Multi-day outbreak of May 25-31

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RL3AO
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#61 Postby RL3AO » Tue May 28, 2013 7:58 pm

A vortex type project would have had a field day with a tornado like that.
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Another day of tornadoes...its a tornado fest!!

#62 Postby Cyclenall » Tue May 28, 2013 9:27 pm

Tireman4 wrote:As far as Sean Casey's video,...wow. This will give the tornadic researchers something great to have. This will be a HUGE boon to tornadic research. The more we know, the safer we become.

Yep, this was a pinnacle moment for tornado research...inside a wedge. If I knew I wasn't going to be harmed in there, I would give my life savings to be in that TIV at the time it hit. How many humans can claim to have been inside, above ground in a violent wedge tornado and actually SEE it? To me, that's like going into outer space and in fact I think I'd pick this experience over going into outer space because I love tornadoes and weather so much.

I had another premonition today that somehow the TIV2 would get up close to another large tornado of some sort today and that there would be an opportunity to go inside another one two days in a row. Guess what? The opportunity showed itself:

Sean Casey @SeanCaseyImax 2h - Sean asked me to post: they weren't planning to chase but tornado came to right where they were. Right now in... http://fb.me/2tKgKamTN

Sean Casey @SeanCaseyImax 2h - TIV next to large tornado again!

Sean Casey @SeanCaseyImax 2h - Filming the tornado from close range but not going inside it this time.

:uarrow: NOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!! :grr: :grr: :grr: Why!!?!? Come on! The whole purpose of the TIV2 and the IMAX camera within is to get inside them and that opportunity has been very scare for the duration of the mission and now they get cold feet. Its hard to knock them for this because of how incredibly dangerous it is but its the opportunity!

That now famous footage is all over TV now, as it should be. A bunch of channels bought the rights to it like CNN, TWC, ABC, and more. He's doing interviews all over the place and this should re-intensify his team's vigor. The reporters ask the simple questions only but not the ones I'd like to know like what part of the video did the door swing open and was there pressure data captured.

TwisterFanatic wrote:Large Tornado heading right towards Corning, KS. Debris ball on radar.

Wow, they are coming like hot cakes off an assembly line! It seems everyday now there is a supercell with a hook, large and extremely dangerous tornado on the ground somewhere, and debris ball with damage. Today's storms were so widespread over the US and even southern Ontario, its rare to get such a setup like that and produce strong twisters.

TropicalAnalystwx13 wrote:Significant and large tornado near Corning, KS a few minutes ago.

Image

That looks like many tornadoes that has occurred in the distance, same scenery and whatnot. During a Feb severe event (forget now the date), there was a western AL wedge that had this type of scene. Same patio space.

TwisterFanatic wrote:Amazing how much the atmosphere is conducive to large tornadoes this year.

Since May 14, its been wild. This is a storm chasers' dream come true. Specifically, this Bennington tornado was a storm chaser's dream...stationary wedge in a field. Can't wait for all the footage from this one. That supercell just stayed in place for what seemed like hours!! :eek:

WeatherGuesser wrote:I don't know how big that town is, but I'd sure hate to be there right now.

Can't imagine what must have been going through their heads at the time, a strong tornado not moving around your house? Yikes!

EF-5bigj wrote:Violent wedge tornadoes on the ground today it makes me wonder about the setup later in the wk.

Yeah, its incredible this is happening on the days leading up to the main sequence, does remind me of 1917. Today over-performed somewhat IMO with all this because constantly since afternoon there have been tornado warnings up to 5+ at times and even now confirmed tornadoes on the ground.

RL3AO wrote:A vortex type project would have had a field day with a tornado like that.

Get that project new emergency funding ASAP! :lol:

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
917 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

TXC117-359-290230-
/O.CON.KAMA.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130529T0230Z/
DEAF SMITH TX-OLDHAM TX-
917 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL OLDHAM AND
NORTHWESTERN DEAF SMITH COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 914 PM CDT...STORM CHASERS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 11
MILES WEST OF SIMMS...OR 29 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VEGA...MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH.
IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE...
SIMMS...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 14 AND 17.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3528 10277 3494 10260 3491 10304 3511 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 252DEG 17KT 3503 10284

$$

JOHNSON
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#63 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Tue May 28, 2013 10:09 pm

We'll have to see how tomorrow turns out. Instability is not expected to be as extreme as it has been the past few days and an approaching speed maximum may produce a lot of "crapvection", but the potential for violent and long-lived tornadoes is definitely high across western Oklahoma up into central Kansas and south-central Nebraska. The LLJ is up to 50 knots by 21z and 60 knots by 00z.
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Re: Multi-day outbreak for most of this week

