ATL: ISAAC - Models

[Dean4Storms]

Rides it ride up the west coast of FL.

[Javlin]

little concerning.. 12z at 132hrs shows a pretty subtantial one behind it vs nothing on the 06 run at the same time (138hrs) check

12z 132hrs

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal132.gif

06z 138 hrs

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal138.gif

Also shows a weker frontal dip(?) on the 06 model of the coast of MA as oppose to the 12 model.

[SouthFLTropics]

96L looks to be awfully close at the 162 hour mark. Seems odd to me. Maybe close enough to get some fujiwara going on???

SFT

[pgoss11]

174HR riding up the spine of Florida

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/12zgfs500mbHGHTPMSLtropical174.gif

Dude.. your links aren't opening

[JPmia]

96L is close behind on the GFS, which makes this forecast even more complicated it appears to me.. what influence will it have on TD9? will it weaken the ridge a little to allow it to nudge north more? Sources on other boards say that G-IV missions fly this Thursday.

[Bocadude85]

n/t

[SouthFLTropics]

Mitt is not going to be happy about this run...TD-9 coming to ruin his party!

SFT

[ROCK]

174HR riding up the spine of Florida

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/12zgfs500mbHGHTPMSLtropical174.gif

the model aint out 174hr.... you might be on a older run....anywho your link is bad....

[meriland23]

yeah. but it is only a TS on these runs, only like 996 mb?

[Bocadude85]

174HR riding up the spine of Florida

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/12zgfs500mbHGHTPMSLtropical174.gif

Dude.. your links aren't opening

They are working fine for me...

[tolakram]

links working fine for me.

saved image

[ROCK]

GFS follows the EURO now....maybe they will stay that way...hopefully....we will know is 2 hours...for 12Z EURO....

[meriland23]

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal180.gif

180

[wxwatcher1999]

Could this be the start for the models to start shifting left?

[SouthFLTropics]

yeah. but it is only a TS on these runs, only like 996 mb?

That looks considerably more than a TS...Look at those isobars!!!

SFT

[Stormlover2012]

model runs going to keep changing folks

[Bocadude85]

Im having some sort of glitch on my computer.. I apologize if I posted some wrong links

[Weatherfreak000]

West shift this time....

[ConvergenceZone]

wow, since the NHC nudged the track eastward on their last update, I figured that the trend would be east and not west....Hmm this is interesting....

[Steve H.]

I've seen it often times when the Op goes against the ensembles - maybe it has to do with how they are weighted. There are a few things that strike me odd about this run though. This has our eastern atlantic low at a higher latitude that you would think given where it is now (as Rock said), but at the same time keeps future td 10 like 20 degrees east of "Isaac." You would think that the weakness that allows 09L to turn north then get caught in a COL would then lift "Joyce" north as well instead of letting it linger to the east. Seems to be some things that don't add up. The postion of 09L may be close to the truth (though it's many days away) but it's what is going on around it that is puzzling.


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