Texas Winter 2013-2014

[dhweather]

We just dropped from a steady 35.1 for the last few hours to 34.1 in Heath.

[orangeblood]

Unreal, new European model suggests temps don't get above 34 deg F in DFW for at least a week

[Cuda17]

Some of the rural reporting stations are now reporting 33-35 degrees near the B/CS area. 35 was the predicted low through tomorrow for that area.

I see one report of 35 deg south of Hearne (NW of College Station), but it's surrounded by reports of 40 and 41 deg. Looks suspicious.

I think these outliers are what he is referring to wxman57

[WeatherNewbie]

Just got back from lunch and there is ice forming on the street signs. Roads are of course just wet at this point.

What's your location?

Midway and International on the border of Carrollton and Plano.

[DonWrk]

Icicles already forming here in Grayson County

[Annie Oakley]

Guests...e-mail this link to your peeps

viewtopic.php?f=22&t=114950&st=0&sk=t&sd=a&start=1100

[South Texas Storms]

Stay safe up there y'all! This definitely has the potential to be a major ice storm in DFW and surrounding areas. I hope everyone across north Texas has prepared for this.

[orangeblood]

Anyone see the 12Z GEM for next week?

No. Summary?

It's hinting at a coastal-low developing across Texas. Has a nice deformation zone across north Texas. This would be around Wednesday/Thursday.

Yeah, 12Z Euro was also sniffing out the upper level energy ejecting out from off the coast of Baja. Something to definitely keep an eye on

[iorange55]

Stay safe up there y'all! This definitely has the potential to be a major ice storm in DFW and surrounding areas. I hope everyone across north Texas has prepared for this.

I'm not sure that they are. A lot of my friends and family are not taking it seriously, which is a shame. It all dates back to the Thanksgiving storm.

They just don't understand the differences between the two storms.


EDIT: Temp at home just dropped another degree down to 31.

[South Texas Storms]

Stay safe up there y'all! This definitely has the potential to be a major ice storm in DFW and surrounding areas. I hope everyone across north Texas has prepared for this.

I'm not sure that they are. A lot of my friends and family are not taking it seriously, which is a shame. It all dates back to the Thanksgiving storm.

They just don't understand the differences between the two storms.

That's not good. One bust should not cause you to think that the next storm will be a bust. These storms are very different as this one is much colder. Those people may regret blowing this system off.

[Tireman4]

HGX AFD Early Afternoon Update:


000
FXUS64 KHGX 051836
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1236 PM CST THU DEC 5 2013


.AVIATION...
COLD FRONT WEDGING THROUGH THE AREA AND HAS PASSED IAH/HOU/SGR
LIFTING THE CIGS AND SCOURING OUT THE FOG. AFTERNOON HEATING HAS
HELPED IMPROVE VIS/CIGS FOR ALL BUT GLS WHERE LIFR STILL HANGING
ON. COLD FRONT SHOULD REACH GLS AROUND 19-1930Z. --RA WILL DEPART
SHORTLY ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND UPGLIDE WILL TAKE OVER
TONIGHT WITH MVFR CIGS SLOWLY LOWERING BACK DOWN INTO IFR ALONG
WITH SOME LIGHT DZ/RA AS UPPER SHORTWAVE NEARS. TOMORROW MORNING
LIFT SHOULD BE PEAKING NEAR CLL THEN SHIFTING EASTWARD THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON...AND PRECIP RATES SHOULD INCREASE AT LEAST
SLIGHTLY WHILE CIGS REMAIN TRAPPED IN RANGE FROM 600-1100FT WITH A
DEEP CLOUD LAYER UP THROUGH 8000-10000FT. EXPECTING A BRIEF
WINDOW WHERE LIGHT FREEZING RA/DZ MAY OCCUR NEAR CLL AT 12Z WHEN
TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY DIP TO AROUND 31-32 DEGREES. ONLY ELEVATED
SURFACES LOOK IN JEOPARDY...THEN TEMPS CREEP BACK UP AND SHOULD
MELT ANY ICE IF IT DOES FORM. RAINS SHOULD TAPER OFF FRIDAY NIGHT
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WE SHOULD GET A BREAK FROM THE PRECIP THEN
NEXT S/W ROLLS IN AND COLDER AIR WILL BE IN PLACE AND WILL HAVE
WHAT MAY BE A GREATER CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN/DRIZZLE FOR CLL/UTS
AREA TERMINALS. THE LATEST GFS EVEN HINTS THAT THE LINE COULD
REACH TO NEAR CXO.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1

[gboudx]

It's the same with hurricanes unfortunately.