#64 Postby Peanut432 » Tue May 28, 2013 10:55 pm

I know the mdt area is over westeren ok but how concerned should I be in the se Texas panhandle. I live in western ok but will be in the Childress area tomorrow? I know its in the slight risk area but how bad could get there? Sorry for the grammar I'm on my phone.
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Re: Multi-day outbreak for most of this week

#65 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Tue May 28, 2013 11:04 pm

Peanut432 wrote:I know the mdt area is over westeren ok but how concerned should I be in the se Texas panhandle. I live in western ok but will be in the Childress area tomorrow? I know its in the slight risk area but how bad could get there? Sorry for the grammar I'm on my phone.

Childress is in the 30% hatched slight risk area tomorrow. This means there's a chance your area could see significant severe weather, consisting of large hail in excess hail 2"+ in diameter, damaging wind gusts of 65 knots (75 mph) or higher, and EF2+ tornadoes. Keep an eye to the sky.
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Re: Multi-day outbreak for most of this week

#66 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue May 28, 2013 11:10 pm

Peanut432 wrote:I know the mdt area is over westeren ok but how concerned should I be in the se Texas panhandle. I live in western ok but will be in the Childress area tomorrow? I know its in the slight risk area but how bad could get there? Sorry for the grammar I'm on my phone.


While I think the bigger chance of severe weather is north and east of you, you should monitor the situation as warrants
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Re: Multi-day outbreak for most of this week

#67 Postby Cyclenall » Tue May 28, 2013 11:50 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1139 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

TXC375-381-290500-
/O.CON.KAMA.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130529T0500Z/
POTTER TX-RANDALL TX-
1139 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL RANDALL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL POTTER COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT...

AT 1136 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS AND NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE REPORTING A TORNADO NEAR 45TH AVENUE AND
SONCY ROAD. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF
AMARILLO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.


* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE...
AMARILLO...


THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 27 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 115 AND 123.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 62 AND 80.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. DO NOT WAIT TO
SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3524 10203 3532 10171 3513 10166 3507 10197
TIME...MOT...LOC 0439Z 257DEG 24KT 3517 10190

$$

SCHNEIDER

How long has this tornado warning been out for this storm? Its been hours and hours now! Now a confirmed tornado on the ground (near midnight) heading into the city of Amarillo TX! Tornadoes don't sleep and neither should the folks down there.
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#68 Postby EF-5bigj » Tue May 28, 2013 11:55 pm

That tornado is still on the ground? I checked that warning a few hrs ago I thought it had expired.
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Re: Multi-day outbreak for most of this week

#69 Postby Infdidoll » Wed May 29, 2013 12:07 am

EF-5bigj wrote:That tornado is still on the ground? I checked that warning a few hrs ago I thought it had expired.


I'm wondering the same thing. Tornado warning no longer in effect. Storm still looks ominous on radar and velocity maps. I've been reading reports of baseball size hail there and one girl said it blew out her window.
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#70 Postby EF-5bigj » Wed May 29, 2013 12:25 am

I am worried about wed and Thursday though. These violent wedge tornadoes where in a slight risk area makes me wonder how a moderate risk day will perform.
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#71 Postby Ntxw » Wed May 29, 2013 12:42 am

I feel people shouldn't misunderstand the terms used by the SPC. Slight, moderate, and high risks are percentages, the odds any given area will experience severe weather. You can easily have a violent tornado in a slight risk it's just the odds of experiencing one are lower for any one locale. We need to focus on the wording of the SPC/NWS as well.

Much like last week this week is dry line driven again, perhaps with a little better upper energy. Each day has it's problems and should be taken one at time, not get too worked up or too pessimistic because of what happened the day before.
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Re: Multi-day outbreak for most of this week

#72 Postby Peanut432 » Wed May 29, 2013 12:52 am

Can anyone confirm if there was actually a tornado in Amarillo? I used to live there and 45th and Soncy is inside the loop in Amarillo I believe. The tornado must not have lasted to long or been very strong because I can't find anything about it. Looks like they got some nasty hail though.
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#73 Postby RL3AO » Wed May 29, 2013 1:09 am

Kansas was under a 5% risk of a tornado within 25 miles of any point. There appears to have been 3 tornadic producing storms in Kansas. Most areas of Kansas didn't have a tornado within 25 miles, so overall it was a fine forecast.
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#74 Postby Peanut432 » Wed May 29, 2013 1:13 am

