The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or 
Portastorm wrote:What do you mean by saying that "Phases 1/2 favors the east coast"? Are you speaking of temperature anomalies? Phases 8 and 2 of the MJO favor below normal to much below normal temps for the Southern Plains and Texas.
The temperature anomalies based on phases is very broad. While it is good, a strong moving wave has a sharp progressing trough/ridge (convection is one large trough and pumps ridge downstream/behind it). Phases 6/7 is western Pacific convection in turn pumping up ridging off the west coast (east Pacific). 8/1 you are moving through the continent and entering the Atlantic towards Africa (1/2 favors east coast based on this logic). That shifts everything a little further east and if the wave is strong you have a sharp ridge in the west that includes Texas (very +PNA).
http://cawcr.gov.au/staff/mwheeler/mapr ... /index.htm
It's not black and white that x phases is going to produce y-outcome. It's moving and not static so the anomalies is broad so saying 7/8/1 favors the eastern half of the country but reality is 7/8 is better for us. It's the same as saying +PNA is good, but to what magnitude and that relates to the MJO
Edit:
