ATL: ANDREA - Post-Tropical

[AJC3]

grrrr all this technology.. still.cant.get.away from the dumb satellite eclipse.

The GOES-E eclipse ended in late April.

[Dave]

[Dave]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 060444
XXAA 56048 99279 70876 08177 99009 26037 05517 00082 25232 05520
92763 20220 08024 85491 17231 07025 88999 77999
31313 09608 80424
61616 AF303 0201A ANDREA OB 03
62626 MBL WND 05519 AEV 07520 DLM WND 06521 009843 WL150 05519 08
2 REL 2785N08762W 042447 SPG 2785N08763W 042716 =
XXBB 56048 99279 70876 08177 00009 26037 11940 20608 22850 17231
33843 16438
21212 00009 05517 11995 05520 22970 06017 33956 06522 44920 08024
55876 06521 66855 07526 77843 06523
31313 09608 80424
61616 AF303 0201A ANDREA OB 03
62626 MBL WND 05519 AEV 07520 DLM WND 06521 009843 WL150 05519 08
2 REL 2785N08762W 042447 SPG 2785N08763W 042716 =
;

[Dave]

DECODED DROPSONDE OB 03

00

Code: Select all

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 6th day of the month at 04:44Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 303)
Storm Number: 01
Storm Name: Andrea (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 03

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 4Z on the 6th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 850mb
Coordinates: 27.9N 87.6W
Location: 177 miles (285 km) to the S (188°) from Pensacola, FL, USA.
Marsden Square: 081 (About)

Level   Geo. Height   Air Temp.   Dew Point   Wind Direction   Wind Speed
1009mb (29.80 inHg)   Sea Level (Surface)   26.0°C (78.8°F)   22.3°C (72.1°F)   55° (from the NE)   17 knots (20 mph)
1000mb   82m (269 ft)   25.2°C (77.4°F)   22.0°C (71.6°F)   55° (from the NE)   20 knots (23 mph)
925mb   763m (2,503 ft)   20.2°C (68.4°F)   18.2°C (64.8°F)   80° (from the E)   24 knots (28 mph)
850mb   1,491m (4,892 ft)   17.2°C (63.0°F)   14.1°C (57.4°F)   70° (from the ENE)   25 knots (29 mph)

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 4:24Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.

Remarks Section...

Location of Highest Altitude where wind was reported: 27.85N 87.62W
Time of Highest Altitude where wind was reported: 4:24:47Z

Location of Lowest Altitude where wind was reported: 27.85N 87.63W
Time of Lowest Altitude where wind was reported: 4:27:16Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 55° (from the NE)
- Wind Speed: 19 knots (22 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 65° (from the ENE)
- Wind Speed: 21 knots (24 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 843mb to 1009mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 157 gpm - 7 gpm (515 geo. feet - 23 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 55° (from the NE)
- Wind Speed: 19 knots (22 mph)


[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 060500
AF303 0201A ANDREA HDOB 09 20130606
045200 2658N 08638W 8424 01526 //// +162 //// 053034 035 029 001 01
045230 2657N 08636W 8433 01515 0041 +161 +160 049034 036 031 000 01
045300 2656N 08635W 8428 01517 0040 +160 +160 039034 035 031 000 01
045330 2655N 08634W 8435 01510 0039 +160 +156 031029 034 031 000 01
045400 2654N 08632W 8429 01512 0034 +164 +162 031023 026 031 001 00
045430 2653N 08631W 8427 01511 0029 +166 +163 027022 023 029 001 00
045500 2652N 08629W 8432 01509 0026 +171 +159 034018 021 027 000 00
045530 2651N 08628W 8434 01504 0026 +171 +161 050014 016 028 001 00
045600 2650N 08626W 8435 01502 0025 +171 +160 053014 015 029 003 01
045630 2649N 08625W 8429 01509 0025 +174 +146 041011 012 024 001 00
045700 2648N 08624W 8428 01509 0025 +171 +150 038012 013 017 000 00
045730 2646N 08622W 8430 01506 0026 +167 +154 025011 012 018 001 03
045800 2645N 08621W 8428 01506 0026 +159 +157 022009 010 014 000 05
045830 2645N 08619W 8428 01507 0032 +159 //// 067008 010 027 006 01
045900 2644N 08618W 8437 01497 0025 +161 +158 060009 010 018 003 01
045930 2643N 08616W 8429 01504 0024 +165 +157 053008 009 007 000 00
050000 2641N 08615W 8430 01502 0021 +165 +155 041004 008 009 000 00
050030 2640N 08614W 8429 01502 0020 +167 +159 039003 004 013 001 00
050100 2639N 08613W 8432 01500 0019 +167 +159 054001 004 012 000 01
050130 2637N 08612W 8433 01499 0022 +165 //// 262002 003 017 004 01
$