Large moderate risk area on the new update expanded south and westward. Look like Childress in the bulls-eye after all. Will have to keep my weather radio handy.
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#75 Postby Peanut432 » Wed May 29, 2013 1:18 am

Form the spc

REGARDLESS...POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD SURFACE BASED SEVERE TSTM
DEVELOPMENT APPEARS PROBABLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE EASTERN TX
PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST TX INTO WESTERN AND PERHAPS PARTS OF CENTRAL OK
IN ADDITION TO WESTERN KS. SCATTERED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY
LARGE HAIL AND SOME TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH A COUPLE
POTENTIALLY STRONG TORNADOES WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT ACCENTUATED BY A
DIURNALLY STRONG LOW LEVEL JET. A MORE DISCRETE CONVECTIVE MODE IS
MOST PROBABLE IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE DRYLINE...WITH
BACKING MID/HIGH LEVEL WINDS ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR LIKELY
INDICATIVE OF A TENDENCY FOR CLUSTERING OR A MIXED-MODE /BEYOND THE
INITIAL SEVERAL HOURS/ AS STORMS PROGRESS EASTWARD. AS SUCH...THIS
ACTIVITY MAY MERGE/CONTINUE EASTWARD TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS
OF KS/OK AND PERHAPS NORTH TX...WITH DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL AND
SOME TORNADO RISK /ESPECIALLY GIVEN A NOCTURNALLY INTENSIFYING LOW
LEVEL JET/ CONTINUING INTO AT LEAST LATE EVENING IF NOT PARTS OF THE
OVERNIGHT.
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#76 Postby Cyclenall » Wed May 29, 2013 1:36 am

The Amarillo cell is still going with a severe thunderstorm warning on it. It appears to have an appenditch on it or a curvy look to it like another supercell did on Monday.

The MOD risk for today is nice and fat. The SPC discussion is more malicious sounding then all the other days leading up to today. Even in the New York state region there is a chance of a tornado.

MODERATE - 3,234,695 pop. - Oklahoma City, OK...Wichita, KS...Norman, OK...Wichita Falls, TX...Garden City, KS.

SLIGHT - 63,729,604 pop. - New York, NY...San Antonio, TX...Dallas, TX...Austin, TX...Ft. Worth, TX.

United States under siege by severe weather.
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Goodness

#77 Postby Cyclenall » Wed May 29, 2013 2:11 am

TORNADO WARNING
TXC179-290730-
/O.NEW.KAMA.TO.W.0011.130529T0646Z-130529T0730Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
146 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN GRAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...

* UNTIL 230 AM CDT

* AT 142 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS SEVERE
STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF KINGSMILL...OR 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF PAMPA. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS SEVERE STORM MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.


* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...
PAMPA... LEFORS... KINGSMILL...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3562 10069 3541 10060 3532 10105 3552 10108
TIME...MOT...LOC 0647Z 246DEG 30KT 3542 10099

$$

KB

Its baaaaaaaaaaccccccccckkkkkkk! :eek: Insane, this supercell is nocturnal and eternal.
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#78 Postby EF-5bigj » Wed May 29, 2013 2:27 am

Again well this isn't something I thought I would see.
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Re:

#79 Postby wx247 » Wed May 29, 2013 7:32 am

Ntxw wrote:I feel people shouldn't misunderstand the terms used by the SPC. Slight, moderate, and high risks are percentages, the odds any given area will experience severe weather. You can easily have a violent tornado in a slight risk it's just the odds of experiencing one are lower for any one locale. We need to focus on the wording of the SPC/NWS as well.

Much like last week this week is dry line driven again, perhaps with a little better upper energy. Each day has it's problems and should be taken one at time, not get too worked up or too pessimistic because of what happened the day before.


Exactly! I think sometimes people misinterpret the meaning of "slight risk." Yet, we shouldn't be surprised. Several people can't distinguish between a watch and a warning (which I think is public weather forecasting at its most simplistic).

Concerning today, already some decent dynamics in play. Will be interesting to see if morning activity procludes a larger scale event this afternoon. Right now, I am leaning toward no. CAPE is already on the rise.
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Re: Multi-day outbreak for most of this week

#80 Postby SouthernMet » Wed May 29, 2013 8:44 am

Moderate Risk for Severe Storms, Super Cells & Tornadoes in OKC, Norman, Wichita, Wichita Falls & Childress. Slt Risk for DFW, San Antonio & Austin. Super cells may make it as far East as I-35 if Cap breaks. Low level jet & shear create a considerable threat for Strong Tornadoes in NW TX, Central & W OK. Stay tune for a possible major Severe Weather outbreak 
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