2013 Atl season ends at 13/2/0 or will be more thru end?

[cycloneye]

Let's keep the votes mounting in this poll to have a good representation from the S2K community about this important question. A reminder that the poll closes on September 30 at 5:38 PM EDT.

['CaneFreak]

Please don't EVER use the term -NAO again. You clearly don't know what it means. You are doing the public and the meteorological community a great injustice telling them it means this when it doesn't mean this at all. Thanks.

neg NAO is always unfavorable for landfalls which is why landfalls are down since the neg NAO has dominated the last 4 seasons. this time of year especially the neg NAO stops development for several reasons. it forces stronger and stronger fronts moving off the east coast and causes a strong east coast trof which kills in close development anywhere except the extreme south BOC.

['CaneFreak]

Please change the year at the top in the poll question. Can't believe no one noticed it. It's 2013 not 2012.

[cycloneye]

Please change the year at the top in the poll question. Can't believe no one noticed it. It's 2013 not 2012.

Yikes! Thanks for pointing the error out.

[chaser1]

Given the odd nature of the season, I was torn between 3 & 5 additional named storms. Went with 3 given the nearly "automatic" mid/north Atlantic "Wastacane" (or Baroclin-icane LOL) as some point during the upcoming 6 weeks. Hard not to get at least one or two of those in our present Satellite era. Then I'd expect at least one more sheared "tropical abortion" to develop of out a West Caribbean wave, and finally just can't help but think that there's going to be an additional (or two) hurricane develop in the Caribbean or Gulf before its all said and done.

Seems to hard to bet against the odds and presume that there would'nt be at least 1 Major hurricane yet to form. Not sure how many years during the modern satellite era that there have been years without a major hurricane. 1972 was an El Nino year and there were no major hurricanes but otherwise would not think there were more than one or two other years that did not.

[Hammy]

1972 was an El Nino year and there were no major hurricanes but otherwise would not think there were more than one or two other years that did not.

In the satellite era there were only four (1968, 72, 86, and 94, though I personally think Florence may have been a major) so it is indeed quite unusual.

[CrazyC83]

1994 would have been the ultimate year of frustration had S2K existed - only one brief (marginal) hurricane up to the end of October...

[hurricanes1234]

1994 would have been the ultimate year of frustration had S2K existed - only one brief (marginal) hurricane up to the end of October...

That was in the Atlantic, but the Pacific that year had 22 depressions and 5 major hurricanes, 2 of which were Category 5s. This year, the Atlantic is behaving like an El Niño year, but the Pacific is behaving like a La Niña year. One hurricane in both basins, as of late September surpassed Category 1 status, Henriette, which peaked at 105 mph, just short of a major hurricane. None of the others made it past Category 1 status, and the majority of all the systems were weak and short-lived tropical storms or minimal hurricanes which perished after attaining the 85 mph benchmark. Only Henriette made it past 100 mph, but it did so too late, and ended up being just shy of major hurricane status (which I still think it was). In other words, both basins are displaying unusually low ACEs for this time of year.

[cycloneye]

Only 26 votes so far? I hope that there is more participation in this poll before it closes on September 30 at 5:38 PM EDT.

[TheStormExpert]

It seems that people have lost interest in this lackluster season a while back.

[chaser1]

Only 26 votes so far? I hope that there is more participation in this poll before it closes on September 30 at 5:38 PM EDT.

Maybe this pole would get more mileage if moved to the "Thoughts on Activity as Heart of Season has Passed" forum. For that matter, could'nt the "End of Season Forecast" forum & "Thoughts on Activity as Heart of Season Passed" be merged? Am just saying that i'm even forgetting which place I may have posted or read a post given a little bit of duplication of forums?

[brunota2003]

I said 5. I think we'll get a couple storms in Oct/Nov...western Caribbean should open up, like in seasons past.

[RainbowAppleJackDash]

I voted more than 6.
I'm going with 8. Up to Sebastian. Just my opinion! I think October and November will be supersonic speedy. And maybe December.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[weatherwindow]

Good evening all....hats in the ring for 3...Grtz from KW, Rich

[cycloneye]

For those who still have not voted you have two days to do so as poll closes on September 30 at 5:38 PM EDT.

[cycloneye]

A few hours left until poll closes at 5:38 PM EDT. Season now is at 10/2/0.