November 17 Severe Weather & Tornado Outbreak

[CrazyC83]

WFUS53 KLOT 171536
TORLOT
ILC007-111-171615-
/O.NEW.KLOT.TO.W.0013.131117T1536Z-131117T1615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
936 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL BOONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHWESTERN MCHENRY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 1015 AM CST

* AT 933 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF BELVIDERE...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS
WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS
LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
HARVARD AROUND 945 AM CST.
HEBRON AROUND 1000 AM CST.
RICHMOND AROUND 1005 AM CST.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4226 8876 4230 8883 4250 8864 4250 8821
TIME...MOT...LOC 1536Z 232DEG 42KT 4232 8873

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

BMD

[CrazyC83]

Next PDS Tornado Watch forthcoming.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2011
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1001 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...IND...CNTRL/SRN LOWER MI...NWRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 171601Z - 171800Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SIGNIFICANT TORNADO/WIND HAZARDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY
MIDDAY INTO AFTERNOON WITH A DOWNSTREAM TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE
EXPECTED E OF WW 561.

DISCUSSION...RECENT STORM DEVELOPMENT HAS OCCURRED ACROSS E-CNTRL IL
JUST NE OF MTO. ALTHOUGH DOWNSTREAM SURFACE HEATING HAS BEEN
HAMPERED BY ABUNDANT STRATUS...LOW-LEVEL MOIST ADVECTION AND
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ALOFT SHOULD YIELD INCREASING
DESTABILIZATION. VERY STRONG WIND PROFILES MAY RESULT IN A FEW
SUPERCELLS FORMING WELL AHEAD OF THE MAIN SWATH OF LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT AND WIDESPREAD CONVECTION FARTHER WEST IN SERN WI AND NRN/WRN
IL. WITH TIME...THIS ACTIVITY WILL ALSO SPREAD RAPIDLY E/NEWD WITH
CORRESPONDING RISKS FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES/WIND.

..GRAMS/MEAD.. 11/17/2013


ATTN...WFO...ILN...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

LAT...LON 44168638 44218520 43948421 43148375 40788406 39238535
38968669 39108754 40128748 41748704 44168638

[cycloneye]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 562
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
INDIANA
FAR NORTHERN KENTUCKY
LOWER MICHIGAN
WESTERN OHIO
LAKE HURON
LAKE MICHIGAN

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1120 AM UNTIL
800 PM EST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH SEVERAL SIGNIFICANT
GUSTS TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BLOOMINGTON INDIANA TO 55 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAGINAW MICHIGAN.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 561...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS RAPIDLY DEVELOPING OVER IL AND WI ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST/NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TODAY IN
CONJUNCTION WITH AN INTENSE LARGE-SCALE WEATHER SYSTEM. GIVEN THE
COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND VERY STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR...SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES APPEAR LIKELY WITH A RISK
FOR LONG-TRACKED...SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES...CORRIDORS OF WIND DAMAGE
AND LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24055.


...MEAD

[Halah]

Holy cow, that high risk is really close to me. Any thoughts on the areas east of the current high risk area?

Stay safe everyone.

[RL3AO]

Very impressive radar signature for storm near Washington, IL.

[RL3AO]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1112 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN LA SALLE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL NOON CST

* AT 1107 AM CST...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WASHINGTON...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS
WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS
LIKELY.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RUTLAND AROUND 1130 AM CST.
DANA AROUND 1135 AM CST.
LONG POINT AROUND 1140 AM CST.
STREATOR AROUND 1150 AM CST.

[RL3AO]

Moving in general towards Chicago area. Have to watch that over the next 90 minutes.

[Halah]

Moving in general towards Chicago area. Have to watch that over the next 90 minutes.

There is a Bears game starting at 1pm EST, and it doesn't appear they plan on delaying it. That's a lot of people sitting out in the open.

[RL3AO]

Moving in general towards Chicago area. Have to watch that over the next 90 minutes.

There is a Bears game starting at 1pm EST, and it doesn't appear they plan on delaying it. That's a lot of people sitting out in the open.

Its the fear of a lot of meteorologists. NFL should have been proactive, but sadly it will take something happening before organizations get proactive.

[CrazyC83]

TV station WEEK-TV near Peoria took a direct hit as well while I was at church.

[CrazyC83]

Northern Michigan: threat lower but definitely still there.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2014
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1132 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 171732Z - 171930Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES ALONG WITH WIDELY SCATTERED
DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP N OF WW 562 WITHIN A NARROW CORRIDOR
OF MARGINAL SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY

DISCUSSION...17Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED A 989 MB CYCLONE OVER
E-CNTRL WI WITH A WARM FRONT ARCING ACROSS NRN LOWER MI.
TEMPERATURES ALONG THE WEST COAST OF CNTRL LK MI HAVE WARMED INTO
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S...LIKELY YIELDING A THINLY BUOYANT
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE WITH MLCAPE NEAR 500 J/KG. DESPITE THE MEAGER
INSTABILITY...VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
EMBEDDED MESOCYCLONES AND LEWP/BOWING-STRUCTURES AS STRONGLY-FORCED
CONVECTION CROSSES LK MI.

..GRAMS/MEAD.. 11/17/2013


ATTN...WFO...APX...GRR...

LAT...LON 45868482 45318312 44538316 44248332 44108368 44128650
45128606 45708522 45868482

[EF-5bigj]

Well this went bad quick I just got out of Church hope everyone stays safe.

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2013
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1049 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...IL...SERN WI...E-CNTRL MO

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 561...

