Texas Winter 2013-2014

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Im pulling for you man. Front just came through here and it actually woke me up lol. Temp is down 7 degrees in the last 20 minutes

[Tireman4]

Wind is howling here in Humble. Temperature drop of 11 in 20 minutes. Woo Hoo. Blow. Blow. Blow.

Edit:

It is 50 in Humble as we speak. It was 63 at 9 am.

[Snowman67]

42F here in Tomball. Looks like the temps are going to be quite a bit lower than was forecasted just a couple days ago. 19F is now forecasted low for Tuesday morning here in Tomball.

[gpsnowman]

I really hope you get some snow, Rgv20. Wouldn't that be something. If you are like me, staying up all night just to see a snowflake is not out of the question. Take some photos if you can!!!

[Rgv20]

I have to wake up early for work but you bet I'm going to sleep like a baby, waking up multiple times through out the night lol.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
743 AM CST SUN JAN 5 2014

...ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL BRING STRONG WIND AND COLD AIR TONIGHT...

.THE ARRIVAL OF AN ARCTIC AIR MASS THIS AFTERNOON WILL CAUSE
TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 30S FOR MUCH OF THE INTERIOR PORTION OF
THE COUNTY WARNING AREA TONIGHT. NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL
PRODUCE WIND CHILLS OF 30 DEGREES OR LESS ACROSS MOST OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS FOR SEVERAL HOURS. IN ADDITION...WIND CHILL VALUES OF
25 DEGREES OR LESS FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY
AND RANCH LANDS OF BROOKS...JIM HOGG...KENEDY...AND ZAPATA
COUNTIES.

TXZ248-251>253-052145-
/O.EXA.KBRO.WC.Y.0001.140106T0800Z-140106T1200Z/
ZAPATA-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...SARITA...RIO GRANDE CITY...
ROMA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...MISSION...WESLACO
743 AM CST SUN JAN 5 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 6 AM CST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 6 AM CST MONDAY.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...25 TO 30 ACROSS ZAPATA AND KENEDY COUNTIES
AND 28 TO 32 ACROSS STARR AND HIDALGO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACT...RESIDENTS VENTURING OUT SHOULD DRESS WARMLY. SEVERAL
LAYERS OF CLOTHING WILL INSULATE YOU BETTER THAN A SINGLE COAT
OR JACKET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES WILL
DROP TO 30 OR LOWER FOR AT LEAST 2 HOURS FOR THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND 25 DEGREES OR LOWER FOR 2 OR MORE HOURS FOR THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS AND NORTHERN RANCH LANDS...WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH OR
GREATER.




URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
730 AM CST SUN JAN 5 2014

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT ARRIVING THIS AFTERNOON WILL USHER IN VERY
COLD WEATHER AND WILL RESULT IN OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES DECREASING
INTO THE 30S FOR MUCH OF THE INTERIOR OF THE COUNTY WARNING
AREA...BUT ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND RANCH
LANDS OF JIM HOGG...BROOKS...ZAPATA AND KENEDY COUNTIES.

TXZ252-253-052130-
/O.EXA.KBRO.FZ.A.0003.140107T0600Z-140107T1400Z/
STARR-HIDALGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...
EDINBURG...PHARR...MISSION...WESLACO
730 AM CST SUN JAN 5 2014

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

* TEMPERATURE...30 TO 32 ACROSS MOST OF STARR COUNTY AND NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF HIDALGO COUNTY.

* TIMING...LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACT...SOME DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS AND
CROPS. PLAN TO COVER OR BRING INDOORS THESE PLANTS DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF 2 OR MORE HOURS OF
TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW 32 DEGREES WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

[Rgv20]

Taking a closer look at the ECMWF Ensembles for the period of late Monday Night early Tuesday Morning, yesterday's 12z forecast 7 of the 50 members showing at least a snow flurry and last night's 0z forecast 17 of the 50 Ensemble Members with at least a trace of snow for the mid and upper Valley. Last Night's 0zECMWF Ensemble Control Run forecast 1/2'' to 1 inch of Snow for my area! The GFS and NAM continue to be drier for the same period.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

hmmm not your usual count of viewers on here today ....So is bread, milk and toilet paper the popular have to get item or is everyone wrapping their pipes with a 2nd layer????

[Portastorm]

Busy day for me as I'm about to leave for the Welcome to Austin, Coach Strong! parade on South Congress.

OK, more seriously, some general observations include noting that the GFS operational runs are showing a pattern days 8-15 that look a bit colder and a bit stormier for the Southern Plains. The 12z Euro op run should raise an eyebrow or two as the potent upper-level (cold core) low looks to make a trek across the state and those 850mb temps look might cold, folks! I'm not sold it'll be a rain event only for Texas next weekend. That merits close watch in the days ahead.

[wxman57]

12Z GFS meteogram for Houston still has lows of only 27F/26F for Mon/Tue. MOS temps are a good bit colder (23F/21F). My wife just went to Home Depot for some bird seed and says that the store is full of people buying supplies to keep outdoor pipes/faucets from freezing. I did that a month ago and my pipes are happy and relatively warm. My outside pipes, that is. My internal pipes are quite cold and wishing it was July.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

He has his eye on you Texas!!!

The Eye of the Storm Saskatchewan January 5th, 2014
[/url]
January 5th, 2014 at 11:30am. Temperature: -27 F (-33 C)
Windchill: -59 F (-51 C).