1002.0 mb no flag

[brunota2003]

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Well, I was going to do one of my wind maps, but while I was doing it I got frustrated and decided to not do it for this storm. The zoomed out that the NHC has for their TS force winds make it a pain in the butt, so many pixels to mess with, etc. Given that, I decided to try out something a bit different. I had posted a color coded "Hurricane Awareness Level" option in the Sandy Assessment threat, and I figured this storm would be a good test of it. I was planning on doing both, but guess it'll only be the one for now.

I used the TS wind graphic product again, and did 3 time frames, to help "map out" the lines.

Orange
I used the 36 hr TS wind map, using the 20% line:
http://img826.imageshack.us/img826/558/36hrtsmap.gif

Yellow
I used the 60 hr TS wind map, using the 20% line extending off of the Orange:
http://img12.imageshack.us/img12/8682/60hrtsmap.gif

Blue
I used the 120 hr TS wind map, and I used the outside of the colors as the basis:
http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/2912/120hrtsmap.gif

Here are the "Awareness Level" meanings (roughly, for a beginning):

Greater than 36 hours out

Green:
All clear, no threats expected in the next 120 hours.

Blue:
Possible impacts from a tropical cyclone within the next 120 hours, residents should monitor the latest information and start checking their supplies. Cities should prepare for potential emergency operations. (For this, an area could be highlighted, and this does NOT match the cone! This is for all potential impacts)

Amber/Yellow:
Impacts from a tropical cyclone are possible starting within the next 60 hours, residents should continue to monitor the latest information and prepare for adverse weather conditions. Cities should activate their emergency operations groups, if they have not done so already. Evacuation considerations should be made in accordance to local operating procedures.

Less than 36 hours out

Orange:
Minor to moderate impacts from a tropical cyclone are likely, starting within the next 24 to 36 hours. Residents should continue to monitor the latest information and rush to completion any preparations. Potential impacts include sporadic power outages (generally only a day or two for outages to be restored), minor to moderate wind or surge damage, and potential for minor to moderate inland flooding. Residents in these locations should be prepared for a possibility of an upgrade to Red if the storm changes course or if conditions appear they will be worse than currently forecast. Winds will generally be in the 35 to 75 mph range, with surge in the 1 to 7 ft range (altered for regional vulnerabilities).

Red:
Severe impacts from a tropical cyclone are likely, starting within the next 24 to 36 hours. Residents should continue to monitor the latest information and rush to completion any preparations. Impacts include, but are not limited to, long duration power outages (1 to 2 weeks or more), significant wind or surge damage, including complete destruction of some structures, and potential for moderate to major inland flooding. Evacuations should be underway and nearing completion, as severe impacts are expected in less than 24 hours. Residents within this area may be on their own for survival, and survival may be difficult to near impossible within some areas. Winds will generally be in the 75 to 115 mph range, with storm surge in the 7 to 15 ft range.

Black:
Extremely dangerous and life threatening weather conditions are imminent (within 12 to 24 hours) or ongoing, and potentially include high winds, large storm surge, etc. Impacts include, but are not limited to, long term power outages (greater than 2 weeks), complete destruction of houses or buildings are possible in many areas due to winds or surge, and potential for major to record inland flooding. Residents within this area will be on their own for survival until after the storm passes, and survival will be difficult to near impossible within most areas. Winds will generally be in the 115 to 170 mph range, with storm surge in the 15 to 25+ ft range.

And now, here is what the map looks like:



Comments?

Note:
I think for future ones I create, outside of 36 hours, I will use the outside line on the TS map. It is just something I figured I would try out.

[Aric Dunn]

grrrr all this technology.. still.cant.get.away from the dumb satellite eclipse.

The GOES-E eclipse ended in late April.

guess it was my.cache...