VALID 171649Z - 171815Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 561 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT AND POTENTIALLY LONG-TRACK TORNADOES
APPEARS TO BE INCREASING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/ERN IL.

DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS PRE-FRONTAL STORMS HAVE FORMED FROM NEAR
MILWAUKEE S/SWWD TOWARDS ST LOUIS. 16Z ILX RAOB WELL-SAMPLED THE
AMBIENT WARM SECTOR...DEPICTING MODERATE BUOYANCY DESPITE A SLIGHT
INVERSION NOTED NEAR 600 MB. LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS HAVE BECOME EVEN
LARGER IN LATEST VWP DATA FROM ILX WITH A CLASSIC SICKLE-SHAPE AND
0-1 KM SRH AROUND 500 M2/S2. POTENTIAL IS HIGH FOR SEVERAL
SUPERCELLS AND GIVEN RAPID STORM MOTIONS...A FEW SHOULD BE
LONG-TRACKED ACROSS THE HEART OF IL WITH SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES.

..GRAMS.. 11/17/2013


ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...MKX...LSX...DVN...

LAT...LON 38188974 38479119 40669042 42428943 43108797 42538744
40868731 38878818 38188974

[RL3AO]

Damage photos popping up on twitter.

[CrazyC83]

When professional meteorologists are angry (at the NFL and Bears), you know this could be very serious.

[Cyclenall]

TV station WEEK-TV near Peoria took a direct hit as well while I was at church.

Can you cleaify that? Where?

I'm on the boarder of the moderate risk, holy crap . This is quite sick, and the sring of perals are some of the best I've seen...this is getting huge. Already 1 extremely large and dangerous tornado confirmed on the ground and yes, this is an early event like March 2, 2012!!

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1142 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

ILC063-099-105-171815-
/O.CON.KLOT.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-131117T1815Z/
LA SALLE IL-LIVINGSTON IL-GRUNDY IL-
1142 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN GRUNDY...NORTH
CENTRAL LIVINGSTON AND EAST CENTRAL LA SALLE COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 PM
CST...

AT 1138 AM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR DANA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. MOBILE HOMES WILL
BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES...BUSINESSES AND
VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION POSSIBLE. FLYING
DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. EXPECT TREES TO
BE UPROOTED OR SNAPPED.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
STREATOR AROUND 1155 AM CST.
RANSOM AROUND 1200 PM CST.
KINSMAN AROUND 1205 PM CST.
VERONA AROUND 1210 PM CST.
MAZON AROUND 1215 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A LARGE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY
TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE
TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 8893 4140 8854 4116 8824 4114 8824
4095 8874
TIME...MOT...LOC 1741Z 233DEG 47KT 4098 8894


TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

BMD

[CrazyC83]

WWUS53 KLOT 171754
SVSLOT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1154 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

ILC063-099-105-171815-
/O.CON.KLOT.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-131117T1815Z/
LA SALLE IL-LIVINGSTON IL-GRUNDY IL-
1154 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN GRUNDY...NORTH
CENTRAL LIVINGSTON AND EAST CENTRAL LA SALLE COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 PM
CST...

AT 1152 AM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF STREATOR...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
55 MPH. RADAR INDICATED THAT THE INITIAL TORNADO MAY BE WEAKENING
WHILE A NEW TORNADO WAS DEVELOPING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE FIRST
ONE.

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. MOBILE HOMES WILL
BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES...BUSINESSES AND
VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION POSSIBLE. FLYING
DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. EXPECT TREES TO
BE UPROOTED OR SNAPPED.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RANSOM AROUND 1200 PM CST.
KINSMAN AROUND 1205 PM CST.
VERONA AROUND 1210 PM CST.
MAZON AROUND 1215 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A LARGE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY
TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE
TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 8893 4140 8854 4116 8824 4114 8824
4095 8874
TIME...MOT...LOC 1753Z 237DEG 49KT 4106 8874


TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

BMD

[CrazyC83]

TV station WEEK-TV near Peoria took a direct hit as well while I was at church.

Can you cleaify that? Where?

I'm on the boarder of the moderate risk, holy crap . This is quite sick, and the sring of perals are some of the best I've seen...this is getting huge. Already 1 extremely large and dangerous tornado confirmed on the ground and yes, this is an early event like March 2, 2012!!

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1142 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

ILC063-099-105-171815-
/O.CON.KLOT.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-131117T1815Z/
LA SALLE IL-LIVINGSTON IL-GRUNDY IL-
1142 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN GRUNDY...NORTH
CENTRAL LIVINGSTON AND EAST CENTRAL LA SALLE COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 PM
CST...

AT 1138 AM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR DANA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. MOBILE HOMES WILL
BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES...BUSINESSES AND
VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION POSSIBLE. FLYING
DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. EXPECT TREES TO
BE UPROOTED OR SNAPPED.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
STREATOR AROUND 1155 AM CST.
RANSOM AROUND 1200 PM CST.
KINSMAN AROUND 1205 PM CST.
VERONA AROUND 1210 PM CST.
MAZON AROUND 1215 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A LARGE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY
TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE
TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 8893 4140 8854 4116 8824 4114 8824
4095 8874
TIME...MOT...LOC 1741Z 233DEG 47KT 4098 8894


TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

BMD

That station is just outside of Peoria. Roof heavily damaged but back on the air.

[Halah]

TV station WEEK-TV near Peoria took a direct hit as well while I was at church.

Can you cleaify that? Where?

Peoria, IL...this is from twitter

http://ow.ly/qUcIC

[WeatherGuesser]

13 current Tornado Warnings running through central and sourthern IL.