ATL: ISAAC - Models
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- PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Couldn't sleep so figured I would check the models (new sleep schedule) and wow at the Euro. Just when I thought we wouldn't see much of any Isaac that run makes me a tad concerned. Looks to be crawling on satellite, I'll guess we'll see what happens today.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
It's very interesting that the two model camps have flopped sides with the UKmet and Euro moving west and the GFS, HWRF, and GFDL moving east. I thought we'd have some model agreement after tonight's GFS run, but nope!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
ravyrn wrote:It's very interesting that the two model camps have flopped sides with the UKmet and Euro moving west and the GFS, HWRF, and GFDL moving east. I thought we'd have some model agreement after tonight's GFS run, but nope!
The gfs and hwrf runs I saw last moved landfall points just slightly east, but then turned west after landfall. Same thinking just happening a littler later. Other than that really good consensus of this thing stalling either on the coast or just inland and slowly moving west to some extent.
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- Comanche
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So, the 6z GFS and 6z NAM look roughly the same with a westward bend near the coast and s l o w movement. The rainfall looks like will be the biggest story of this system.
Would love to hear some thoughts over on the winter weather forum about the moisture charge into the south/southeast before El Nino this winter. Will this soil moisture recharge have any possible impacts on winter temperature/precip forecasts?
Would love to hear some thoughts over on the winter weather forum about the moisture charge into the south/southeast before El Nino this winter. Will this soil moisture recharge have any possible impacts on winter temperature/precip forecasts?
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***I am not a meteorologist not do I play one on tv, so whatever I say is purely speculative on my part!***
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I'm curious of what the next models are going to show with the slowdown of isaac
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Houstonia
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Re:
Comanche wrote:So, the 6z GFS and 6z NAM look roughly the same with a westward bend near the coast and s l o w movement. The rainfall looks like will be the biggest story of this system.
Would love to hear some thoughts over on the winter weather forum about the moisture charge into the south/southeast before El Nino this winter. Will this soil moisture recharge have any possible impacts on winter temperature/precip forecasts?
I'd love to get some rain out of this. Any chance?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
now in radar range and can see the eye......moving wnw to me on radar...but that can be deceiving....
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
12Z NAM looks to be a CC of the last run...if all these runs start piling up when is the NHC going to even consider the possibility? I am curious. Not a peep about a stall and west shift but we have all this guidance that says otherwise....right now they are just heading this north and ejecting NE...
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- PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Wow just checked 06z NAM shows over 10" of rain for my area and Isaac comes right over me. 

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
PTrackerLA wrote:Wow just checked 06z NAM shows over 10" of rain for my area and Isaac comes right over me.
12Z is running now...might want to look at this as well...

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- PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
ROCK wrote:PTrackerLA wrote:Wow just checked 06z NAM shows over 10" of rain for my area and Isaac comes right over me.
12Z is running now...might want to look at this as well...
This could be bad for this area. It has been a very wet summer and with all that rain on tops of hours of TS winds I'm starting to become concerned about power outages with trees uprootings.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
18hr on the NAM still offshore moving west
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
the weakness is there but is left behind
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
the weakness is there but is left behind
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
12Z NAM: 18hr


Last edited by N2FSU on Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
21hrs....still offshore moving west....about the same so far from the 6Z
21hrs....still offshore moving west....about the same so far from the 6Z
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
ROCK wrote:18hr on the NAM still offshore moving west
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
the weakness is there but is left behind
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
And if I recall correctly the nam was the model that was showing the weakness as being the strongest between the ridges yesterday.
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