ATL: HUMBERTO - Remnants - Discussion

[Cyclenall]

Up to 45 kts at 18z Best Track

AL, 09, 2013090918, , BEST, 0, 136N, 249W, 45, 1002, TS

Only 20 knots until we're screwed. Needless to say, I hate Humberto. I knew when the GFS brought the bugger back I was done. Hopefully that magical shear that always messes up other systems non-stop comes to the rescue this time.

[CrazyC83]

Up to 45 kts at 18z Best Track

AL, 09, 2013090918, , BEST, 0, 136N, 249W, 45, 1002, TS

Only 20 knots until we're screwed. Needless to say, I hate Humberto. I knew when the GFS brought the bugger back I was done. Hopefully that magical shear that always messes up other systems non-stop comes to the rescue this time.

That might be a conservative estimate, as several sources have it as high as T3.5 (55 kt) right now.

[Cyclenall]

That might be a conservative estimate, as several sources have it as high as T3.5 (55 kt) right now.

Yes, I can see it.

[hurricanes1234]

This looks a lot stronger than 50 mph. It looks like at least 65 mph.

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[cycloneye]

Let's see if we get a microwave pass in the next few hours to see how the inner core is.

[Sanibel]

From the looks of it the record is safe.


Season on!

[hurricanes1234]

From the looks of it the record is safe.


Season on!

You mean the previous September 11th record?

[ozonepete]

From the looks of it the record is safe.


Season on!

You mean the previous September 11th record?

I'm sure that's what he means. This will surely reach hurricane before tomorrow midnight. Those who ante'd up, pay up, lol.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Its such a waste and darn shame to, if the record stands. Because Humberto looks like it will reach hurricane status and remain so just for a couple days then weaken back down to tropical storm. Just enough to curse those of us who wanted to see the record broken.

[Ntxw]

It would be a waste not to get the record, I hope Humberto slows down intensifying until the time has passed so that we have something to show for going through one of the toughest periods for any hurricane season. After that it can blossom into a cat 5 so that we can study and be in awe as a fish, shut the thing down and call it a season .

[ozonepete]

Oh - I almost forgot - is there a weak Fujiwhara effect going on with Humberto and that previous invest to it's NW - the above GOES 13 color photo does show some interaction between the two...

Frank

They (the centers) are too far apart, about 1,000 miles I would say. Fujiwhara usually starts occurring at 800 miles or so. The thin line of clouds that connects them is very common for two TCs at that distance. I've never heard a name for that cloud line (a convergence zone) but I always wondered if it had a name.

[HurricaneDREW92]

It would be a waste not to get the record, I hope Humberto slows down intensifying until the time has passed so that we have something to show for going through one of the toughest periods for any hurricane season. After that it can blossom into a cat 5 so that we can study and be in awe as a fish, shut the thing down and call it a season .

Typical of 2013, want a hurricane, get nothing, don't want it, get it

[beoumont]

Oh - I almost forgot - is there a weak Fujiwhara effect going on with Humberto and that previous invest to it's NW - the above GOES 13 color photo does show some interaction between the two...

Frank

They (the centers) are too far apart, about 1,000 miles I would say. Fujiwhara usually starts occurring at 800 miles or so. The thin line of clouds that connects them is very common for two TCs at that distance. I've never heard a name for that cloud line (a convergence zone) but I always wondered if it had a name.

Umbilical cloud.

[CrazyC83]

Humberto is trying to keep Gustav-02 in the lead...

[supercane]

Microwave shows center may be farther north than prior satellite estimates:

[Hammy]

Microwave shows center may be farther north than prior satellite estimates:

Once again it seems yet another system looks better on satellite than it actually is.

[brunota2003]

Looks like 14.5N and 24.5W? The latest AVN image is from 20:45 UTC (about 45 minutes before that microwave image). Looking at that, and pinpointing my estimated center off the microwave image, puts the LLC on the far NE edge of the convection.

[CrazyC83]

From my view, the center looks to be at 13.4N 25.8W, perhaps relocating there.

[hurricanes1234]

Will the wind shear abate soon?

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

Will the wind shear abate soon?

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Already in the process of doing so.