ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4461 Postby Bocadude85 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:37 pm

Not sure if its just an optical illusion due to the expanding convection or not but Isaas appears he could miss the next NHC point to the right

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/flash-vis-short.html
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#4462 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:38 pm

its getting its acted together fast. hate to say it but keys/south florida may have a little surprise in the morning.. keep your heads up tonight just incase.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4463 Postby jinftl » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:38 pm

Was wondering that too...unless the center is actually south of the ball of convection and he isn't in fact organizing since the center is removed from that?

Bocadude85 wrote:Not sure if its just an optical illusion due to the expanding convection or not but Isaas appears her could miss the next NHC point to the right

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/flash-vis-short.html
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4464 Postby thatwhichisnt » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:39 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:Not sure if its just an optical illusion due to the expanding convection or not but Isaas appears he could miss the next NHC point to the right

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/flash-vis-short.html


What would the effects of that be?
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#4465 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:39 pm

Looks like a CDO in the early stages of forming, this might ramp up fairly quickly with the SST's so warm!
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Re:

#4466 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:39 pm

psyclone wrote:TWC's Greg Forbes is very bullish on tornado potential tomorrow and monday for the Florida peninsula. generally, long-lived tornado watches are issued and reissued during TC landfalls and I suspect this will be no exception. Be alert tomorrow as sometimes these hit and lift before a warning can be disseminated.


So true and something that always gets forgotten being so worried about where the actual storm is going and how strong it will be. Remember around here with Gustav before we lost power had tornado warnings every couple of minutes for our area. They were all radar indicated but they were non-stop.
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#4467 Postby galaxy401 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:41 pm

Recon will certainly be interesting tonight.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4468 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:42 pm

jinftl wrote:Was wondering that too...unless the center is actually south of the ball of convection and he isn't in fact organizing since the center is removed from that?

Bocadude85 wrote:Not sure if its just an optical illusion due to the expanding convection or not but Isaas appears her could miss the next NHC point to the right

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/flash-vis-short.html


Center is on the southern edge of that blob. It is slowly trying to wrap around.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4469 Postby artist » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:43 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:Not sure if its just an optical illusion due to the expanding convection or not but Isaas appears he could miss the next NHC point to the right

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/flash-vis-short.html

and north
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4470 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:43 pm

cycloneye wrote:This is link to various radars there.

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... B1=RADARES


Neither of Cuba's radar sites work for me. They are all old images.

http://www.met.inf.cu/asp/genesis.asp?T ... B1=RADARES
http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... B1=RADARES

And hardly load anyway.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4471 Postby 'CaneFreak » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:44 pm

Tight fist developing on IR...rapid intensification COULD start soon or at least some very steady intensification...watch out! Here comes ISAAC :eek:
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#4472 Postby WeatherOrKnot » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:44 pm

All of the local mets (pbc) keep stressing the tornado threats. We live in a mobile home.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4473 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:45 pm

cycloneye wrote:Cuban radar shows the center well.

Image


Look at cyclone's post. COC just off coast. Not in center of fist.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4474 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:46 pm

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Re:

#4475 Postby artist » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:46 pm

WeatherOrKnot wrote:All of the local mets (pbc) keep stressing the tornado threats. We live in a mobile home.

you are in Miami? If so they have opened some shelters
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Re: Re:

#4476 Postby WeatherOrKnot » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:47 pm

artist wrote:
WeatherOrKnot wrote:All of the local mets (pbc) keep stressing the tornado threats. We live in a mobile home.

you are in Miami? If so they have opened some shelters


No, southern Palm Beach County.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4477 Postby jinftl » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:48 pm

TS Warning extended up Fl West coast at 11pm

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4478 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:49 pm

jinftl wrote:Be interested in reading the NHC Discussion at 11pm and see if the growing ball of convection near the center is in fact the start of Isaac intensifying. We have seen this before with Isaac - he looks to be getting his act together on satellite, but recon often found that not to be the case. we will see..

quickly intensifying system when all the slackers(j/k) are going to sleep in sofla is not a good scenario...too bad recon isnt out there, its odd that we would have this long of a window without recon this close to the usa...oh well, enjoy IR its the only thing we have for now
Last edited by jlauderdal on Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:55 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re:

#4479 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:51 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:its getting its acted together fast. hate to say it but keys/south florida may have a little surprise in the morning.. keep your heads up tonight just incase.


Agreed!
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Re: Re:

#4480 Postby artist » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:51 pm

WeatherOrKnot wrote:
artist wrote:
WeatherOrKnot wrote:All of the local mets (pbc) keep stressing the tornado threats. We live in a mobile home.

you are in Miami? If so they have opened some shelters


No, southern Palm Beach County.

unless things change I think you should be ok. Just keep listening to all the updates.
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