18:00 UTC Tropical model suite=Isabel to Colombia !!!!!

[cycloneye]

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03091118

This is like an excersise up and down up and down but let's see if they go up at 00Z or stay south tonight.Colombia should be preparing.

[chris_fit]

Link dont work

[cycloneye]

I can open it is good link.

[rob8303]

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/tropical/atlantic/models/03091118

This is like an excersise up and down up and down but let's see if they go up at 00Z or stay south tonight.

WOW!!!!

[ameriwx2003]

Take a look at the BAMD solution lol.. I doubt that:):)

[cycloneye]

I too dont see that BAMD solution as a credible one.

[ameriwx2003]

Luis.. nor do I.. Are the Tropical models run off the GFS data?. I am curious to know if they are or not:):)

[weathergymnast]

We have one model Giving up and taking it on a one way trip to the rain forest. ^^" We have another one saying it is going to stop in its track and then reverse. ^^" Oh so much fun.

[cycloneye]

Good question you ask ameriwx2003 but let's hope someone comes with an answer.

[Ground_Zero_92]

This is like an excersise up and down up and down but let's see if they go up at 00Z or stay south tonight.

PULL OUT THE PROZAC!!!

I'm Happy ... I'm Sad ... I'm Happy ... I'm Sad ... Good Model Run... Bad Model Run

Geezz, we're all going to get Manic Depression if we keep looking at these models run to run!!

[cycloneye]

Someone bring a grafic of this to see those lines all over the place.

[Weathermaster]

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... model.html

[cycloneye]

Oh my Isabel to Colombia wow.

[rob8303]

HOW THE HECK IS THIS STORM GOING TO WEAKEN 25-30 MPH IN JUST 1 DAY? RE-SHIPS?

[MWatkins]

Luis.. nor do I.. Are the Tropical models run off the GFS data?. I am curious to know if they are or not:):)

The tropicals were run off the 6Z GFS at 12Z and the 18Z models go against the 12Z background. The 6Z gfs was a mess but it has sort of righted itself at 12Z which is why the models have come back to the left.

The GFS should stand for the Global Flipflop Suite.

MW

[cycloneye]

LOL MW

[stormernie]

The suite is run using the GFS as the background, thus, don't put much into it. The one we should be relying on is the ECMWF (European).

Ernie

[rob8303]

Luis.. nor do I.. Are the Tropical models run off the GFS data?. I am curious to know if they are or not:):)

The tropicals were run off the 6Z GFS at 12Z and the 18Z models go against the 12Z background. The 6Z gfs was a mess but it has sort of righted itself at 12Z which is why the models have come back to the left.

The GFS should stand for the Global Flipflop Suite.

MW

Yes, the GFS has multiple personality disorder. MikeW, do you see this getting past the 75 w line?

[HeatherAKC]

This is making me mad! Mad, crazy. Going north, going south, Sfla hit, NC hit, trough, high pressure, west, north. ACKKKK!!!!!! (Pulls out hair) It's *almost* funny. But somehow, not quite......

[JCT777]

The LBAR looks like the most sane track, IMO.