Texas Fall 2012

[weatherdude1108]

Who else is being dominated by allergies for the last week. Killing me over here.

Most of the Austin metropolitan area ...

I am being bombarded. Going on 12 days. Nose stuffiness, headache, occasional cough. I think it started off as allergies, and moved onto bad cold. Annoying.

[gboudx]

Allergies are terrible in the DFW as well. Ragweed pollen has been consistently high for quite a while now, with an occasional brief respite when it rains.

[Portastorm]

I don't know if this is connected or not ... but I suspect the rains of this year following such a horrific drought may have something to do with how plants/grasses/trees are budding or pollinating or whatever. Perhaps in what is an affiliated aspect, I never have seen so many bugs and butterflies and flying things which ended up dead on the front of my poor Dodge Charger than I did Sunday night after driving back to Austin from Lubbock. In places along the way, it just seemed like I drove through swarms of flying things. Crazy.

[weatherdude1108]

I hit some flying things on the way back to Austin from San Antonio on Sunday afternoon! They looked a lot like Snoutnose Butterflies (American Snout). The news guy in San Antonio talked about them several years ago. They apparently do really well when it rains after a prolonged drought. They wait out the drought until conditions are right. They also get all over your car when you drive along the highway.

http://www.texasento.net/snout.htm

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Hopefully these showers help with the ragweed

[vbhoutex]

Hopefully these showers help with the ragweed

YES!!!YES!!!YES!!! I need RELIEF!!! With a good washout of the atmosphere yesterday here in SE TX I am hopeful.

[vbhoutex]

Who else is being dominated by allergies for the last week. Killing me over here.

Most of the Austin metropolitan area ...

I am being bombarded. Going on 12 days. Nose stuffiness, headache, occasional cough. I think it started off as allergies, and moved onto bad cold. Annoying.

Just two weeks? I wish!! Mine have been rampant for over a month. I usually have a headache for about 6 weeks this time of year and this year has not disappointed in that aspect. I feel a lot better today than I did yesterday before our WONDERFUL RAIN moved in. It apparently cleaned out the atmosphere somewhat.

[weatherdude1108]

Wow! I'm sorry for your misery. I think mine was a full-blown cold. I couldn't taste or smell anything (like the aroma of coffee and donuts) for several days. Lots of ragweed and molds down here now that the rain is gone. Not a good time of year.

[Portastorm]

Both the GFS and Euro this morning show a large and very cold airmass plunging down into the Plains from the far nether regions of the top of the globe, at 240 hours out! Something to watch for. Cold be a chilly Halloween for Texas.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Ryan Maue is tweeting about a 1057 High in NW Canada and massive blocking over Greenland. Cold indeed.

[Ntxw]

Both the GFS and Euro this morning show a large and very cold airmass plunging down into the Plains from the far nether regions of the top of the globe, at 240 hours out! Something to watch for. Cold be a chilly Halloween for Texas.

The high pressure dome is indeed of arctic origin. Even though the depicted cold is 200+ hours out (who wants to look that far right?) in just 72-96 hours we can see the emerging cold into Canada. What are your thoughts on the teleconnections? Which do you believe will be the driver? Very big -NAO is shown and EPO but the PNA will be negative which contradicts them, but at least that signal says no east movement of the cold!

Is PWC going to give us a treat or just all a trick?

[Rgv20]

Local Weatherbug site has a temperature of 106F for Rio Grande City....Official site is at 101F. Record high for the day is 101 set back in 1980. I want COLD weather already! lol

[somethingfunny]

For what it's worth, Prapiroon (and Maria to its' east) are both curving sharply to the east of Japan. What impact might that have on the next cold snap's trajectory? If our "theory" is correct, the brunt of the cold air would go to our east.

[somethingfunny]

Local Weatherbug site has a temperature of 106F for Rio Grande City....Official site is at 101F. Record high for the day is 101 set back in 1980. I want COLD weather already! lol

You had some monstrous thunderstorms today!

[Ntxw]

Should watch the EPAC closely, GFS has been trying to throw Rosa-to-be into the mix of fun and games late month.

[somethingfunny]

Should watch the EPAC closely, GFS has been trying to throw Rosa-to-be into the mix of fun and games late month.

18 years ago, there was another storm named Rosa...

[Ntxw]

Think I've seen enough runs to zero in a more certain period for frontal arrival. A big storm (could bring first snows to the central plains and blizzard conditions to the northern plains) will take a panhandle hooker type track late next week around the 25-27th frame. That should send a strong front straight through Texas into Mexico. How cold is too early to tell but widespread 30s for lows and highs in the 50s/40s for the northern half of the state, 40s for lows and 50s for highs in the southern half. This is just an early guess.

The storm (displaced PV) should sit and spin near the Canadian border and send more shots of reinforcing cold air down heading into the first week of Nov as strong blocking is persistent both in Greenland and Alaska. If we get a storm that comes from the EPAC there will definitely be a wet chill to the days leading up to and maybe on Halloween.

[vbhoutex]

Think I've seen enough runs to zero in a more certain period for frontal arrival. A big storm (could bring first snows to the central plains and blizzard conditions to the northern plains) will take a panhandle hooker type track late next week around the 25-27th frame. That should send a strong front straight through Texas into Mexico. How cold is too early to tell but widespread 30s for lows and highs in the 50s/40s for the northern half of the state, 40s for lows and 50s for highs in the southern half. This is just an early guess.

The storm (displaced PV) should sit and spin near the Canadian border and send more shots of reinforcing cold air down heading into the first week of Nov as strong blocking is persistent both in Greenland and Alaska. If we get a storm that comes from the EPAC there will definitely be a wet chill to the days leading up to and maybe on Halloween.

This has a familiar ring to it. Iirc, this is how 2009-2010 Winter started.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Think I've seen enough runs to zero in a more certain period for frontal arrival. A big storm (could bring first snows to the central plains and blizzard conditions to the northern plains) will take a panhandle hooker type track late next week around the 25-27th frame. That should send a strong front straight through Texas into Mexico. How cold is too early to tell but widespread 30s for lows and highs in the 50s/40s for the northern half of the state, 40s for lows and 50s for highs in the southern half. This is just an early guess.

The storm (displaced PV) should sit and spin near the Canadian border and send more shots of reinforcing cold air down heading into the first week of Nov as strong blocking is persistent both in Greenland and Alaska. If we get a storm that comes from the EPAC there will definitely be a wet chill to the days leading up to and maybe on Halloween.

This has a familiar ring to it. Iirc, this is how 2009-2010 Winter started.

Was that the year of the MASSIVE low that went through Minnesota?

[Rgv20]

Local Weatherbug site has a temperature of 106F for Rio Grande City....Official site is at 101F. Record high for the day is 101 set back in 1980. I want COLD weather already! lol

You had some monstrous thunderstorms today!

Here in my area we did not get any Rain Lower Valley had some interesting weather tho..


PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
629 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 10/18/2012 THUNDERSTORM WIND EVENT...

.THUNDERSTORM WIND 1...

PEAK_WIND /E/: 70-80 MPH
PATH_LENGTH /STATUTE/: 0.6 MILES
PATH_WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 35 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: OCTOBER 18...2012
START TIME: 5:28 PM CDT
START LOCATION: SAN PERLITA /WILLACY COUNTY/ TX
START LAT/LON: 26.5010/-97.6472

END DATE: OCTOBER 18...2012
END TIME: 5:33 PM CDT
END LOCATION: SAN PERLITA /WILLACY COUNTY/ TX
END LAT/LON: 26.4959/-97.6405

SURVEY_SUMMARY:
A METEOROLOGIST FROM THE U.S. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BROWNSVILLE SURVEYED DAMAGE FROM THURSDAY/S THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH
OCCURRED IN AND AROUND THE SAN PERLITA AREA. THE DAMAGE WAS FOUND
TO BE THE RESULT OF DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...WITH WIND
SPEEDS ESTIMATED BETWEEN 70 AND 80 MPH.

DAMAGE APPEARED TO INITIALLY OCCUR TO THE ROOF OF A MOBILE HOME IN
THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF SAN PERLITA. AT THIS LOCATION...ROOFING
MATERIAL WAS REMOVED AND BLOWN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST. AS THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM MOVED SOUTHWARD...ADDITIONAL SMALL TREE
LIMBS/BRANCHES WERE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE CITY. AN ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE AREA WAS NOTED NEAR THE SAN PERLITA ISD COMPLEX...WHERE
INTERVIEWS WITH ISD OFFICIALS INDICATED A POORLY ATTACHED DOOR WAS
REMOVED TO THE DISTRICT/S BUS BARN. HIGH WINDS ALSO UPROOTED AN
OAK TREE ON SCHOOL PROPERTY...WHICH RESULTED IN DAMAGE TO A CHAIN-
LINK FENCE. NO FURTHER WIND DAMAGE WAS NOTED SOUTH OF THIS LOCATION.

NOTE:
THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT AND PUBICATION IN
NWS STORM DATA.

$$

BUTTS