ATL: ISAAC - Models

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meriland23
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Re: Re:

#1301 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:06 am

lol, please forgive my fragmented languages. I was trying to convey that the euro would come east.

still south and due west on this model run in comparison, just a bit slower
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Re: Re:

#1302 Postby Riptide » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:08 am

meriland23 wrote:
lol, please forgive my fragmented languages. I was trying to convey that the euro would come east.

still south and due west on this model run in comparison, just a bit slower

It's fairly similar to the GFS, the big divergence happens later around central cuba.
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#1303 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:11 am

0z ECMWF (Euro) +72

Image
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#1304 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:20 am

0z ECMWF (Euro) +96

Image

0z ECMWF (Euro) +120

Image
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#1305 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:30 am

While we're waiting for +144 of the Euro, here is the Operational model analysis of the 0z HWRF.. Neat little link

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gc_wmb/vxt ... 0.fsct.png
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1306 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:32 am

0z ECMWF (Euro) +144

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1307 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:32 am

144...still wants to go in the gulf..
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1308 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:32 am

meriland23 wrote:144...still wants to go in the gulf..

But faster.
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#1309 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:33 am

next model should be a significant mb drop
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1310 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:35 am

0z ECMWF (Euro) +168

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1311 Postby Riptide » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:39 am

This is exactly what happened during Tropical Storm Debby; the euro will move towards the GFS slowly in future runs.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1312 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:43 am

Riptide wrote:This is exactly what happened during Tropical Storm Debby; the euro will move towards the GFS slowly in future runs.

or the other way around, have seen that happen too
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1313 Postby andrewsurvivor » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:46 am

Thanks Jevo and all those posting models and info for us die hards late at night. It is greatly appreciated :notworthy:
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1314 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:46 am

0z ECMWF (Euro) +192 CONUS

Image
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#1315 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:46 am

am I seeing things, or is it going towards texas..
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1316 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:52 am

0z ECMWF (Euro) +216 CONUS

Image
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#1317 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:52 am

967? Louisiana?!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1318 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:52 am

Wow huge difference thru 216 hrs compared to gfs. This is going to either be redemption for the euro or total fail this season. Not sure which way to lean yet.
Last edited by CYCLONE MIKE on Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#1319 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:53 am

lol GFS moved East...and Euro moved even farther west. Seems we have a ways to go for any concensus now
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#1320 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:54 am

strange that the euro is going more west while everyone else is more east... this is regardless of pace
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