Texas Winter 2013-2014

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
SnowintheFalls
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 274
Age: 47
Joined: Fri Nov 22, 2013 5:06 pm
Location: Burkburnett, TX

#1261 Postby SnowintheFalls » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:08 pm

Wichita Falls schools were cancelled today but haven't even cancelled for tomorrow... that's bizarre!

Sent from my SPH-L720 using Tapatalk
0 likes   
There is no day like a snow day!

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#1262 Postby dhweather » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:09 pm

It just seems like the worst of this will be northwest of the metroplex. Maybe from Comanche to Denton and northwest of there. Almost like we're getting dry slotted southeast of that line.


This is in no way an official forecast, just speculation on my part.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22787
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Re:

#1263 Postby Ntxw » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:12 pm

katheria wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Good evening guys, getting home definitely was not fun.

Anyway I'm sure all of you are aware right now everything that's not concrete has a glaze of ice on it. It's going to get much worse, we are still in light bands right now and especially when temps fall into the 20s. More intense bands will come through and that will likely be the catalyst for the roads and everything else to become a skating rink heading towards midnight and morning. Stay safe!



Glad to see you made it home :cheesy: not sure what we would have done without you


Thanks =). The highways are a parking lot, I would avoid them just for that alone, I was trying to go on 35 and ehh said that wasn't going to happen.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
ludosc
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 161
Age: 40
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 3:44 pm
Location: Midlothian, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1264 Postby ludosc » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:13 pm

katheria wrote:and portastorm....???

fwisd hasnt closed?

thats just really weird dallas has and garland i think also


Fort Worth just announced they're closed tomorrow.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22787
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re:

#1265 Postby Ntxw » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:15 pm

dhweather wrote:It just seems like the worst of this will be northwest of the metroplex. Maybe from Comanche to Denton and northwest of there. Almost like we're getting dry slotted southeast of that line.


This is in no way an official forecast, just speculation on my part.


The worst will be eastplexers and northeast. The band will slowly migrate and intensify, possibly with thunderstorms.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22980
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1266 Postby wxman57 » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:16 pm

It's not even winter yet and I already hate the winter of 2013-2014. Will be quite interesting if this pattern holds into winter when the cold airmasses get deeper. Typing this on my iPad but will head over to my main PC shortly to check the weather more thoroughly. I guess I won't need to turn the AC on tonight...
0 likes   

User avatar
iorange55
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2388
Joined: Thu Nov 13, 2008 9:47 pm
Location: Big D

Re:

#1267 Postby iorange55 » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:17 pm

dhweather wrote:It just seems like the worst of this will be northwest of the metroplex. Maybe from Comanche to Denton and northwest of there. Almost like we're getting dry slotted southeast of that line.


This is in no way an official forecast, just speculation on my part.


The heaviest precip is not expected until after midnight. It will all fill in, those out west might actually get lesser amounts than those east.
Last edited by iorange55 on Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

WeatherNewbie
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 231
Joined: Mon Mar 22, 2010 3:42 pm
Location: Richardson, Texas

Re:

#1268 Postby WeatherNewbie » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:17 pm

dhweather wrote:It just seems like the worst of this will be northwest of the metroplex. Maybe from Comanche to Denton and northwest of there. Almost like we're getting dry slotted southeast of that line.


This is in no way an official forecast, just speculation on my part.


I would think the banding is going to slowly drift east bringing it right over the Metroplex.
0 likes   
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

katheria
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 338
Joined: Mon Dec 28, 2009 10:51 pm
Location: Garland TX

Re: Re:

#1269 Postby katheria » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:18 pm

Ntxw wrote:
dhweather wrote:It just seems like the worst of this will be northwest of the metroplex. Maybe from Comanche to Denton and northwest of there. Almost like we're getting dry slotted southeast of that line.


This is in no way an official forecast, just speculation on my part.


The worst will be eastplexers and northeast. The band will slowly migrate and intensify, possibly with thunderstorms.


guess im not going to work tomorrow ( not that i wanted to anyways lol we get paid if they shut down)
0 likes   
just a guess.......take everything i say with a grain of salt.......check your local NWS for forecast information

Turtle
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 285
Joined: Wed Jan 20, 2010 9:02 pm
Location: East Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1270 Postby Turtle » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:22 pm

Friday: Rain before 1pm, then rain or freezing rain. High near 33. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.

Friday Night: Rain or freezing rain before 7pm. Low around 23. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.

I hope we get a few degrees cooler!
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22787
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1271 Postby Ntxw » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:26 pm

wxman57 wrote:It's not even winter yet and I already hate the winter of 2013-2014. Will be quite interesting if this pattern holds into winter when the cold airmasses get deeper. Typing this on my iPad but will head over to my main PC shortly to check the weather more thoroughly. I guess I won't need to turn the AC on tonight...