[brunota2003]

Wow okay, so much for keeping to their schedule

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 060510
AF303 0201A ANDREA HDOB 10 20130606
050200 2636N 08610W 8428 01503 0019 +168 +162 268002 002 006 000 00
050230 2635N 08609W 8433 01496 0018 +170 +162 225003 004 006 000 00
050300 2634N 08608W 8429 01500 0016 +171 +161 248004 005 004 000 00
050330 2633N 08606W 8429 01501 0013 +175 +163 265006 007 004 000 00
050400 2631N 08605W 8429 01500 0011 +175 +162 278009 009 005 000 00
050430 2630N 08604W 8432 01496 0010 +178 +159 268006 009 006 000 00
050500 2629N 08602W 8428 01501 0009 +179 +157 266011 011 008 000 00
050530 2628N 08601W 8436 01492 0011 +177 +157 256013 014 010 000 03
050600 2627N 08600W 8429 01500 0014 +171 +159 250016 018 018 000 00
050630 2625N 08558W 8428 01502 0016 +166 +163 246021 022 021 000 00
050700 2624N 08557W 8428 01502 0014 +175 +156 249019 020 025 000 00
050730 2623N 08556W 8433 01499 0015 +174 +158 243022 023 027 000 00
050800 2622N 08554W 8433 01500 0020 +170 +155 228027 028 027 000 00
050830 2621N 08553W 8425 01509 0022 +170 +156 231029 029 029 000 00
050900 2619N 08552W 8433 01502 0021 +170 +157 233030 030 030 000 00
050930 2618N 08550W 8427 01508 0022 +174 +153 230031 033 032 000 00
051000 2617N 08549W 8425 01513 0022 +177 +154 223035 037 033 000 00
051030 2616N 08548W 8433 01505 0024 +175 +151 217040 041 034 000 00
051100 2615N 08547W 8429 01510 0025 +175 +155 216045 045 033 000 00
051130 2614N 08545W 8424 01518 0027 +175 +152 213045 045 033 000 00
$$
;

1000.9 mb

[Aric Dunn]

grrrr all this technology.. still.cant.get.away from the dumb satellite eclipse.

The GOES-E eclipse ended in late April.

guess it was my.cache...

nooe still.stuck at 145 tried restarting and everything

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Floater imagery is not working at the moment. 1:45UTC is the last image:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... oater.html

Although other products are available:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html

I see one message about an outage, but it seems related to Mexico...

NOXX01 KWBC 060115
FROM - NWSTG
TO - ALL
SUBJECT - DATA OUTAGE / MEXICO
.
FYI - THE NWSTG INTERFACE WITH MEXICO HAS EXPERIENCED
AN UNSCHEDULED OUTAGE - THERE IS NO EXPECTED RETURN
TO SERVICE - NWSTG CONTINUES TO TROUBLESHOOT AND IS
AWAITING FEEDBACK FROM MEXICO.
.
NWSTG / EEH

From: http://weather.noaa.gov/tgstatus/

[Dave]

[Aric Dunn]

however there is a core showing up on long range. for a ts pretty good.

[AJC3]

Strangely enough, there are two "Andrea's" on the NESDIS storm floater page...one that leads to imagery with a 91L label, and the other with the 01L label. They both just updated with the 0445 UTC image, but there is nothing there from 0145-0445 UTC. Looks like they had a comms issue.

[Dave]

[Dave]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 060517
XXAA 56058 99267 70862 08166 99002 25413 08009 00016 25213 08510
92699 21003 08504 85430 17206 05503 88999 77999
31313 09608 80500
61616 AF303 0201A ANDREA OB 05
62626 CENTER MBL WND 09505 AEV 07520 DLM WND 08503 001843 WL150 0
9008 084 REL 2666N08623W 050031 SPG 2667N08624W 050252 =
XXBB 56058 99267 70862 08166 00002 25413 11850 17206 22843 16404
21212 00002 08009 11977 10004 22930 08005 33897 16501 44856 06004
55843 04503
31313 09608 80500
61616 AF303 0201A ANDREA OB 05
62626 CENTER MBL WND 09505 AEV 07520 DLM WND 08503 001843 WL150 0
9008 084 REL 2666N08623W 050031 SPG 2667N08624W 050252 =
;

