Possible development in Eastern Atlantic (Is Invest 98L)

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HurricaneTracker2031
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#21 Postby HurricaneTracker2031 » Sun Oct 06, 2013 11:22 am

My Opinion Regarding this Possible Development and More. http://goo.gl/wUICNS

:D
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Re: Possible development in Eastern Atlantic - 10% / 30%

#22 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 06, 2013 12:38 pm

Up from 0% to 10%.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE LATER THIS
WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...
30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
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#23 Postby Gustywind » Sun Oct 06, 2013 1:40 pm

2 PM TWD:

TROPICAL WAVE SW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS EXTENDS FROM 15N26W
TO 6N27W MOVING W-NW NEAR 15 KT. WAVE IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE
OF A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE SSMI TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY AND IS WELL DEFINED IN THE LOW LEVEL
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 21W-31W.
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Re: Possible development in Eastern Atlantic - 10% / 30%

#24 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 06, 2013 2:17 pm

Looking a little bit better as sun goes down in the area. Saved image.

Image
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#25 Postby HurricaneTracker2031 » Sun Oct 06, 2013 2:37 pm

It looks pretty good right now. This might be something to watch.
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Re: Possible development in Eastern Atlantic - 10% / 30%

#26 Postby Sanibel » Sun Oct 06, 2013 5:41 pm

Late wave. We'll see if there's anything left to CV.
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Re: Possible development in Eastern Atlantic - 20% / 40%

#27 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 06, 2013 6:38 pm

Up to 20% / 40%

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CONCENTRATED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 400
MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE LATER THIS WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

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Re: Possible development in Eastern Atlantic (Is Invest 98L)

#28 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 06, 2013 6:51 pm

Go to the Invest 98L discussion thread to continue with the comments.
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