[Rgv20]

Freeze Warning issued for tonight..

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
153 PM CST SUN JAN 5 2014

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES LIKELY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON BRINGING VERY COLD WEATHER LATER TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT
IN OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 30S FOR MUCH OF THE INTERIOR
OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA...BUT ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN BRUSH
COUNTRY AND RANCH LANDS OF JIM HOGG...BROOKS...ZAPATA AND KENEDY
COUNTIES.

TXZ252-253-060400-
/O.NEW.KBRO.FZ.W.0002.140106T0800Z-140106T1400Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.FZ.A.0003.140107T0600Z-140107T1400Z/
STARR-HIDALGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...
EDINBURG...PHARR...MISSION...WESLACO
153 PM CST SUN JAN 5 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CST MONDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CST MONDAY.

* TEMPERATURE...30 TO 32 ACROSS MOST OF STARR COUNTY AND NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF HIDALGO COUNTY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...28 TO 32 ACROSS MOST OF STARR AND HIDALGO COUNTIES LATE
MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACT...SOME DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS AND
CROPS. PLAN TO COVER OR BRING INDOORS THESE PLANTS DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF 2 OR MORE HOURS OF
TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW 32 DEGREES WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL
TO BETWEEN 28 AND 32 DEGREES FOR 2 OR MORE HOURS OVER A
WIDESPREAD AREA.

RESIDENTS SHOULD COVER OR MOVE INDOORS ANY COLD SENSITIVE
PLANTS...AND BRING PETS INDOORS THIS EVENING.

[Ntxw]

Busy day for me as I'm about to leave for the Welcome to Austin, Coach Strong! parade on South Congress.

OK, more seriously, some general observations include noting that the GFS operational runs are showing a pattern days 8-15 that look a bit colder and a bit stormier for the Southern Plains. The 12z Euro op run should raise an eyebrow or two as the potent upper-level (cold core) low looks to make a trek across the state and those 850mb temps look might cold, folks! I'm not sold it'll be a rain event only for Texas next weekend. That merits close watch in the days ahead.

Nearly all deterministic and ensemble models depict an even colder air mass in NW Canada. It is not yet dislodged on their runs but after a couple of storms height rises occur over Alaska and the pole is showing -AO. Jan 15th week needs to be watched for another potential Arctic blast into the CONUS.

[TexasF6]

Call me a snowman, but I see low pressure on the coastline of Mexico, moisture a-plenty ready to overrun our cold air. Could there be a hidden disturbance lurking for some winter fun for South Central Texas the next two days??? (spellcheck kills the word "Wishcaster" (w-i-s-h-c-a-s-t-e-r) everytime I use it!)

[wxman57]

12Z Euro doesn't indicate any significant Arctic outbreaks through the 15th. It does have a deepening upper low north of Alaska and a 1045+ mb high well poleward of Alaska on the 15th. Looking forward to a return of 60s and 70s later this week...

[Ntxw]

12Z Euro doesn't indicate any significant Arctic outbreaks through the 15th. It does have a deepening upper low north of Alaska and a 1045+ mb high well poleward of Alaska on the 15th. Looking forward to a return of 60s and 70s later this week...

The same model run that showed not much cold air for this week 10 days ago? I'll believe it when I see it Warmth is always 10 days away

On the 28th, clearly it is not going to be 70 in Dallas tomorrow

European run doesn't indicate much for TX the next 10 days. Slow warming trend the first week of January - up to near 70 degrees in Dallas by the 6th.

Euro this year has performed poorly in Alaska and the gulf Alaska, persistently trying to bring +EPO that eventually turns neutral and then negative

[Texas Snowman]

12Z Euro doesn't indicate any significant Arctic outbreaks through the 15th. It does have a deepening upper low north of Alaska and a 1045+ mb high well poleward of Alaska on the 15th. Looking forward to a return of 60s and 70s later this week...

The same model run that showed not much cold air for this week 10 days ago? I'll believe it when I see it Warmth is always 10 days away

On the 28th, clearly it is not going to be 70 in Dallas tomorrow

European run doesn't indicate much for TX the next 10 days. Slow warming trend the first week of January - up to near 70 degrees in Dallas by the 6th.

[Ntxw]

It will be interesting to see if DFW can bust the forecast and go lower. Lows this year have been off by 2-5 degrees often in cold air masses that were shown by models and NWS (we busted several to get to 24 freezes by 31st that were not forecast). RAP gets much of the areas deep into the teens, if the winds can die down would not be surprised if a few spots dipped below 10.

Text output (mavs-mos) says 12-14 for the area

[aggiecutter]

Forecast low for Texarkana tonight is 12. The high tomorrow is expected to be 25, and the low tomorrow night is expected to be 13. That is pretty cold if you ask me, considering there is no snow cover.

[Comanche]

Anyone have a prognostication of the second half of January temps for the US and Texas? Warm/Norm/Cold???

[wxman57]

12Z Euro doesn't indicate any significant Arctic outbreaks through the 15th. It does have a deepening upper low north of Alaska and a 1045+ mb high well poleward of Alaska on the 15th. Looking forward to a return of 60s and 70s later this week...

The same model run that showed not much cold air for this week 10 days ago? I'll believe it when I see it Warmth is always 10 days away ...

The same Euro that predicted a low of 25 at IAH around the 3rd-4th 10 days ago. It was a tad off in the days, but got the outbreak right.