ATL: HUMBERTO - Remnants - Discussion

[CrazyC83]

Has there ever been a major hurricane east of 30W? (At least in the satellite era)

[Hammy]

Has there ever been a major hurricane east of 30W? (At least in the satellite era)

Yes, Frances in 1980.
"1980 - Hurricane Frances intensified into a Category 3 hurricane further south and east than any other storm on record, doing so at 29.8°W."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Atlantic_hurricane_records#Extreme_latitudes_and_longitudes

[TheStormExpert]

Has there ever been a major hurricane east of 30W? (At least in the satellite era)

Hurricane Julia (2010)?

[ozonepete]

It's got the look now. Nice symmetry and banding. LLC most likely tucking under the convection now, though we need more microwave sat to find out.

[AJC3]

Has there ever been a major hurricane east of 30W? (At least in the satellite era)

Hurricane Julia (2010)?

Oh-so-close. Julia reached MH status around 31W.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL122010_Julia.pdf

[ozonepete]

Has there ever been a major hurricane east of 30W? (At least in the satellite era)

Hurricane Julia (2010)?

Oh-so-close. Julia reached MH status around 31W.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL122010_Julia.pdf

This one has a shot at getting somewhere high on that list. To clarify, high on the list of easternmost Majors, IF it makes major of course.

[MGC]

Looking better and better....should make hurricane in a day or so......MGC

[RL3AO]

Thats where the center was in the last microwave pass. NHC's latest position is a tad bit further west (-25.9)

[lester]

AL, 09, 2013091006, , BEST, 0, 142N, 263W, 55, 998, TS

[Hammy]

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/loop.asp?product=4kmirimg&storm_identifier=AL092013&starting_image=2013AL09_4KMIRIMG_201309092345.GIF

Outflow looks like its finally expanding in all directions and the convection is beginning to curl around. I guess I shall have crow for breakfast.

[RL3AO]

Should become at minimum a category 2 in the next few days.

[Hurricane Alexis]

Looks like the record will be kept.

[dexterlabio]

Would be quite frustrating if it won't reach major status after the long wait.

[Frank2]

Looks like the record will be kept.

I don't know - it's still dealing with easterly shear and an eye-type feature has not been visible so far, so we'll see...

P.S. Does anyone have a current image - I can't find one on the NHC site...

Thanks

[RL3AO]

Its trying to form one Frank.



Clearly shows an improved center location in relation to the convection.

[tolakram]

10Z



from http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MSG/RGB/NATURALCOLOR/FULLRESOLUTION/index.htm

[Frank2]

Interesting photo - it appears the MLC and LLC are not vertically stacked, but that might be just my interpretation (one looks to be the south (or north) of the other)...

If that's true then it might have a hard time reaching hurricane status - we'll see...

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track remains at 55kts.

AL, 09, 2013091012, , BEST, 0, 143N, 274W, 55, 998, TS

[Sanibel]

IR makes it appear like it is gulping dry air. Could bust and remain a TS.

[RL3AO]

I see a tropical cyclone that continues to look better than it did 12 hours previous. Its a 55kt TS. Its not supposed to have a CDO or and eye. Its an intensifying TS that will likely be a hurricane by tonight.