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 060520
AF303 0201A ANDREA HDOB 11 20130606
051200 2613N 08544W 8431 01513 0026 +180 +151 215045 045 033 001 00
051230 2611N 08543W 8427 01515 0027 +180 +149 220044 045 033 000 00
051300 2610N 08542W 8430 01514 0032 +175 +150 217041 042 034 001 00
051330 2609N 08540W 8429 01519 0035 +174 +151 220040 041 036 000 00
051400 2608N 08539W 8427 01521 0037 +170 +152 223041 042 035 000 00
051430 2607N 08538W 8429 01519 0039 +170 +155 222042 042 034 000 00
051500 2606N 08537W 8427 01523 0038 +175 +147 223045 046 033 000 00
051530 2605N 08536W 8426 01525 0038 +175 +143 220045 049 032 000 00
051600 2604N 08534W 8435 01517 0041 +171 +145 223047 050 033 000 00
051630 2602N 08533W 8428 01526 0041 +179 +128 223049 050 031 001 00
051700 2601N 08532W 8434 01520 0041 +180 +124 220048 049 032 001 00
051730 2600N 08531W 8426 01528 0044 +180 +119 222049 049 031 000 00
051800 2559N 08529W 8436 01521 0045 +178 +117 220049 049 033 000 00
051830 2558N 08528W 8430 01525 0045 +180 +122 218048 049 033 000 00
051900 2557N 08527W 8429 01528 0047 +175 +148 216050 051 032 001 00
051930 2556N 08526W 8429 01529 0046 +176 +149 220050 051 031 001 00
052000 2555N 08525W 8433 01526 0045 +180 +148 218049 050 031 001 00
052030 2554N 08523W 8427 01533 0047 +176 +153 216049 050 033 001 00
052100 2552N 08522W 8427 01530 0049 +173 +173 217046 048 038 006 00
052130 2551N 08521W 8433 01528 0058 +171 //// 221048 052 041 006 01
$$
;

[Dave]

DECODED DROPSONDE 0B 5

Code: Select all

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 6th day of the month at 05:17Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 303)
Storm Number: 01
Storm Name: Andrea (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 05

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 5Z on the 6th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 850mb
Coordinates: 26.7N 86.2W
Location: 246 miles (396 km) to the WSW (249°) from Tampa, FL, USA.
Marsden Square: 081 (About)

Level   Geo. Height   Air Temp.   Dew Point   Wind Direction   Wind Speed
1002mb (29.59 inHg)   Sea Level (Surface)   25.4°C (77.7°F)   24.1°C (75.4°F)   80° (from the E)   9 knots (10 mph)
1000mb   16m (52 ft)   25.2°C (77.4°F)   23.9°C (75.0°F)   85° (from the E)   10 knots (12 mph)
925mb   699m (2,293 ft)   21.0°C (69.8°F)   20.7°C (69.3°F)   85° (from the E)   4 knots (5 mph)
850mb   1,430m (4,692 ft)   17.2°C (63.0°F)   16.6°C (61.9°F)   55° (from the NE)   3 knots (3 mph)

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 5:00Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.

Remarks Section...

Location of Highest Altitude where wind was reported: 26.66N 86.23W
Time of Highest Altitude where wind was reported: 5:00:31Z

Location of Lowest Altitude where wind was reported: 26.67N 86.24W
Time of Lowest Altitude where wind was reported: 5:02:52Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 95° (from the E)
- Wind Speed: 5 knots (6 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 85° (from the E)
- Wind Speed: 3 knots (3 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 843mb to 1001mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 159 gpm - 9 gpm (522 geo. feet - 30 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 90° (from the E)
- Wind Speed: 8 knots (9 mph)

Sounding Software Version: AEV 07520

Undecoded Remarks (Our system could not determine how to decode this text.)...

CENTER

[jaguarjace]

Strangely enough, there are two "Andrea's" on the NESDIS storm floater page...one that leads to imagery with a 91L label, and the other with the 01L label. They both just updated with the 0445 UTC image, but there is nothing there from 0145-0445 UTC. Looks like they had a comms issue.

Probably site changes as they've added a Arabian Sea section and changed the details on the RGB Enhancement. They should fix the floater page soon.

[brunota2003]

I think they just forgot to delete 91L's link earlier I noticed there was a second link right around upgrade time, and it's been the same since.