Area NW of Cape Verde Islands - 0%

[Extratropical94]

1. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT
600 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND A UPPER-LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE AREA. ANY ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[Hurricanehink]

Is there any model support? It's in an unusual area, although not too far from where Peter 03 and Delta 05 formed (both of which were extratropical-originated storms in the late season).

[cycloneye]

Stays at 10%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST THU NOV 8 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING UP TO 900
MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
WEAK SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...
SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

[cycloneye]

Up to 20%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ABOUT 800
MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH
A SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A
LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO
STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[cycloneye]

No change to the %.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAK SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS IS INTERACTING WITH A LARGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE EAST OF THE SURFACE LOW
DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. SINCE THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG...THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

[cycloneye]

0%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAK SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST OF THE LOW DUE TO STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG...
AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMING FROM THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS HAS WEAKENED TO A TROUGH...AND THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER
ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...
OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMING FROM THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN