ATL: OSCAR - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152012
1100 AM AST WED OCT 03 2012
...LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC BECOMES TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FIFTEEN...
...NOT EXPECTED TO LAST VERY LONG...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 41.5W
ABOUT 1160 MI...1870 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152012
1100 AM AST WED OCT 03 2012
...LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC BECOMES TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FIFTEEN...
...NOT EXPECTED TO LAST VERY LONG...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 41.5W
ABOUT 1160 MI...1870 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
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WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT WED 03 OCTOBER 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z OCTOBER 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-137
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARKS: GLOBAL HAWK MISSION SCHEDULED FOR A 04/1030Z
TAKEOFF CANCELED BY NASA-NOAA AT 03/0150Z
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT WED 03 OCTOBER 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z OCTOBER 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-137
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARKS: GLOBAL HAWK MISSION SCHEDULED FOR A 04/1030Z
TAKEOFF CANCELED BY NASA-NOAA AT 03/0150Z
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:I was just about to say that it looks less organized than yesterday and I don't think it should be upgraded due to a general lack of any significant convection and an elongated LLC...
Then it's a good thing you didn't say it...
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion
It remains as TD 15 on 18z Best Track.
AL, 15, 2012100318, , BEST, 0, 182N, 418W, 30, 1008, TD
http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inve ... 012.invest
AL, 15, 2012100318, , BEST, 0, 182N, 418W, 30, 1008, TD
http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inve ... 012.invest
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion
No change on 00z Best Track.
AL, 15, 2012100400, , BEST, 0, 191N, 423W, 30, 1007, TD
http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inve ... 012.invest
AL, 15, 2012100400, , BEST, 0, 191N, 423W, 30, 1007, TD
http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inve ... 012.invest
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Re: ATL: FIFTEEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Hello Oscar
ATCF updated the 00z Best Track.
AL, 15, 2012100400, , BEST, 0, 189N, 421W, 35, 1006, TS
ATCF updated the 00z Best Track.
AL, 15, 2012100400, , BEST, 0, 189N, 421W, 35, 1006, TS
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Re: ATL: OSCAR - Tropical Storm - Discussion
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OSCAR ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152012
1100 PM AST WED OCT 03 2012
...FIFTEENTH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 42.2W
ABOUT 1220 MI...1960 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
TROPICAL STORM OSCAR ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152012
1100 PM AST WED OCT 03 2012
...FIFTEENTH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 42.2W
ABOUT 1220 MI...1960 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
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- galaxy401
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According to the discussion it appears to be a TS. The NHC said that the intensity of Oscar might even be consverative despite the shear. Won't last long either way though.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
- brunota2003
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Re: ATL: OSCAR - Tropical Storm - Discussion
00:30 UTC ASCAT pass...the barbs east of the center are colored for 35 knots, and I do see at least one 35 knot barb.
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Just a small town southern boy helping other humans.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: OSCAR - Tropical Storm - Discussion
18z Best Track at 40kts.
AL, 15, 2012100418, , BEST, 0, 210N, 414W, 40, 1000, TS
AL, 15, 2012100418, , BEST, 0, 210N, 414W, 40, 1000, TS
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Re: ATL: OSCAR - Tropical Storm - Discussion
00z Best Track up to 45kts.
AL, 15, 2012100500, , BEST, 0, 217N, 407W, 45, 998, TS
http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inve ... 012.invest
AL, 15, 2012100500, , BEST, 0, 217N, 407W, 45, 998, TS
http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inve ... 012.invest
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Re: ATL: OSCAR - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Hilarious sentence by forecaster Blake at 11 PM discussion.
OSCAR WOULD NOT WIN THE AWARD FOR BEST PICTURE ON SATELLITE IMAGES
THIS EVENING.
OSCAR WOULD NOT WIN THE AWARD FOR BEST PICTURE ON SATELLITE IMAGES
THIS EVENING.
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