2012 SE TX/SW LA Weather:Cold/cool week.

[jasons2k]

The line of storms moving-in looks good this morning. Little cells are popping just ahead of the line which tells me there's enough instability to hold it together (at least in the near term)

[vbhoutex]

We only got a little bit out of the first line. The 2nd set that moved in from the West gave us about 0.25" which is more than we have gotten all this month. Now I can hold off on watering for a while. Needed to get the winterizer fertilizer watered in a little more.

[CajunMama]

I saw where someone in the Houston area was struck by lightning while working on a school roof.

I'm in Houston for a family wedding and staying with my husband's uncle near Alabama and Richmond and barely. We were south of most of the rain.

[vbhoutex]

We had rain from 2:30 pm- 9:30 pm yesterday with a total of 0.74" of much needed soaking rain. We've now had almost an inch of rain this month here in Houston. It was interesting to watch the rain on the radar yesterday. It started our very light and scattered even though on radar it appeared to be widespread coverage. However, as the the lower levels wetted up the rain became heavier and heavier till we had a moderate rain for a few hours along with the lighter rain on either side of that. Temps never made it out of the lower 80's either which was nice too. In fact after being inside all afternoon babysitting my grand daughters I walked out to leave and hit 64f, much cooler than it was when I arrived. 90F today??? That is what they are saying, then 81f tomorrow. Roller coaster.

[Tireman4]

Wait, did you see next week? Up and down. Goodness. Transitional phasing totally in effect...

[Tireman4]

And now this...oh my running will suffer....goodness...

Morning e-mail from Jeff:

Robust short wave that brought widespread rainfall to the area yesterday has pushed well east of the region this morning. Rainfall amounts were grossly under-forecasted for the event with widespread .25 to .75 of an inch in many locations. As the low level saturated, yesterday afternoon the rainfall became increasingly more heavy and steady.

With the strong short wave of yesterday evening now east of the area and weak downglide in place, expect a fairly dry day with only a few isolated showers possible in the developing strong warm air advection regime. Low 70 degree dewpoints have moved northward into the Palacios and Port Lavaca areas this morning and developing low pressure over the Midwest will draw this deeper moisture northward today. Deepening low pressure will greatly increase the pressure gradient and expect a rapid increase in wind speeds this morning into the 15-25mph range by early afternoon. SW flow in the low to mid levels will result in a very warm afternoon with many locations pushing 90 degrees.

Strong cold front currently over NW OK will move rapidly southward and push off the TX coast early Thursday. While low level moisture increases today, the mid and upper level moisture plume from now TS Paul has been pushed south of the area into SW TX. Moisture will be greatest along and east of I-45 and convergence along the front will be strong. Short term models are showing a thin line of possibly strong thunderstorms developing from the ARLATX region this afternoon SW into eastern TX this evening and overnight. This line looks to affect our eastern counties along and east of I-45 where the greatest moisture and instability will be as is usually the case under SSW low level flow. The short term models did a good job on the event yesterday with coverage of position of the rainfall, so think there is a decent chance of late evening thunderstorms across Walker, Polk, Trinity, San Jacinto, Liberty, Chambers, eastern Harris, and eastern Galveston Counties. West of these areas, moisture looks to limited for much more than a thin line of showers.

Front sweeps off the coast with gusty NW winds in place on Thursday and highs a solid 10 degrees cooler than today (near 80). Coolest morning looks to be Friday (mid 50’s) before strong onshore flow returns by Saturday brining warmth and humidity back into the region from the Gulf. Longer range has really backed away from any hints at cold air intrusions into the southern plains with continued warm conditions into the first week of November.

[Jagno]

Dear Weather Gods, Lightening Fairies, & even Santa Clouds:

Please, please bring us at least a couple of days below 50º to get rid of these horrible man eating mosquitoes. I just can't take this anymore.

I went out to feed my labs last night and counted 23 mosquito bites on my harms, face, head, neck and legs. Next year I'm not going through this and I will hire The Mosquito Authorities to service my home all summer and fall. It just got unbearable and it's so late in the season I hate to call them and pay the initial fees and all that for what, one more month at the most.

Our weather today was simply picture perfect.

[vbhoutex]

Dear Weather Gods, Lightening Fairies, & even Santa Clouds:

Please, please bring us at least a couple of days below 50º to get rid of these horrible man eating mosquitoes. I just can't take this anymore.

I went out to feed my labs last night and counted 23 mosquito bites on my harms, face, head, neck and legs. Next year I'm not going through this and I will hire The Mosquito Authorities to service my home all summer and fall. It just got unbearable and it's so late in the season I hate to call them and pay the initial fees and all that for what, one more month at the most.

Our weather today was simply picture perfect.

Based on this your wish may be granted next Sunday. http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=24&t=113772&p=2281477#p2281477 Of course while I am writing this our AC is running trying to keep us cool with the weather a beautiful sunny 87f outside.

[vbhoutex]

Jeff's morning email"

Local big story will be the arrival of a strong cold front tonight, but eyes will be trained to the east coast this weekend as powerful Hurricane Sandy takes potential aim at the NE US.

A separate e-mail will be drafted to detail the possible impacts from powerful Hurricane Sandy.