[South Texas Storms]

It's the same with hurricanes unfortunately.

Yeah and it's sad. It really is much better to be safe than sorry.

[Kelarie]

from Shreveport NWS

.UPDATE...
PULLED BACK ICE STORM WARNING START TIME TO MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS ON TRACK...BUT STILL NOT OVER OUR SE CWA. AIR TEMPS ARE FALLING IN THE 30 AND 40S FOR MANY OVER NW HALF WITH THE FREEZING LINE AT PARIS TX...SNAKING...INTO THE OUACHITA/S UP TO FORT SMITH. DRIER AND COLDER AIR IS PUSHING IN WITH GUSTS OVER E OK TOWARD OUR AREA AND FOR THAT REASON HAVE PULLED BACK START TIME. IN FACT...SOME OF THE WARNING AREA MAY BEGIN TO SEE VERY LIGHT ACCUMULATION SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET...BUT TOO DIFFICULT TO SEPARATE OUT A PORTION FOR THE EVENING WORDING WISE FOR ADVISORY CRITERIA.

THE GFS AND NAM ARE SIMILAR IN REALLY BEEFING UP THE AMOUNTS OF PRECIP WITH THE WATER VAPOR SHOWING A GOOD PUSH OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT NOW OVER BAJA AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE HEARTY ALONG I-30 CORRIDOR AND THE ICE STORM WARNING AREA. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THIS PUSH WILL BETTER SEPARATE THE TWO EVENTS AND MAKE FOR A LITTLE BETTER SATURDAY...ALBEIT STILL VERY COLD...BUT SOME TOKEN SUNSHINE MAY BE SEEN WITH EXITING DIVERGENCE.

THE NEXT OVERRUNNING FOR THE WEEKEND IS PUSHING UNDER THE BAJA LOW FROM THE TROPICAL E PAC. SO NO CHANGES BEYOND NOON TOMORROW AT THIS TIME IN DEALING WITH THE CURRENT UNFOLDING EVENTS FOR SHORT TERM. THE BACK EDGE OF THE THIS WILL PUSH OVER THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY WITH SLIGHTLY FASTER TIMING ON NAM...AND NEW GFS
IS NOT FAR BEHIND. WE ARE CURIOUS TO SEE NEW EURO ALONG SIDE GFS FOR THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...THE NEW 12Z GFS HAS CONTINUED IT/S TREND WITH ONSET FOR THE NUMBER TWO EVENT INITIATION FOR A TINY BIT LATER ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IT STILL LOOKS HEARTY OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY WITH ANOTHER ICE STORM WATCH DEEPER INTO
OUR CWA TO BE ISSUED FOR THAT LATER IN THE SHORT TERM. /24/

[Texas Snowman]

Denison schools closing at 2. Freezing rain accumulating quickly on anything elevated.

[South Texas Storms]

Are y'all gonna take any pictures and post them here?

[Texas Snowman]

@NWSLubbock: Many roll over accidents continue here in West Texas, many with injuries. At least one fatality. Travel is not recommended. #lubwx

[gboudx]

Sure. I'll try a few before and after pics.

[Texashawk]

Some of the rural reporting stations are now reporting 33-35 degrees near the B/CS area. 35 was the predicted low through tomorrow for that area.

I see one report of 35 deg south of Hearne (NW of College Station), but it's surrounded by reports of 40 and 41 deg. Looks suspicious.

I think these outliers are what he is referring to wxman57

Yes. Thank you Cuda17. At this point, most of the stations north and west of the B/CS area are now reporting in the 30s, with Caldwell reporting 35, Sutton reporting 35, Rache reporting 33 (this may be suspect) and Seger reporting 36. Mumford is also reporting 37. There is definitely some variance, but there are enough similar readings in a general area to make some general observations.

EDIT: Coulter Field in Bryan is now reporting 39.

[Annie Oakley]

The T's have it, as far as names goes here........