE MOST RECENT TAF
ISSUANCE. ADDITIONAL TEMPO LIGHT SLEET MAY NEED TO BE INSERTED
INTO THE NEXT TAF ISSUANCE LATER TONIGHT FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
TOMORROW...THE FORMATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH ALONG THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST SHOULD CAUSE WINDS TO VEER. EXPECTED HIGH CEILINGS
SHOULD CAUSE VFR THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.[/b]
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#3336 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 8:04 pm

Very light sprinkles with some sleet mixing in! The NWS just umped the precipitation chances from 20% to 80%!

Tonight: Periods of sleet, possibly mixed with rain. Low around 33. East wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
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#3337 Postby BigB0882 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 10:21 pm

Did anyone take notice of the ever-trustworthy 300 hr 12Z GFS? It has snow for SETX and all of South Louisiana. 3-5 inches for almost everyone. I am going to go ahead and cash in on that one.
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#3338 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Mon Jan 06, 2014 10:32 pm

Now boys set an example for your fellow Texans and turn that thermostat lower than 80F!!! If mine is set at 68F you fellows can do better than that:

BREAKING: ERCOT, the council that manages the state’s electric grid, issued a power use warning Monday morning as most of Texas dropped into a deep freeze. ERCOT has asked customers to conserve power to avoid rolling blackouts.

Read more --> http://bit.ly/1bKFENv
Mobile/Tablet --> http://bit.ly/12KaFwO


Seriously how high do Texans turn those things???? You folks have your A/C going 24/7 in the summer without this happening.
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#3339 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Mon Jan 06, 2014 10:43 pm

It was -40F (almost) here NOT down there!!! :wink: :lol:

You fellows aren't going to turn into human popsicles INSIDE your houses if you turn that thermostat d :darrow: o :darrow: w :darrow: n.
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Texas Winter 2013-2014

#3340 Postby cctxhurricanewatcher » Mon Jan 06, 2014 10:54 pm

SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:Now boys set an example for your fellow Texans and turn that thermostat lower than 80F!!! If mine is set at 68F you fellows can do better than that:

BREAKING: ERCOT, the council that manages the state’s electric grid, issued a power use warning Monday morning as most of Texas dropped into a deep freeze. ERCOT has asked customers to conserve power to avoid rolling blackouts.

Read more --> http://bit.ly/1bKFENv
Mobile/Tablet --> http://bit.ly/12KaFwO


Seriously how high do Texans turn those things???? You folks have your A/C going 24/7 in the summer without this happening.

I would guess a certain household in Houston is responsible for a significant burden on the power grid.
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