ISABEL #16 - ADVISORY

[AussieMark]

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WTNT33 KNHC 100250
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE SEP 09 2003

...ISABEL STILL A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 48.8 WEST OR ABOUT 875
MILES...1410 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
...22 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS...ALTHOUGH FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN MAJOR
HURRICANES.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...20.6 N... 48.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN