ATL: ISAAC - Models

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TreasureIslandFLGal
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#1581 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Wed Aug 22, 2012 12:58 pm

good point too Nimbus. If the storm strengthens considerably, it tends to bolster the ridge a bit.
Along that line of thinking, woudl the storm following Isaac have any affect on the ridge strength if it starts pushing on its other side at all?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1582 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:00 pm

blp wrote:Off Topic: what happened to HURAKAN. He used to post a lot here.


He is a very busy pro-met now, might be continuing his education as well, not positive. He is on here from time to time and has a blue name.
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#1583 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:00 pm

New 12Z GFDL and 12Z HWRF...??
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1584 Postby blp » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:02 pm

tolakram wrote:
blp wrote:Off Topic: what happened to HURAKAN. He used to post a lot here.


He is a very busy pro-met now, might be continuing his education as well, not positive. He is on here from time to time and has a blue name.


Thanks good to see he is OK.
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#1585 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:04 pm

48 hr euro

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#1586 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:04 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:New 12Z GFDL and 12Z HWRF...??


12z GFDL very close to the 12z CMC, heads NW/NNW up Bahamas and I think into N.Florida/GA.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1587 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:05 pm

12z HWRF just of the Florida coast

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/hwrf/12zhwrf500mbHGHTPMSLnest126.gif
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1588 Postby blp » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:09 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:12z HWRF just of the Florida coast

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/hwrf/12zhwrf500mbHGHTPMSLnest126.gif


Flip flopped. I guess because it stronger on this run.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1589 Postby adam0983 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:10 pm

Or it could be following the GFS Model.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1590 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:10 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:12z HWRF just of the Florida coast

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/hwrf/12zhwrf500mbHGHTPMSLnest126.gif


GFDL Splits the state...

http://my.sfwmd.gov/portal/page/portal/ ... el%20plots
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#1591 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:10 pm

Quite a weak run from the HWRF there actually, would make alot of sense if it takes the land route that some models are suggesting...
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#1592 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:12 pm

72 hr euro

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#1593 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:14 pm

So far, the euro looks like the 00z and 12z runs from last night and yesterday. keeps him fairly weak in the short term.
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#1594 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:14 pm

At 72 hours on the Euro...that looks like a big gyre type of circulation like we've been accustomed to seeing lately.
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#1595 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:14 pm

gfdl shifted west slightly.
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#1596 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:14 pm

Goes over SW Haiti, looks like it weakens decently as well whilst moving over it, looks like its now moving towards Cuba on this run, where will it go after 72hrs...hmmm
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1597 Postby Blown Away » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:14 pm

72 hour EURO makes Isaac look like an open wave.
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#1598 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:15 pm

EURO looks weak and south, same as before so far. Land disrupts the circulation, looks very plausible to me.
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#1599 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:17 pm

12z @ 72 hr euro and 00z @ 96 hr are only marginally different strength wise, with 00z run being slightly faster and slightly north..
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#1600 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:17 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:EURO looks weak and south, same as before so far. Land disrupts the circulation, looks very plausible to me.


its not that its necessarily weak it just cant resolve all the land nearby.
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