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Estofex: A level 2 was issued for NE Algeria, N-Tunisia, Sardinia, the Tyrrhenian Sea and Sicily mainly for large to very large hail (hail diameter in excess of 5 cm is possible), severe wind gusts and excessive rain. An isolated tornado event is possible.
Beyond 21Z, environmental conditions become more supportive for a rapid increase of well organized convection from NE-Algeria towards the Tyrrhenian Sea. Numerous supercells are forecast, which grow upscale into a severe mesoscale convective system.
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