ATL: HUMBERTO - Remnants - Discussion

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

Doesn't this look like a hurricane?

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Almost but not quite. Needs a better inner core structure, which it should gain during diurnal maximum (we see how much it changed last night). Should become a hurricane veryyy close to the record.

[WeatherGuesser]

P.S. That giant TIFF photo posted above caused my computer to hang up for a few minutues...

I've taken steps to prevent that kind of thing. Too bad posters can't be more considerate.

[Sanibel]

Tops warming. Close to hurricane in appearance.

[HURAKAN]

If we base our opinion on how it looks, then it doesn't look like a hurricane.

[Hurricane_Luis]

The record is at 12Z tomorrow, which means that we're still over 16 hours from reaching it.

What time did Gustav become a hurricane?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2002gustav.shtml

BT has:
11 / 0600 36.8 73.0 977 60 Tropical Storm
11 / 1200 38.0 70.8 971 70 Hurricane

so I would guess around 0900 UTC (500 AM EDT)

But I think the difference is Time-zones. Im in the United Kingdom, while you're in the United States.

[supercane4867]

T4.0 from TAFB

AL, 09, 201309101800, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1460N, 2790W, , 2, 65, 2, 987, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, MN, VI, 3, 4040 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, AODT RAW 2.8 AT 1615Z BASED ON CDO ; CB 1.4 TENTHS Y

[SeGaBob]

Post regarding the record on NHC's facebook page was posted at 3:59pm...


NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center
As a number of folks know, we are approaching a record for the latest formation of the season's first hurricane, at least in the satellite era. Since 1967, the latest formation of the season's first hurricane was 8 am ET September 11th (Gustav in 2002). As it happens, Humberto is approaching hurricane strength with 8 am on the 11th also just around the corner (to mix a space-time metaphor). So this might be a good time to remind folks that NHC always conducts a post-storm analysis of each tropical cyclone. We usually adjust the final positions and intensities a little bit in this analysis, and sometimes we make substantial adjustments, based on information that we might not have had in real time.

The point being that regardless of when Humberto might become a hurricane in our advisories, the final final call on whether or not we actually set a record will not be determined until the post-storm analysis is complete, several weeks or perhaps even a couple months from now.

[cycloneye]

...HUMBERTO ALMOST A HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 28.1W
ABOUT 245 MI...400 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES

Read 5 PM Discussion here.

[Hammy]

Latest NHC discussion mentions the dry air.

THE MAIN IMMEDIATE NEGATIVE FACTOR FOR FURTHER STRENGTHENING APPEARS TO BE
DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF HUMBERTO THAT MAY
BE GETTING INTO THE INNER CORE...

Also going to come short of the record by only a few hours if the forecast holds.

[WeatherGuesser]

Post regarding the record on NHC's facebook page was posted at 3:59pm...


NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center

The point being that regardless of when Humberto might become a hurricane in our advisories, the final final call on whether or not we actually set a record will not be determined until the post-storm analysis is complete, several weeks or perhaps even a couple months from now.

BOO!! HISS!!

[TJRE]

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/


I will let this loop speak for itself



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latest NRL visible

[HurricaneDREW92]

POP.

[tolakram]

P.S. That giant TIFF photo posted above caused my computer to hang up for a few minutues...

I've taken steps to prevent that kind of thing. Too bad posters can't be more considerate.

We have report button for a reason. If something is causing issues please report it so we can take a look. I don't see any TIFF files posted, and I'm on an android tablet and not having any loading issues. If your computer is not up to the task please be considerate and don't expect everyone to reduce their experience to your hardware capabilities.

That said, if there is a genuine problem with an image do report it, I know I'd be glad to change it to a link.

[CrazyC83]

POP.

Trying to wake up!

[Sanibel]

If the tops were the sole measure it I'd say it will either just make it or not make it. Might be wrong I don't know.

[TJRE]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/09L_floater.html

Floater Slide Show
Images as of 20:45 UTC



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the question... is the glass.half full or half empty???

Nexsat View --click twice its nice!!!
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/NEXSAT.html



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[ninel conde]

getting hit by dry air. looks like its turned nw into the dry air.

[TJRE]

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MSG/RGB/AIRMASS/index.htm

Eumetsat Airmass 22:00UTC

Screen Shot



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[HURAKAN]

Latest infrared

[hurricanes1234]

So then this means that Humberto could stop just 4 mph before hurricane strength?!

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.