Can we dub it the true winter of your discontent then? :P
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


downsouthman1
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 663
Age: 45
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 8:14 pm
Location: Rowlett, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1272 Postby downsouthman1 » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:27 pm

I can confirm that in Killeen, where temps recently dropped to 30-32 degrees, there are very light flurries falling. It is not even showing up on radar, but I did see a swath of very light returns on radar just before they switched off of that ultra-sensitive mode. So at least in CTX, I suspect there is an area of higher moisture moving up from the Gulf. I didn't conclude this based only by using GRK radar but also EWX. EWX is still in ultra-sensitive mode & there are light returns showing up on the east side of San Antonio, granted their temps are around 40. Dewpoints in Killeen are currently in the mid-20s & it remains to be seen how this fine moisture moving in will impact temps/dewpoints. Though I can see these flurries, and though they are leaving tiny water specs on the windows of my car, it is having no other impact at this time & most people wouldn't even notice them.
Last edited by downsouthman1 on Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6179
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

#1273 Postby Texas Snowman » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:27 pm

@AccuRayno: Big sleet storm DFW into SE OK. cold air is in deep. worst of Freezing rain, LIT toward JBR as temps fall below freezing
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

downsouthman1
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 663
Age: 45
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 8:14 pm
Location: Rowlett, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1274 Postby downsouthman1 » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:28 pm

Turtle wrote:Friday: Rain before 1pm, then rain or freezing rain. High near 33. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.

Friday Night: Rain or freezing rain before 7pm. Low around 23. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.

I hope we get a few degrees cooler!

Becaue you want ice?
0 likes   
Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#1275 Postby dhweather » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:28 pm

From FTW


.AVIATION...

FOR THE 00Z TAFS...THE IMPACTS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION AT AREA
AIRPORTS CONTINUES TO BE THE FOCUS OF THE FORECAST.

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET WAS REPORTED ALL ACROSS THE
METROPLEX BY THE TIME OF THIS DISCUSSION. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WERE
ALREADY OCCURRING ON ALL ELEVATED SURFACES...HOWEVER GROUND
TEMPERATURES REMAINED SUFFICIENTLY WARM TO PREVENT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ON MOST SURFACES IN CONTACT WITH THE
GROUND...INCLUDING AREA RUNWAYS. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT ACROSS ALL METROPLEX AREA TAF SITES.
ICE ACCUMULATION ON SURFACES IN CONTACT WITH THE GROUND WILL
BECOME LIKELY AFTER 03Z...AND WILL OCCUR FASTER IF PRECIPITATION
RATES INTENSIFY AT ALL.

FROM 06 TO 12Z...MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THIS WINDOW AS HAVING
THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION OVER THE
DFW METROPLEX. THIS IS WHEN THE BULK OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE
QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. THERE MAY ALSO BE
A NARROW BAND OF PRECIPITATION THAT IS ENHANCED FURTHER. THIS
NARROW BAND OF PRECIPITATION WILL INCLUDE EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITHIN THIS BAND MAY BE UP TO DOUBLE OF
WHAT FALLS OUTSIDE OF THIS BAND. AT THIS TIME CONFIDENCE REMAINS
TOO LOW THAT THIS BAND WILL ACTUALLY SET UP OVER THE DFW METROPLEX
AND DIRECTLY IMPACT AREA AIRPORTS. SOME MODEL GUIDANCE DOES SHOW
THIS HAPPENING...HOWEVER ABOUT HALF OF THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT THIS WILL REMAIN JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE METROPLEX.

PRECIPITATION RATES ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE METROPLEX
AFTER 12Z...AND LINGERING PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY TRANSITION
OVER TO MOSTLY SLEET AS DEEPER COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OR SOUTHEAST OF THE
METROPLEX AFTER 15Z...BUT THIS TIME MAY BE ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY IN
LATER FORECASTS.
0 likes   

BrokenGlassRepublicn
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 481
Joined: Sun Nov 20, 2011 8:07 pm
Location: Richardson, Texas

Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1276 Postby BrokenGlassRepublicn » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:29 pm

Just leaving the grocery store at Coit and Campbell, very light snow falling!
0 likes   

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4227
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1277 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:29 pm

I'm really surprised College Station does not currently have at least a winter weather advisory. The temperature here is already down to 37 degrees and we will have several hours to drop 5 degrees before the precip arrives in the early morning hours. The NWS is forecasting a low of 33 degrees here tonight. I feel like we should at least be under a Winter Weather Advisory as I think we could be below freezing when the precipitation starts.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22787
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re:

#1278 Postby Ntxw » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:29 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:@AccuRayno: Big sleet storm DFW into SE OK. cold air is in deep. worst of Freezing rain, LIT toward JBR as temps fall below freezing


I think the fact that a lot of us are seeing sleet mixed in when it gets heavy is a good sign. Hopefully that holds true through the night.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
Cyclenall
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6666
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:01 pm
Location: Ontario, Canada

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1279 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:33 pm

wxman57 wrote:It's not even winter yet and I already hate the winter of 2013-2014. Will be quite interesting if this pattern holds into winter when the cold airmasses get deeper. Typing this on my iPad but will head over to my main PC shortly to check the weather more thoroughly. I guess I won't need to turn the AC on tonight...

I don't like winter in general either and I think this will be a bad one, really bad for most of central and eastern North America. Today us in southern Ontario were warmer than most parts of Texas, how often can I say that in December? :cheesy:

Annie Oakley wrote:
SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:Just so you folks know what's happening far to your North.....

Moose Jaw's overnight temps
Low minus 31. Extreme wind chill minus 41

Looks like it plans on heading elsewhere afterwards.....



Just so you know SasQuatch..........we don't care.


I forgot the 'lol' part ha ha..............

Ouch, someone take Screamer to the burn (or should I say frostbite?) ward!
Last edited by Cyclenall on Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
TheProfessor
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3506
Age: 28
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
Location: Wichita, Kansas

#1280 Postby TheProfessor » Thu Dec 05, 2013 8:33 pm

is there still more coming for people near dew airport?
0 likes   
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.

Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 8 guests