I'm a veteran of the Andrew evacuation and rebuilding, and been an avid hurricane history buff for all my time in Florida, more than 15 years.
I remember before Andrew that one of my friends decoded the mixed messages and deluge of information and fled the Keys before the panic started. He figured out that a high would prevent Andrew from recurving before the weathermen were really telling anyone to pay attention -- of course the near-dissipation of Andrew a few days earlier threw a lot of people off the track.
Anyway, I pay attention now to the models and discussions, because the weather forecasters on TV are very sensitive to charges of overhyping the risk too early. But this one is unsettling. I'm reading all the discussions and looking at model tracks. I'm also superstitious about storms with latin female names
Anyway, the real point of my post is to ask for any advice about the best views of the models and any other information that you all find useful, anything in addition to the regular hurricane forecast discussions issued by the NHC.
I'm hearing mixed signals from my reading of the model forecasts -- some mention a trough reaching the East Coast, which I assume would cause the storm to recurve, and a strong Bermuda high, which I assume would prevent that.
Yes, it's early to know about the threat to S Florida. But I have one house under contract to sell and a house in the Keys to protect if this thing looks any more serious, so I'm trying to think WAY ahead.
Thanks in advance and good luck to everyone.
