ATL: ISAAC - Models
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- Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
This run would shread it with interaction with Hispaniola, the only problem I have with the 0zGFS is that it isn't picking up on the current WSW motion
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- Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Just below Cuba ... moving WNW
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal114.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal114.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
thanks for posting Blown....I needed a break......I dont think it would gain that much lat between now and then given its caught up in the low levels right now and screaming along at 20 MPH+.....JMO...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Near Cuba now ... moving WNW towards EGOM or SFL ... a little stronger
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal132.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal132.gif
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- Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Crossing central Cuba .. NW turn may be happening
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal138.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal138.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
I don't know how it could survive all that land but it has happened before.
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- Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
North central Cuba coast now ... Heading for Keys or EGOM ... still pretty weak
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal150.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal150.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
not much to look at on this run...I think the islands did a number on it....
not much to look at on this run...I think the islands did a number on it....
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- Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Moving NW towards Key West ... looks like FL west coast
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal156.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal156.gif
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- Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Landfall lower Keys ... maybe a TS
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal162.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal162.gif
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I see two potential problems with this run, GFS might be a tad wacky lifting it North, which is probably why it's staying a bit weaker because of dry air. Second, I think 94L will probably shoot through the Caribbean a tad faster. That weakness is really pronounced though...time will tell. Might be a SFL threat...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Probably a 50mph TS at landfall in this run.
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Re:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:I see two potential problems with this run, GFS might be a tad wacky lifting it North, which is probably why it's staying a bit weaker because of dry air. Second, I think 94L will probably shoot through the Caribbean a tad faster. That weakness is really pronounced though...time will tell. Might be a SFL threat...
yeah not sure what to make of it...hard to predict low level steering 6 days from now...a whole lot weaker this run...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Near Marco Island (SW Florida) ... getting stronger
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal174.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal174.gif
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- Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Just off SW Florida coast moving NW
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal180.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal180.gif
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- Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Blown Away wrote:Near Marco Island (SW Florida) ... getting stronger
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal174.gif
This far out it could be 20mb or more lower than depicted in the model run, this really needs to be watched
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
looks like the 18Z run.... makes the GOM along the w coast of FL.....
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