ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ronjon]

GFS shows that Issac will move little over the next 12 hrs. It then will very slowly move north which shows strong convection pounding NO until tomorrow morning. This is really turning into a nightmare scenario with the prolonged battering. Damage will be much more than people expected.

GFS

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Will be interesting to see how much he tightens up and dare I say possibly strengthens as he can wrap that northern convection around the western and southern part of circulation.

[thatwhichisnt]

Raining in Prairieville. If this thing keeps going NW Baton Rouge will be in the thick of it.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Whichisnt, whereabouts in pville you located?

[Steve]

Yeah Mike. I don't trust those types of models, but you have to give credit whenever it is due. Looking like contimed storminess at least for the next 4, 5, 6 (12?) hours. Unique ride for me, and I have been through more storms than I could count.

[thatwhichisnt]

Whichisnt, whereabouts in pville you located?

Bluff and Old Perkins.

I think I accidentally sent you a PM.

[tolakram]

Latest radar image (saved)



Radar estimated precip so far (saved)

[CYCLONE MIKE]

@ Steve

Well we are just now.starting to catch the western fringes now. Gusts up to 47 last I saw. Long day and night ahead I'm afraid. Any reports of major flooding due to surge or over-topping yet? Stay safe down there. Oh and.I'm thinking at least 12 more hrs.

[tolakram]

Radar estimated precip totals out of Mobile (saved)

[BigB0882]

Have I missed much since I went to bed around midnight? Is this going to go further West and have us out of the worst or come NW and put us in the worst part OR even go due North and put us on the good side? What are they thinking now?

[thatwhichisnt]

Have I missed much since I went to bed around midnight? Is this going to go further West and have us out of the worst or come NW and put us in the worst part OR even go due North and put us on the good side? What are they thinking now?

It is going west. We are in for a rough 24+ hours. One local met estimated 21 inches of rain, and Prairieville is expected to get 10+ hours of winds at 55-60 sustained and higher gusts.

[tolakram]

Latest saved loop, 40 frames, from New Orleans

[thatwhichisnt]

Looks like the eye is heading to around the Lafayette area.

[tolakram]

Live IR loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... =spect.pal

You can see the convection pulse as it hits water and circulates around.

Latest

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Not that I'm wanting this to occur but if he can continue drifting west some more and clear southern terrebonne his eye will likely be.completely over water again.

Whichisnt check your pm

[mutley]

I really hate to say it, but Isaac looks more organized on radar, then he ever has.

[GCRain]

Getting battered in Harrison county on the Ms Coast.Heavy rain,very strong gusty winds.

[OzCycloneChaserTrav]

At the end of this could someone save all radar images and put them in a loop for the last day. At the end of the event it would be cool to see all the radar imagery from Louisiana.

[Jake8898]

This is not a "nightmare" for New Orleans. That happened 7 years ago. So, unless you're trying to convey that you think it'll be a repeat, lay off the dramatics when NOLA is involved, please. It's a nightmare for Buras, Plaquemines and other areas south and southwest of NOLA, but no reason to set NOLA lurkers' nerves even further on edge.

[Steve]

No issues with the levees in new orleans. Those problems are down in lower plaq. City mostly has street flooding and power outages.