ATL: ISAAC - Models

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bella_may
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Re:

#5281 Postby bella_may » Mon Aug 27, 2012 11:51 am

deltadog03 wrote:CMC looks like its near Gulfport/Biloxi for landfall

Isn't that a big shift east from the last cmc run?
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#5282 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 11:53 am

CMC is Gulfport/Biloxi and moves NNE after landfall... TON of rain for the South East.
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#5283 Postby PTPatrick » Mon Aug 27, 2012 11:56 am

New hwrf way east. Now Hancock county ms again.
Last edited by PTPatrick on Mon Aug 27, 2012 11:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Re:

#5284 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 11:57 am

bella_may wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:CMC looks like its near Gulfport/Biloxi for landfall

Isn't that a big shift east from the last cmc run?

A Little bit E, but this run just moves a little quicker inland through MS
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Re:

#5285 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 11:57 am

PTPatrick wrote:New herd way east. Now Hancock county ms again.

new herd?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5286 Postby Wx_Warrior » Mon Aug 27, 2012 11:59 am

Trend is east, my friends. NOT SAYING SUPER EAST. But east.

Crucial EURO coming up in an hour.
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Re: Re:

#5287 Postby PTPatrick » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:00 pm

deltadog03 wrote:
PTPatrick wrote:New herd way east. Now Hancock county ms again.

new herd?

iPhone autocorrect ::rollseyes::
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Re: Re:

#5288 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:01 pm

PTPatrick wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:
PTPatrick wrote:New herd way east. Now Hancock county ms again.

new herd?

iPhone autocorrect ::rollseyes::

LOL...I figured.....HWRF...anybody have any graphics on it?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5289 Postby Blinhart » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:01 pm

Sorry, I don't see the landfall trend to be east, I see the inland forecast to be a little east, but not the landfall.
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Re: Re:

#5290 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:02 pm

PTPatrick wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:
PTPatrick wrote:New herd way east. Now Hancock county ms again.

new herd?

iPhone autocorrect ::rollseyes::



Could have been new herd of models...LOL back on topic...
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#5291 Postby Texashawk » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:03 pm

If its going to Mississippi, it needs to start to go north like, rightnow.
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#5292 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:05 pm

I will say its going pretty good towards the NW....Wxman said there was a wnw wobble, but it should continue at a NW pace. It will go north at some point, ALL models show that, just depends on where.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5293 Postby Wx_Warrior » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:05 pm

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Let me clarify before I get raked over the coals. Don't think we see landfall in SWLA.
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Re:

#5294 Postby petit_bois » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:06 pm

Texashawk wrote:If its going to Mississippi, it needs to start to go north like, rightnow.


dude... NE with a jog NNE later tonight puts in on the MS coast.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5295 Postby Ntxw » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:06 pm

12z GFS ensemble means

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5296 Postby Wx_Warrior » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:07 pm

hwrf 36h

Image

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5297 Postby Wx_Warrior » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:09 pm

hwrf 60h

Image

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#5298 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:10 pm

Wow...that is waaay east....HWRF still an interesting model though....GFS ens. are a bit east today as well. Shift has been a bit east today
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5299 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:10 pm

yep about time and close enough to not look at the models for Isaac anymore....suggest you watch in on Sat from here on out.....there was a wnw jog but hard to tell and could correct itself
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#5300 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:10 pm

ROCK wrote:yep about time and close enough to not look at the models for Isaac anymore....suggest you watch in on Sat from here on out.....there was a wnw jog but hard to tell and could correct itself

Agreed Rock.....about time to let it ride out.
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