adam0983 wrote:This is Madness we have gone from a Florida landfall to Texas now. Wow
Incorrect.. that is just east of NOLA
ATL: ISAAC - Models
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SunnyThoughts
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Re: Re:
adam0983 wrote:This is Madness we have gone from a Florida landfall to Texas now. Wow
Please be careful what you post. No model is showing a TX landfall. Euro just showed a LA landfall, very very similar to Katrina.
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petit_bois
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Re:
SunnyThoughts wrote:Hard to tell, looks to be Miss/Ala border..maybe Miss/La border covering so much area hard to tell.
devastating... but i do like being the point 7 days out... should mean we should be ok.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Still way too early for anything in my book. I am waiting until at least Friday for runs.....
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Jevo
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Re: Re:
adam0983 wrote:This is Madness we have gone from a Florida landfall to Texas now. Wow
inb4 a Mod
There isnt one model forecasting a Texas landfall.. not even the Euro on it's worst day...
Remember the Euro is not the NHC official forecast track,, Just one model, an outlier at that...
Last edited by Jevo on Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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meriland23
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HurricaneBrain
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I think models will start slowly shifting to the west as New Orleans will soon be in the path with models stretching from TX to FL. Whole Gulf coast and East coast need to be watching closely.
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Wx_Warrior
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Re:
meriland23 wrote:216 hr
[url=http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/10/natlprmslmsl216.gif/][img]http://img10.imageshack.us/img10/3610/natlprmslmsl216.gifurl]
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What is that coming in over Puerto Rico, that is not TD 10?
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SunnyThoughts
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
deltadog03 wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:192 bombs out to cat 3
ouch!
Entire central gulf coast is hidden behind all those isobars geeze louise
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Weatherboy1
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Re:
SunnyThoughts wrote:Hard to tell, looks to be Miss/Ala border..maybe Miss/La border covering so much area hard to tell.
Yes, about that area. Which, I should point out, appears to be about 50-70 miles farther E than the last run of the EURO. Again, not a huge shift. But as I noted in another post, the eastern outliers are shifting west while the biggest western outlier is shifting east. THAT is the trend we should all keep an eye on. Consensus towards a far eastern Gulf or FL peninsula landfall seems to be coming into better focus though it is still early.
My amateur opinion, as always!
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Re: Re:
Jevo wrote:adam0983 wrote:This is Madness we have gone from a Florida landfall to Texas now. Wow
inb4 a Mod
There isnt one model forecasting a Texas landfall.. not even the Euro on it's worst day...
Remember the Euro is not the NHC official forecast track,, Just one model, an outlier at that...
There isnt one model forecasting a Texas landfall.. not even the Euro on it's worst day...
give it time....its not over yet...
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Re: Re:
BigB0882 wrote:adam0983 wrote:This is Madness we have gone from a Florida landfall to Texas now. Wow
Please be careful what you post. No model is showing a TX landfall. Euro just showed a LA landfall, very very similar to Katrina.
As a Texas resident we all know that there are no models concensus for us YET...but the trend westward is a little scary. I went to bed last night and NOLA seemed like -removed-. Now it seems somewhat viable. It is so far out that all of this discussion seems like armchair quarterbacking but it is entertaining. I believe ALL gulf coast residents should be vigilant in watching this storm regardless of what the ever changing models say.
Not a forecast...just an opinion.
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Jevo
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
GFS inched back East @ 12z from 6z.... The Euro is falling back East a little like a good boy.. Just a matter of time till he (EURO) falls in line with the current wearer of the crown.. 
Looking forward to the EURO run at 2am tonight
Looking forward to the EURO run at 2am tonight
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Re: Re:
pledger28 wrote:BigB0882 wrote:adam0983 wrote:This is Madness we have gone from a Florida landfall to Texas now. Wow
Please be careful what you post. No model is showing a TX landfall. Euro just showed a LA landfall, very very similar to Katrina.
As a Texas resident we all know that there are no models concensus for us YET...but the trend westward is a little scary. I went to bed last night and NOLA seemed like -removed-. Now it seems somewhat viable. It is so far out that all of this discussion seems like armchair quarterbacking but it is entertaining. I believe ALL gulf coast residents should be vigilant in watching this storm regardless of what the ever changing models say.
Not a forecast...just an opinion.
Overall, there really isn't a trend westward as our west outlier (Euro) has shifted east.
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