Thinking Thursday for classification.
![Image](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/90E/imagery/rgb-animated.gif)
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RL3AO wrote:The EPac really seems like it just throws on a switch come May 15. Fun to watch.
cycloneye wrote:invest_RENUMBER_ep902013_ep012013.ren
Code: Select all
WTPN21 PHNC 151330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.8N 102.0W TO 9.5N 109.1W WITHIN
THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF
NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA
ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 28 TO 32 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 151130Z
INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.0N 103.1W. THE
SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.0N 103.1W,
APPROXIMATELY 560 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION OVER A
DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE LLCC IS LOCATED NEAR A COL REGION OF A NEAR EQUATORIAL
RIDGE, WHICH IS PROVIDING GOOD POLEWARD VENTING AND LOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS TO WARNING STATUS. DUE TO THE INCREASED ORGANIZATION
OF THE LLCC AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
161330Z.//
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