ATL: ANDREA - Post-Tropical

[tolakram]

A lot of convection south of the center now.



Center visible in latest sat image

[Dean4Storms]

She really took off. CMC was the closest with intensity for sure!

[NDG]

Radar loop of Andrea centered right over her COC.

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/gen_nids.cgi ... .9%2C-84.9

Note: I will erase this image in a few minutes:

[Extratropical1]

Spring Hill checking in - 1.74 inches last 24 hours 999mb and falling

[northjaxpro]

The last few loops of the radar show that the COC may be moving more northeast now. Also, it still looks as if Andrea is trying to cloe off an eyewall at this hour. Andrea is really trying her very best to become a hurricane before landfall. I think hopefully she will fall just short of that. We shall see.

[ronjon]

Andrea's really starting to tighten up her circulation - and appears moving more E-NE now. I wouldn't be surprised that its strengthening again.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=TBW&loop=yes

[caneman]

As if Andrea is heading more east than the official track. Might be heading towards Cedar Key if not a little further south.

Does look to be pushing more East. Perhaps Cedar Key. Not that it matters as everyone to the right is getting it good.

[MBryant]

Developing: Tornado was reported on the ground 12 miles NW of Markham Park in Broward Co., Florida (8:10 am EDT)-TS Andrea-related

http://twitter.com/stormchaser4850

Hope the children are safe. I know they can't cancel the last day of school. I don't think this was expected here was it?

They CAN cancel the last day of school if it involves safety. Forget the parties.

[gatorcane]

The squall line approaching Tampa Bay from the SW is holding in tact and in fact I am seeing some red signatures showing up on radar...

May see some new warnings go up as this squall line approaches the coast.

Great ready TreasureIslandFLGal!

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

downpours now, and not even in the red on radar. If this is just the moderate stuff, that red stuff coming will be incredible rain rates!

so glad I now work from home!!!

[tolakram]

Don't forget we have an observation thread: viewtopic.php?f=59&t=115058&hilit=&view=unread#unread

[NDG]

downpours now, and not even in the red on radar. If this is just the moderate stuff, that red stuff coming will be incredible rain rates!

so glad I now work from home!!!

Tropical rains most times are underestimated by radar.

[Blown Away]

This map is not exact and represents tracks of hurricanes during years when a tropical system landfalled along Florida's west coast during June. Probably means nothing, but maybe a June pattern can give some idea of what will happen later in the season?? The hurricanes seem to track farther west during these years.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Local weather just pointed out additional suspected tornadic activity within the big band of heavy rain offshore, sw of Tampa Bay. It will be coming in, so they gave the heads up that we should see some more warnigns going up as it gets closer. The band also has lots of lightning, which is not as common to see in tropical systems.

[Bocadude85]

Reports coming in of some signifigant damage in the Acerage, which is in Palm Beach County. I have family right around where some of the worst damage is and they said the wind just started howling and things began flying by and then it was over.. lasted about 20 seconds.

[gatorcane]

Is Andrea taking a bit of an eastwardly jog? Looks like it looping the radar and SAT imagery:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-vis.html

Plus convection continues to build around the center of Andrea. Quite impressive she has organized this quickly in a matter of 24 hours I must say!

We may have to tip our hat to the CMC when this is done, though I think the CMC showed even a stronger system than this right now.

The CMC did get a big SW upgrade this year so that may have helped it forecast this.

Still the GFS and Euro did not show this when you looked at their runs from several days ago.

I remember when the GFS was trying to split the low in the Eastern Gulf but kept both lows weak.

I am not going to jump on the CMC bandwagon, but maybe give it some credit this time

[adam0983]

This storm is incredible considering that it is June and the storm went through the shear, the dry air, Andrea has done Rapid Intensification over the past 12 hours.

[wzrgirl1]

Developing: Tornado was reported on the ground 12 miles NW of Markham Park in Broward Co., Florida (8:10 am EDT)-TS Andrea-related

http://twitter.com/stormchaser4850

Hope the children are safe. I know they can't cancel the last day of school. I don't think this was expected here was it?

They CAN cancel the last day of school if it involves safety. Forget the parties.

parties, graduations, awards ceremonies, etc. They didn't cancel.

[NDG]

This storm is incredible considering that it is June and the storm went through the shear, the dry air, Andrea has done Rapid Intensification over the past 12 hours.

I don't know about rapid intensification but surely she looks better and stronger than many thought she was going to be this morning. Hurricane models had no idea with this system, they were trash.
I hope she is not a sign of what is to come for this season. This might be a good example of what happens when the Caribbean has higher than average instability unlike the last couple of years.

[adam0983]

I agree