ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SANDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
800 PM EDT TUE OCT 23 2012

...SANDY MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD JAMAICA...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 77.5W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSW OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

Houston, we've got a problem.

[Blown Away]

Wow, that's impressive!

[cycloneye]

And another view.

[cpdaman]

Hi i have been away from the board for a while and dont have much time but maybe someone can help me out

Are the centers still not alligned at different levels of the atmosphere (LLC/MLC, etc) or has this changed, seems like that has been the Curse of the tropics this year, and has stopp'd many a potential strengthening storm

is this still the case? thank you greatly

[cycloneye]

Going up on the SSD Dvorak.


23/2345 UTC 14.8N 77.3W T3.5/3.5 SANDY -- Atlantic

[JamesCaneTracker]

Going up on the SSD Dvorak.


23/2345 UTC 14.8N 77.3W T3.5/3.5 SANDY -- Atlantic

For that though the Weakening flag is turned on and the Rapid Weakening Flag is flagged... Not really sure why though! lol

Time Final/MSLPLat/Vmax Fnl Adj Ini Cnstrnt Wkng Rpd Cntr Mean Scene EstRMW Storm Location Fix
Date (UTC) CI MSLP /BiasAdj/(kts) Tno Raw Raw Limit Flag Wkng Region Cloud Type (km) Lat Lon Mthd Comments
2012OCT23 234500 3.7 991.2/ +0.0 / 59.0 3.3 3.2 3.2 NO LIMIT ON FLG -30.26 -54.46 CRVBND N/A 14.71 77.49 FCST

[CrazyC83]

Going up on the SSD Dvorak.


23/2345 UTC 14.8N 77.3W T3.5/3.5 SANDY -- Atlantic

For that though the Weakening flag is turned on and the Rapid Weakening Flag is flagged... Not really sure why though! lol

ADT is not very reliable in weaker storms.

[lester]

Pressure down to 991 mbs and still falling according to recon

[boca]

Other than the increse in Gradient across Florida Sandy is already moving NNE and by the time it reaches our latitude it will by 500 miles to the east of South Florida.I don't see much of an impact on Florida.Just an observation.

[WYNweather]

If it blows up tonight will the Coriolis effect move it to the left a bit?

[Bocadude85]

Other than the increse in Gradient across Florida Sandy is already moving NNE and by the time it reaches our latitude it will by 500 miles to the east of South Florida.I don't see much of an impact on Florida.Just an observation.

Not that I think we will have any major impacts from sandy but have you looked at the NHC forecast? They are forecasting Sandy to pass about 200 miles to our east... not 500.

[lester]

Recon found a ragged eye according to the VDM. Verifies the microwave imagery earlier

[boca]

Other than the increse in Gradient across Florida Sandy is already moving NNE and by the time it reaches our latitude it will by 500 miles to the east of South Florida.I don't see much of an impact on Florida.Just an observation.

Not that I think we will have any major impacts from sandy but have you looked at the NHC forecast? They are forecasting Sandy to pass about 200 miles to our east... not 500.

I understand what your saying and the NHC forecast but its moving nne not north and if you were to draw alline up to our latitude it roughly about 400 to 500 miles east of miami

[Bocadude85]

Other than the increse in Gradient across Florida Sandy is already moving NNE and by the time it reaches our latitude it will by 500 miles to the east of South Florida.I don't see much of an impact on Florida.Just an observation.

Not that I think we will have any major impacts from sandy but have you looked at the NHC forecast? They are forecasting Sandy to pass about 200 miles to our east... not 500.

I understand what your saying and the NHC forecast but its moving nne not north and if you were to draw alline up to our latitude it roughly about 400 to 500 miles east of miami

But if you look at the NHC track they forecast Sandy to move NNE until she passes Jamaica. She is then forecast to turn to the N after Jamaica.

[Blown Away]

WPB is at 80 West and Sandy is at 77.5 West, so if you draw a line due North Sandy is @200 miles East of WPB/Boca.

[cycloneye]

00z Best Track was updated to up winds to 50kts.

AL, 18, 2012102400, , BEST, 0, 148N, 773W, 50, 991, TS

[ozonepete]

Other than the increse in Gradient across Florida Sandy is already moving NNE and by the time it reaches our latitude it will by 500 miles to the east of South Florida.I don't see much of an impact on Florida.Just an observation.

Just make sure to put a disclaimer rather than an observation when you say that because at 8PM the NHC is still saying this:
INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

So you don't want people to let their guard down.

[fci]

Local Met on Facebook says TS Watch or warnings the to the expanding wind field.

[CrazyC83]

They already found winds supporting 55 kt and haven't even been to the right-front quadrant yet, so maybe Hurricane Sandy? Hard to say.