EPAC: RAYMOND - Tropical Storm

[Hurricane_Luis]

A nice comaprison for Raymond is, In my opinion, Hurricane Hilary from 2011.

Anyway, Catageory 3 Hurricane Raymond.

[supercane4867]

A nice comaprison for Raymond is, In my opinion, Hurricane Hilary from 2011.

Raymond still has a long way to go to compete with Hilary, that storm was amazing

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Very well formed storm, I would have thought the east pacific would be slowing down by now. Such a strange year for the Atlantic Basin, yet the Pacific keeps churning them out.

[CrazyC83]

I would at least have gone to 110 kt, not sure about higher though until we see more 6.0s.

[hurricanes1234]

Some important points to note about Raymond:

1. This hurricane was a mid-level 50 mph tropical storm yesterday. Since then, it has undergone rapid deepening, faster than any hurricane or storm in both the Atlantic and East Pacific this year.
2. Raymond is a very late-season major hurricane. Since it is the first of 2013, it is the latest-forming first major hurricane on record, surpassing 1967's Olivia, which attained that status on October 14th.
3. Regarding the intensification pattern, every advisory from yesterday was like this, beginning with yesterday afternoon at 2 PM PDT:
70
75 mph
100 mph
110 mph
120 mph
This is the same way in which Emilia from last year intensified. When it became a hurricane, it was 75 mph, then it rapidly strengthened into a Category 2, then to a C3 in the night.
4. Raymond is the strongest hurricane in approximately 1 year.
5. Raymond's pressure of 954 mbar places it as the most intense Category 3 hurricane in the Pacific since 2009's Neki, which attained a pressure of 950 mbar at 125 mph. Even 2011's Jova was less intense than Raymond, by 1 mbar.

Personally, I think that when the storm is reviewed, at 12z on October 21st, it might be manipulated to at least 110 knots. Very well-established storm that still has opportunity to strengthen, barring eyewall replacement cycles.

[RainbowAppleJackDash]

Major! But I wouldn't want this affecting land though. What a graceful, elegant storm...

[CrazyC83]

It took 361 days between major hurricanes in the western hemisphere (October 25, 2012 to October 21, 2013). That has to be a record in the satellite era.

[euro6208]

finally a decent hurricane to track that's not in the western pacific...

[supercane4867]

It took 361 days between major hurricanes in the western hemisphere (October 25, 2012 to October 21, 2013). That has to be a record in the satellite era.

Well if you say western hemisphere it also includes part of south pacific

TC Evan from last December reached major status east of 180W

[CrazyC83]

It took 361 days between major hurricanes in the western hemisphere (October 25, 2012 to October 21, 2013). That has to be a record in the satellite era.

Well if you say western hemisphere it also includes part of south pacific

TC Evan from last December reached major status east of 180W

That is true...I was just thinking in the Atlantic, EPAC and CPAC.

[hurricanes1234]

Does anyone think that Raymond is about to undergo an eyewall replacement cycle now?

[jaguarjace]

Composite image of GOES East & West.

[hurricanes1234]

Eyewall filling in.

[hurricanes1234]

Another point to note - Raymond became a major hurricane at advisory 6, that's the fastest I've ever seen.

[AdamFirst]

That storm certainly looks pretty.

Is this spike in activity in the EPAC from the MJO?

[hurricanes1234]

That storm certainly looks pretty.

Is this spike in activity in the EPAC from the MJO?

Yes, indeed it is. MJO propagated eastward from WPAC. And not only is it the MJO, but I've seen something about a Kelvin-wave helping as well. The combination probably resulted in this, otherwise, it would have been impossible due to 2013's normally unfavourable conditions.

[hurricanes1234]

Eyewall replacement cycle, anybody? The convective canopy has expanded since this morning, which makes me think this is about 110 knots.

[HurricaneRyan]

Wow, we finally got a major hurricane. LOL.

[euro6208]

very beautiful but deadly hurricane...

[hurricanes1234]

Does anyone think Raymond will strengthen some more? Perhaps to 125 mph?