ATL: ERNESTO - Post-Tropical

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#4641 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Aug 08, 2012 6:43 pm

We posted at the same time! :lol: okay
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Re:

#4642 Postby artist » Wed Aug 08, 2012 6:47 pm

brunota2003 wrote:We posted at the same time! :lol: okay

ooops! :oops:
:cheesy:
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#4643 Postby artist » Wed Aug 08, 2012 6:51 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 082347
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 12 20120808
233830 2135N 09043W 4082 07429 0386 -126 -237 092028 030 024 000 00
233900 2132N 09044W 4208 07203 0375 -116 -244 088030 031 023 000 03
233930 2129N 09046W 4377 06916 0361 -095 -243 087032 034 /// /// 03
234000 2127N 09047W 4612 06513 0337 -077 -147 095038 040 /// /// 03
234030 2124N 09048W 4929 05985 0302 -058 -094 096042 043 026 000 03
234100 2121N 09050W 5174 05600 0274 -035 -071 098043 045 026 000 03
234130 2119N 09051W 5459 05159 0247 -010 -049 095045 046 /// /// 03
234200 2116N 09052W 5724 04778 0054 +012 -024 092041 042 /// /// 03
234230 2113N 09054W 6066 04324 0069 +032 -000 094036 040 /// /// 03
234300 2111N 09055W 6414 03849 0063 +062 +021 106039 042 /// /// 03
234330 2109N 09056W 6770 03417 0071 +084 +047 114046 047 /// /// 03
234400 2106N 09057W 7032 03092 0070 +099 +069 119045 048 025 002 03
234430 2104N 09058W 7292 02792 0080 +110 +084 121049 050 /// /// 03
234500 2102N 09100W 7609 02439 0093 +125 +106 121047 049 /// /// 03
234530 2100N 09101W 7959 02060 0098 +142 +133 125048 048 /// /// 03
234600 2058N 09102W 8308 01695 0097 +159 +153 119045 048 012 003 03
234630 2056N 09102W 8415 01571 0081 +160 +160 117041 042 023 000 01
234700 2054N 09103W 8433 01546 0077 +165 +163 116041 042 024 000 00
234730 2052N 09104W 8432 01548 0076 +166 +158 118042 043 026 000 00
234800 2050N 09105W 8428 01550 0075 +164 +156 118042 043 027 001 00
$$
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Advisories

#4644 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 08, 2012 6:53 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
700 PM CDT WED AUG 08 2012

...ERNESTO MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST OF THE
MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE...SQUALLS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL LASHING
THE STATE OF CAMPECHE...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 91.5W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM ENE OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO BARRA DE NAUTLA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND RADARS FROM MEXICO TO BE NEAR LATITUDE
18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST. ERNESTO IS MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER
TOWARD THE WEST AT NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION...
ACCOMPANIED BY FLUCTUATIONS IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF ERNESTO WILL PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
THIS EVENING...MOVE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE
TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...AND BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATER ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND LATER ON
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER. DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...CIUDAD DEL
CARMEN REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 46 MPH...74 KM/H AND A GUST TO
58 MPH...93 KM/H. SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO
OCCURRING AT OFFSHORE OIL RIGS NORTH OF THE CENTER OF ERNESTO.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NEARBY SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD
ACROSS THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON
THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM OF 12 INCHES
OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF TABASCO AND VERACRUZ. ERNESTO IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
OVER NORTHERN BELIZE...NORTHERN GUATEMALA...THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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#4645 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Aug 08, 2012 6:53 pm

Recon descending to operational altitude.
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#4646 Postby artist » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:00 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 082357
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 13 20120808
234830 2048N 09106W 8432 01544 0074 +160 +160 121043 043 028 000 01
234900 2046N 09107W 8428 01545 0071 +165 +162 120044 044 026 000 00
234930 2044N 09108W 8425 01550 0072 +165 +162 120044 044 026 000 00
235000 2042N 09109W 8433 01543 0071 +165 +161 118045 046 030 000 00
235030 2040N 09110W 8424 01551 0069 +167 +159 117045 046 029 000 00
235100 2039N 09111W 8429 01546 0072 +164 +162 116043 045 029 000 00
235130 2037N 09112W 8432 01539 0073 +160 +160 114042 042 031 001 01
235200 2035N 09113W 8438 01537 0073 +160 +160 115042 043 032 000 01
235230 2033N 09114W 8440 01533 0069 +160 +160 116043 043 028 002 01
235300 2031N 09115W 8429 01541 0067 +160 +160 116042 043 027 001 01
235330 2030N 09115W 8430 01538 0065 +160 +160 115041 041 026 001 01
235400 2028N 09116W 8428 01539 0062 +160 +160 115040 041 028 000 01
235430 2027N 09117W 8431 01535 0062 +160 +160 113041 042 028 000 01
235500 2025N 09117W 8429 01537 0061 +160 +160 115042 042 030 000 01
235530 2024N 09118W 8429 01535 0059 +160 +160 114043 043 027 001 01
235600 2022N 09118W 8429 01535 0060 +160 +160 111042 043 029 001 01
235630 2021N 09119W 8429 01534 0057 +160 +160 108043 043 029 001 01
235700 2019N 09120W 8423 01539 0055 +160 +160 106042 044 030 003 01
235730 2018N 09120W 8434 01524 0056 +160 +160 114041 042 031 003 01
235800 2016N 09121W 8434 01524 0051 +160 +160 113042 043 030 000 01
$$
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon Discussions - Comments - Questions

