ATL: ISAAC - Models
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- deltadog03
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- deltadog03
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
I was just noticing that too. I'm sold on a Biloxi to Bay st Louis landfall based on trends in the models and watching t move north of forecast all day. Plus the weakness is obviously there...im thinking it's going to take drive up hwy 49 to Hattiesburg and Jackson.
Overall it shouldn't make much difference in ms/al other than perhaps higher surge in East Jackson county and mobile bay.
It could effect sensible weather in the baton rouge to Nola areas thugh if it comes this far east.
This is just my humble opinion. I'm not a met. Don't use this for planning.
Overall it shouldn't make much difference in ms/al other than perhaps higher surge in East Jackson county and mobile bay.
It could effect sensible weather in the baton rouge to Nola areas thugh if it comes this far east.
This is just my humble opinion. I'm not a met. Don't use this for planning.
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- deltadog03
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Re:
deltadog03 wrote:NAM is a good amount East this run...landfall looks like its going to be btwn gulfport and biloxi, as well as I can tell....12z run was back towards Central LA
I hate to say I don't see it as you are far more knowledgeable than me, however to get there it has to start going almost due north to get there. The core looks almost due south of Mobile.
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Re: Re:
thatwhichisnt wrote:deltadog03 wrote:NAM is a good amount East this run...landfall looks like its going to be btwn gulfport and biloxi, as well as I can tell....12z run was back towards Central LA
I hate to say I don't see it as you are far more knowledgeable than me, however to get there it has to start going almost due north to get there. The core looks almost due south of Mobile.
More like due south of Destin...
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- deltadog03
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Re: Re:
thatwhichisnt wrote:deltadog03 wrote:NAM is a good amount East this run...landfall looks like its going to be btwn gulfport and biloxi, as well as I can tell....12z run was back towards Central LA
I hate to say I don't see it as you are far more knowledgeable than me, however to get there it has to start going almost due north to get there. The core looks almost due south of Mobile.
why the disrespect. All he is doing is telling what the nam is showing
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Re: Re:
PTPatrick wrote:thatwhichisnt wrote:deltadog03 wrote:NAM is a good amount East this run...landfall looks like its going to be btwn gulfport and biloxi, as well as I can tell....12z run was back towards Central LA
I hate to say I don't see it as you are far more knowledgeable than me, however to get there it has to start going almost due north to get there. The core looks almost due south of Mobile.
More like due south of Destin...
Maybe more around the AL/FL border, but regardless I don't see that drastic of a movement on the radar. I will be glad to eat my words though.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
NCEP North American Model (NAM) 08.28.2012 00:00z
http://www.weatherbellmodels.com/weathe ... t_loop.php
http://www.weatherbellmodels.com/weathe ... t_loop.php
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Might be a little east in very short term, then moves wnw/nw directly over NO. Then takes a interesting west jog across SE LA. Obviously weakness fills in and high locks northward turn. Interesting run.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
ATCcane wrote:NCEP North American Model (NAM) 08.28.2012 00:00z
http://www.weatherbellmodels.com/weathe ... t_loop.php
I dont like that due west motion after the landfall. It is as if it says to me, "Oh you didn't like the NE side? Here is the eye wall for you to have fun with".
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
CYCLONE MIKE wrote:Might be a little east in very short term, then moves wnw/nw directly over NO. Then takes a interesting west jog across SE LA. Obviously weakness fills in and high locks northward turn. Interesting run.
with it slowing down now could it be making that western turn earlier than expected?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
wxwatcher1999 wrote:CYCLONE MIKE wrote:Might be a little east in very short term, then moves wnw/nw directly over NO. Then takes a interesting west jog across SE LA. Obviously weakness fills in and high locks northward turn. Interesting run.
with it slowing down now could it be making that western turn earlier than expected?
probably not. that would be a bad run for NO if it gets down to 960 or so.
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Re:
Dean4Storms wrote:Looks like at the end as if it is fixing to do a cyclonic loop and get back down into the Gulf.
Thought that as well Dean. Now that would be something. Lee was supposed to do that but never happened.
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Re: Re:
rainstorm wrote:Dean4Storms wrote:Looks like at the end as if it is fixing to do a cyclonic loop and get back down into the Gulf.
will be really interesting to see the GFS. thats a big west change for the NAM.
May I have the link to the model?
Also, the new NHC cone is a touch to the east.
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