Texas Winter 2012-2013

[South Texas Storms]

12z GFS shows some snow for Austin and SA on Friday night!
(map deleted)

Comical. Absolutely comical.

Hey I'm just trying to be optimistic here!

The Houston NWS said this in their morning forecast discussion: "THE GFS/ECMWF DEPICTS LIGHT QPF ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY THAT WOULD BE MAKE IT TO THE GROUND AS SNOW. AS OF NOW...WITH NO DISCERNIBLE TRIGGER (OTHER THAN MAYBE SLIGHTLY HIGHER DIV/OMEGA DIVING SOUTHWARD)...WESTERN CWA COLUMNS ARE TOO DRY TO SUPPORT PRECIPITATION OF ANY TYPE."

If we can get a little more moisture in here for this weekend, I think some of us in central Texas could see some snow. I really hope it happens!

Here is the 12z GFS total snowfall forecast for the next 5 days:


Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[Ntxw]

After looking at ensembles, cfsv2, and Naefs all of them suggest the strong blocking regime to continue through the first two weeks of March. 1960, 1958, and 2007 stick out for analogs and I know jb has tried point that out and now have some support.

The plains will probably see another major system within the next 2 weeks

[Palmer divide shadow]

In Amarillo today and its just a mess.However the snow is rapidly melting

[Texas Snowman]

Look at all of that snow on the ground!

[Ntxw]

Slow melt will definitely help the parched grounds of the drought areas

18z GFS "Money in the bank" run is still teasing Portastorm

[somethingfunny]

This could be any of us at some point


[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ae_dWdDouwM[/youtube]

[Tireman4]

Last year, we (Houston) were hitting the upper 70s to low/mid 80s from today's date through March. Current GFS doesn't have any 2-meter temp reaching 70F in Houston through March 14th. Not good, but perhaps it'll get me used to Norway summer weather for my trip in April.

Well sir, this makes up for that horrific Summer of 2011 that you loved so much. Your powers grow weak as the snow cover trends southward.

[Portastorm]

I refuse to believe the 12z and 18z GFS! It's just that kind of trickery which years ago made me compare that model to Lucy pulling the football from Charlie Brown. It always promised the real deal and seldom delivered.

Now if the same thing is showing by Thursday ... God help all of you because I'll be posting every 10 minutes on the GFS, NAM, RAP, insert computer model name here, et al.

[Portastorm]

somethingfunny ... that clip is absolutely hilarious!!

Like you said, that could be any one of us and probably has been at some point. Only a weather geek would love and understand that clip. Oh man ... that is classic stuff.

[Tireman4]

I refuse to believe the 12z and 18z GFS! It's just that kind of trickery which years ago made me compare that model to Lucy pulling the football from Charlie Brown. It always promised the real deal and seldom delivered.

Now if the same thing is showing by Thursday ... God help all of you because I'll be posting every 10 minutes on the GFS, NAM, RAP, insert computer model name here, et al.

And Heaven help us all if that makes it to Houston. LOL. Poor Wxman 57 will be just beside himself and Ms Screamer will let him have it....LOL

[Texas Snowman]

Ms. Screamer will not be the only one to let Heat Miser have it...

[Texas Snowman]

In light of that, I'll let you guess which one is which.

Heat Miser: "Come on, give me my 80 degree bike riding weather back. Or else!"

Portastorm: "But you said I could have ONE snow this winter!"

[Texas Snowman]

Saw this last night, meant to post it then.

Just beautiful.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Looking at the models, i dont see why this little dusting couldnt happen. Pretty big trough when you look at it. Too bad a bigger high couldnt come down with it. Maybe the STJ can give it a bit more moisture behind and swing through SW Houston as well

[Ntxw]

Gorgeous image Texas Snowman! One of these days (maybe in the next ice age) we'll center a sub 990 low like that 500 miles se over Beaumont and a snow axis instead of Amarillo-Wichita-OKC it will be the Texas triangle SA-Dallas-Houston. What a dream right?

[dhweather]

Look at all of that snow on the ground!

Graphical representation of how it really is:





Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[weatherdude1108]

This could be any of us at some point


[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ae_dWdDouwM[/youtube]

I LOVE IT!!
I literally laughed out loud!

[weatherdude1108]

Let's pray Bob is right!

"Today’s forecast solutions continue to indicate a trough of low pressure will push southeast out of the Rockies late next week, moving across Texas next Friday and Saturday. With a more southern trajectory and move available moisture in place, the model solutions indicate rain showers thunderstorms will develop across much of Texas. More on these developments in the coming days."

http://www.lcra.org/water/conditions/we ... olumn.html

[Ptarmigan]

12z GFS shows some snow for Austin and SA on Friday night!
(map deleted)

Comical. Absolutely comical.

Hey I'm just trying to be optimistic here!

The Houston NWS said this in their morning forecast discussion: "THE GFS/ECMWF DEPICTS LIGHT QPF ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY THAT WOULD BE MAKE IT TO THE GROUND AS SNOW. AS OF NOW...WITH NO DISCERNIBLE TRIGGER (OTHER THAN MAYBE SLIGHTLY HIGHER DIV/OMEGA DIVING SOUTHWARD)...WESTERN CWA COLUMNS ARE TOO DRY TO SUPPORT PRECIPITATION OF ANY TYPE."

If we can get a little more moisture in here for this weekend, I think some of us in central Texas could see some snow. I really hope it happens!

Here is the 12z GFS total snowfall forecast for the next 5 days:
http://img703.imageshack.us/img703/717/gfs6hrsnowacctx41.png

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Interesting about snow in Central Texas this weekend. Probably will not happen. Would be cool though.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Its still showing up in the models. Edging closer to SE Texas too. Keeping my fingers crossed