#4647 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:06 pm

Image

Recon heading in!! Note the location of the *suspected* minimum pressure from last night and the current watches and warnings. Ernesto's 5p location is noted by the red circle.
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#4648 Postby tailgater » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:07 pm

Image

He's creeping along right now, I'd say 7mph is generous.
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#4649 Postby artist » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:10 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 090007
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 14 20120808
235830 2015N 09121W 8427 01529 0051 +160 +160 110041 042 029 003 01
235900 2013N 09122W 8431 01529 0052 +160 +160 110042 044 032 002 01
235930 2012N 09123W 8426 01527 0048 +160 +160 112043 044 032 001 01
000000 2010N 09123W 8432 01522 0046 +160 +160 111040 042 030 000 01
000030 2009N 09124W 8433 01522 0052 +160 +160 107038 040 029 001 01
000100 2007N 09125W 8428 01528 //// +144 //// 104041 042 029 005 01
000130 2006N 09125W 8430 01523 0049 +160 +160 107042 043 028 003 01
000200 2004N 09126W 8432 01524 0049 +160 +160 104041 042 026 003 01
000230 2003N 09126W 8430 01527 0049 +166 +165 104041 042 030 001 00
000300 2001N 09127W 8436 01521 0046 +169 +164 104040 041 032 001 00
000330 1959N 09128W 8430 01524 0045 +160 +160 107041 043 034 002 01
000400 1958N 09128W 8417 01537 //// +147 //// 097043 046 038 009 01
000430 1956N 09129W 8437 01515 0045 +160 +160 098041 042 035 005 01
000500 1955N 09130W 8432 01521 0043 +167 +166 098039 040 032 000 00
000530 1953N 09130W 8430 01521 0041 +168 +166 100037 038 034 000 00
000600 1952N 09131W 8431 01517 0039 +170 +165 100038 040 034 002 00
000630 1950N 09132W 8430 01518 0037 +170 +164 100040 041 035 001 00
000700 1948N 09132W 8430 01516 0033 +171 +166 101038 039 035 001 00
000730 1947N 09133W 8424 01522 0031 +174 +167 101036 037 036 001 00
000800 1945N 09133W 8430 01513 0030 +170 +168 103039 040 035 000 00
$$
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#4650 Postby artist » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:11 pm

can someone take over now? Dinner time here!
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Re:

#4651 Postby weatherSnoop » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:16 pm

artist wrote:can someone take over now? Dinner time here!

I can take over hdbo's for a little bit
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#4652 Postby Annie Oakley » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:16 pm

I can do the next 5,,,,til 8 o'clockish Central......
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#4653 Postby Annie Oakley » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:16 pm

Lol Snoop-want it?
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon Discussions - Comments - Questions

#4654 Postby weatherSnoop » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:17 pm

go ahead Annie, I will stick around for awhile. Might muster energy to do some images
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#4655 Postby Annie Oakley » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:18 pm

Roger that..........til 20:00.thanx
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#4656 Postby artist » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:18 pm

thank you all, will return later for awhile, hopefully
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4657 Postby Annie Oakley » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:19 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 090017
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 15 20120809
000830 1944N 09134W 8428 01515 0029 +171 +168 103041 041 036 000 00
000900 1942N 09135W 8430 01512 0029 +173 +170 104040 041 035 001 00
000930 1941N 09135W 8429 01513 0028 +173 +170 103040 040 036 001 00
001000 1939N 09136W 8429 01511 0026 +173 +172 099039 040 037 000 00
001030 1937N 09137W 8429 01510 0027 +170 +170 098038 040 038 000 01
001100 1936N 09137W 8429 01509 0023 +170 +170 100038 039 038 000 01
001130 1934N 09138W 8429 01509 0024 +170 +170 100037 039 039 001 01
001200 1933N 09139W 8432 01505 0021 +170 +170 099037 037 039 000 01
001230 1931N 09139W 8430 01505 0019 +170 +170 100036 037 041 000 01
001300 1929N 09140W 8428 01505 0019 +170 +170 098037 037 039 001 01
001330 1928N 09140W 8430 01501 0018 +170 +170 097039 041 039 000 01
001400 1926N 09141W 8427 01502 0013 +170 +170 096041 041 038 001 01
001430 1925N 09142W 8428 01500 0011 +170 +170 095042 044 038 001 01
001500 1923N 09142W 8432 01494 0011 +170 +170 094042 044 037 001 01
001530 1921N 09143W 8430 01494 0010 +170 +170 092040 041 037 000 01
001600 1920N 09144W 8429 01494 0007 +170 +170 088040 040 037 000 01
001630 1918N 09144W 8426 01494 0004 +170 +170 087039 040 038 001 01
001700 1916N 09145W 8430 01488 0000 +170 +170 082039 040 038 001 01
001730 1915N 09145W 8433 01483 9997 +175 +173 077037 039 038 003 00
001800 1913N 09145W 8429 01484 9994 +175 +173 075036 037 040 000 00
$$
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#4658 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:25 pm

Thanks artist! I am back, and if need be, can post. Don't be surprised if I don't respond right away though...think I'm gonna watch some Family Guy episodes while I finish dinner.
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4659 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:25 pm

I will attempt to work on the graphics for awhile.

Image

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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon Discussions - Comments - Questions

#4660 Postby weatherSnoop » Wed Aug 08, 2012 7:29 pm

took awhile to get images...not really savy at this

Thanks Panama...I may be able to help out later, if needed
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