Pattern aloft is transiting to troughing in the east US and building heights in the western US which will help amplify the central/eastern US trough. A strong old front currently extends from southeast KS to NW TX this morning with temperatures in the post frontal air mass in the lower 40’s with strong NW winds of 25-35mph. Locally over the area, slightly deeper moisture has moved westward overnight from the central Gulf of Mexico and this is producing two bands of inland moving streamer showers over the area. The first and more pronounced band extends from just east of Matagorda Bay NNE to Huntsville with a second band approaching the mouth of the Sabine River. With deeper moisture in place compared to previous days, expect a continuation of scattered showers through much of the day and into the evening hours.

Strong cold front will arrive into the area after midnight tonight and highs temperatures will be recorded prior to frontal passage. Convergence along the boundary will likely yield a band of showers and maybe a thunderstorm, but factors for heavy rainfall or severe weather are not in place. Strong cold air advection will onset post front with gusty NW winds and temperatures holding steady in the 60’s or falling into the upper 50’s north of I-10. Skies will be slow to clear behind the boundary and patchy light rain may continue into Friday evening.

Lows Saturday morning under cold air advection will fall into the lower 50’s and upper 40’s even with cloudy skies and gusty winds. Clouds should gradually clear from north to south Saturday and this may allow highs to reach the mid 60’s, but any slower clearing will result in much colder afternoon highs in the 50’s.

Clear skies and light winds Saturday night will setup the coldest night in a long time for the area. Forecasted dewpoints in the 30’s will support widespread low temperatures in the lower 40’s and upper 30’s. Forecasted dewpoints in the College Station area on the GFS model are from 30-34 degrees, and if conditions are perfect, some sheltered northern locations could fall to the mid 30’s.

Cold start on Sunday morning will result in a cool day even with mostly sunny skies. Highs will only reach the upper 60’s under light NE winds.

Extended:

As potential major eastern US storm system (Hurricane Sandy) moves toward the NE US early next week, surface high pressure will begin to shift eastward allowing weak onshore flow to return. Gulf of Mexico will be worked over by the upcoming front, and tropical moisture return will be slow. Expect only a slow modification in temperature and humidity values into next week.

[vbhoutex]

Could not have asked for a better week weatherwise here in SE TX!!! Some heavy fog the last two mornings turned into beautiful days. I am getting spoiled.

[vbhoutex]

We had one good thunderstorm this afternoon but still need more rain. Getting dry around here again. High today before the rain moved in was 84F. I want REAL fall temps and some rain.

[Tireman4]

We had one good thunderstorm this afternoon but still need more rain. Getting dry around here again. High today before the rain moved in was 84F. I want REAL fall temps and some rain.

Agreed sir. I, for one, am just sick of this up and down temperature ranges. I know, the one of side of me states, "Yes, this is phasing and it takes time. Be patient". The other states, "Just cool us down to normals on a consistent level" LOL

[Jagno]

It's November for peats sake. We should not be having nightime temperatures of 70º. My old injuries are sure letting me know that a change is coming.

[vbhoutex]

FROPA at 9:40pm announced by an acorn attack on our vehicles and windows as the winds blow through the trees gusting around 30mph. Radar shows rain, but no ground truth yet. Temp dropped from 73f to 62f in 10 minutes.

edit 9:55pm- Rain has started. 60f.

[Tireman4]

65f in Humble. Rain in falling. Loving this...

[vbhoutex]

FROPA at 9:40pm announced by an acorn attack on our vehicles and windows as the winds blow through the trees gusting around 30mph. Radar shows rain, but no ground truth yet. Temp dropped from 73f to 62f in 10 minutes.

edit 9:55pm- Rain has started. 60f.

We got enough rain to wet the ground for a day. 0.14" which brings us up to about 1/2" so far this month. I DO NOT LIKE THE TREND!!

[Jagno]

Last nights storms had us all out of bed around 1am.. The wind was gusting terribly and actually tore the latch off of my gate on the wooden fence. The gate was slamming causing the motion sensor lights to go on which shines almost directly into my bedroom window. The rain was horizontal. Needless to say between the rain, winds and spot lights it was eye opening. Enjoying the cooler temps this afternoon.

[vbhoutex]

Last nights storms had us all out of bed around 1am.. The wind was gusting terribly and actually tore the latch off of my gate on the wooden fence. The gate was slamming causing the motion sensor lights to go on which shines almost directly into my bedroom window. The rain was horizontal. Needless to say between the rain, winds and spot lights it was eye opening. Enjoying the cooler temps this afternoon.

Wow!! We had nothing like that here in Houston, at least not that I am aware of. Last time we had a gate latch torn off we were in the middle of Hurricane Ike and that was the whole entrance, not just the latch. 40f this am for a low with some high clouds. Probably would have gone into upper 30s without the clouds. That's ok because 40f is plenty cool for me! Looking forward to a beautiful week weatherwise, but we REALLY need some rain.

[vbhoutex]

Just reported my rainfall to CoCoRahs. Total for the month-0.55". Coupled with last month I believe that brings us to 1.5" for the last two months. Only spotty showers at most in sight for the next week or more.
Dear Santa,
All I want for Christmas is some nice soaking rains.
David

ps, can I have some cold and snow too?

[vbhoutex]

Managed 0.50" of rain out of the fropa last night. No complaints about that!! Currently 43F here at the house in W. Houston with winds gusting around 35mph. Fells like is about 34F. I do believe we can declare Winter arrival in Houston.