Texas Winter 2012-2013

[Tireman4]

Yeah, but when will it snow? LOL. We all love the PWC, but when? He he he

[Ntxw]

Yeah, but when will it snow? LOL. We all love the PWC, but when? He he he

February!

....2014. Portastorm jinxed it by calling it.

[Terri]

I wonder if/when it will snow this Winter in central Texas(?).

The Portastorm Weather Center says it will!

Knock-on-wood, Porta! Don't ruin it!!!

[gboudx]

Yeah, but when will it snow? LOL. We all love the PWC, but when? He he he

February!

....2014. Portastorm jinxed it by calling it.

It's not often Porta tees up the football for himself. Think it'll still blow over just before he kicks it?

[Portastorm]

Jinx, schminx!

This winter, Austin and Waco and the DFW Metroplex, and Tyler/Texarkana will all see snow fall. Word!

[Tireman4]

:uarrow:

Jinx, schminx!

This winter, Austin and Waco and the DFW Metroplex, and Tyler/Texarkana will all see snow fall. Word!

Houston, young Porta? What about Houston?

[Rgv20]

:uarrow:

Jinx, schminx!

This winter, Austin and Waco and the DFW Metroplex, and Tyler/Texarkana will all see snow fall. Word!

Hopefully the Rio Grande Valley can get another Christmas Miracle of 2004!! Its okay if it does not happen on Christmas Eve as long as we get a little snow this winter!

[Ntxw]

Since it is related to winter outlook, I'm going to put some October verification maps on this thread. Using 2 forecasts (weather channel is for Wxman57) we'll see how they fared for the month of October.

NOAA/Weather Channel


_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Temps relative to average for the month (31st isn't out yet but in the grand scheme it won't make too much of a difference)



As you can see, the forecast for warmth on the east coast and parts of mountain west did verify. But the central Conus where it was forecasted to be warmest, was total opposite. November is once again forecasted to be quite warm in the same areas. We'll check back in a month to see if that will happen. Same for DJF period.

[Portastorm]

Good stuff here! Thanks for that forecast verification info.

[gboudx]

If anyone knows pro-met Allan Huffman, here's his Winter Outlook:

http://www.examiner.com/slideshow/winte ... ges-part-1
http://www.examiner.com/slideshow/winte ... ges-part-2

To summarize, it appears he's forecasting near normal temps for Texas and that February being the best chance for widespread cold. He bases his forecast on a -AO/-NAO, but says the forecast will bust if this doesn't not occur and would result in temps being warm this Winter over most of the US.

[cycloneye]

I dont want to spoil the cold and snowy party for Texas but CPC came out today with a bleak outlook that for sure will change that and make our friend that likes to ride bikes happy. See the CPC outlook on the ENSO thread at Talking Tropics forum.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=92137&hilit=&p=2289354#p2289354

[Ntxw]

If there is no enso signal (Nino or Nina) we are treading uncharted waters. There is no standout cold PDO neutral year (in fact there really isn't a warm neutral year in the cold PDO that I can find) that has behaved like this one following double Nina. 2003/2004 is the only stick out but it was during the warm PDO and following a stout Nino.

[gboudx]

I like to ride my bike, but I know how to dress warmly for it. I'm just hoping for a winter colder than last year(to kill the bugs), and more rain.

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

Anybody see the 18Z NAM? Hope is not lost for parts of Oklahoma Sunday night into Monday in terms of the possibility for winter precipitation.

[wxman57]

18Z NAM does indicate possible snow extreme NE OK and SE KS. Hopefully, that's as close as it gets to Texas this winter. I do know how to dress warmly for bike rides, too, but it's no fun riding in tights, thermal underwear/jersey, full-finger gloves, hat and neoprene face mask. Even then, my eyeballs get cold.

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

18Z NAM does indicate possible snow extreme NE OK and SE KS. Hopefully, that's as close as it gets to Texas this winter. I do know how to dress warmly for bike rides, too, but it's no fun riding in tights, thermal underwear/jersey, full-finger gloves, hat and neoprene face mask. Even then, my eyeballs get cold.

I'm hoping I see some of the white stuff at OU! I'm a runner and I love running in the cold weather; you should give riding in the cold a try, you may like it

[Tireman4]

[I'm hoping I see some of the white stuff at OU! I'm a runner and I love running in the cold weather; you should give riding in the cold a try, you may like it [/quote]


Oh, do not get him started...LOL.....I am a runner and I love running in the cold weather too.....

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

[I'm hoping I see some of the white stuff at OU! I'm a runner and I love running in the cold weather; you should give riding in the cold a try, you may like it

Oh, do not get him started...LOL.....I am a runner and I love running in the cold weather too.....[/quote]
It's so liberating for some reason! Glad you concur. Let's hope for some COLD weather.

[vbhoutex]

I like to ride my bike, but I know how to dress warmly for it. I'm just hoping for a winter colder than last year(to kill the bugs), and more rain.

That may be about all we get with no El Nino. Since it appears we are going to be in La Nada(Neutral) for the Winter I am expecting more cold than we had last year, but not what I had hoped for. IIRC normally during La Nada we have average to a little below average temps and a lot less moisture than I had hoped for. I am not about to predict a drought, but I don't like how we are starting so far. Our "step down" that we normally see with an El Nino Winter has at a minimum stalled even though we may get into the 30s in SE TX next week. JMHO

[somethingfunny]

18Z NAM does indicate possible snow extreme NE OK and SE KS. Hopefully, that's as close as it gets to Texas this winter. I do know how to dress warmly for bike rides, too, but it's no fun riding in tights, thermal underwear/jersey, full-finger gloves, hat and neoprene face mask. Even then, my eyeballs get cold.

[img]http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/nam/221/maps/2012/11/08/18/NAM_221_2012110818_F84_SNOWIN_SURFACE.png[/ img]

Why don't you just move on down to the Valley already?