ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

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SouthernBreeze
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#521 Postby SouthernBreeze » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:45 am

Hi all, I'm at the NC/SC line, on the coast - they are showing a definite curve before it gets too near here - does anyone know if the timing of the curve seem pretty definite, or if there much chance of Sandy getting a good bit closer before she curves east? THANKS!!
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#522 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:47 am

Latest data suggest that the intensity is at least 75 kt.
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#523 Postby artist » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:49 am

here is West Palm, this is the winds so far -
Wind SpeedE 22 G 29 mph
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#524 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:52 am

landfall in about 3 to 4 hours.
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#525 Postby JC380 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:54 am

Hey everyone!

I'm in Salisbury at the moment and one of the models I was looking at, showed a landfall right on the Delmarva Peninsula, just south of Ocean City, MD.

Given that the NHC has shifted their cone to the west a tad bit, should I be concerned at all or is Sandy likely to recurve before making it that far north?
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Re:

#526 Postby ozonepete » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:57 am

SouthernBreeze wrote:Hi all, I'm at the NC/SC line, on the coast - they are showing a definite curve before it gets too near here - does anyone know if the timing of the curve seem pretty definite, or if there much chance of Sandy getting a good bit closer before she curves east? THANKS!!


The models show some rain and wind for your area on Saturday but nothing that bad as of now. The models have consistently kept Sandy pretty offshore from you for a while now. But you'll need to keep checking through tomorrow in case there's a change.
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Re: Re:

#527 Postby adam0983 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:01 pm

Based on the current track what kind of conditions can we expect in West Palm Beach?
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#528 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:02 pm

You can really see the eye now...will make it easier to track.
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Re: Re:

#529 Postby jhpigott » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:04 pm

adam0983 wrote:Based on the current track what kind of conditions can we expect in West Palm Beach?



Curious myself. Wonder if they will close down courts/schools on Friday?
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Re:

#530 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:07 pm

gatorcane wrote:You can really see the eye now...will make it easier to track.


There it is. Saved image.

Image
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#531 Postby HurrMark » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:07 pm

Still slightly east of due north...I peg it at perhaps 005 degrees...
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#532 Postby storm4u » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:08 pm

I really dont like how sandy is getting stronger all my life ive waited for a storm to hit up here like this could.. but now that it might actually happen im having second thoughts
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#533 Postby JamesCaneTracker » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:09 pm

storm4u wrote:I really dont like how sandy is getting stronger all my life ive waited for a storm to hit up here like this could.. but now that it might actually happen im having second thoughts


Prob. Won't be much worse then Irene last year. I could be wrong but I don't think so...
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#534 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:11 pm

strong curved convective band building. probably going to deepen rapidly. dont think Jamaica is going to have to much affect on it since its in its deepening phase.
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Re:

#535 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:14 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:strong curved convective band building. probably going to deepen rapidly. dont think Jamaica is going to have to much affect on it since its in its deepening phase.


And it will move thru the smaller part of land of Jamaica,although there are some mountains of 2,000 feet in that small area.
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Re: Re:

#536 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:27 pm

adam0983 wrote:Based on the current track what kind of conditions can we expect in West Palm Beach?

Subject to change of course depending on track




FLZ168-242015-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JUPITER...WEST PALM BEACH...BOCA RATON
1154 AM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

..HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

..TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT


REST OF TODAY
PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDY. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WINDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
THURSDAY
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH BECOMING 30 TO 35 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. MOSTLY CLOUDY
WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH BECOMING NORTH 30 TO
40 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND
80. NORTH WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. WINDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
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Re: Re:

#537 Postby adam0983 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:32 pm

If the track of Sandy continues to shift west. Does anyone think that Hurricane watches and warnings will be needed for parts of Florida?
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Re: Re:

#538 Postby wxman57 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:37 pm

adam0983 wrote:If the track of Sandy continues to shift west. Does anyone think that Hurricane watches and warnings will be needed for parts of Florida?


There is nothing to indicate a potential hurricane impact in Florida, so I wouldn't anticipate any such watches/warnings.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#539 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:47 pm

JamesCaneTracker wrote:
storm4u wrote:I really dont like how sandy is getting stronger all my life ive waited for a storm to hit up here like this could.. but now that it might actually happen im having second thoughts


Prob. Won't be much worse then Irene last year. I could be wrong but I don't think so...


I would have to disagree with you since the duration will be longer.
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Re: Re:

#540 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Oct 24, 2012 12:48 pm

wxman57 wrote:
adam0983 wrote:If the track of Sandy continues to shift west. Does anyone think that Hurricane watches and warnings will be needed for parts of Florida?


There is nothing to indicate a potential hurricane impact in Florida, so I wouldn't anticipate any such watches/warnings.


except for the reliable models indicating the potential for near hurricane force winds.
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