ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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#3501 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:55 pm

bayoubebe wrote:Any chance that Debby will keep tracking East at a quicker pace, be over land, and be done?

It's so hard to believe that it could last so long, as it is pouring massive amounts of rain in Florida.


even if it moves over land the rain will not stop. since thats the biggest issue this system.
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#3502 Postby Dave » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:55 pm

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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3503 Postby Annie Oakley » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:55 pm

Stay tuned to your local weather service and the NHC.
Just a few easy clicks away on your computer...........stay safe!
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3504 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:55 pm

Can't see it. Bandwith leeching not allowed (hotlinking)
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3505 Postby vbhoutex » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:56 pm

cycloneye wrote:chris_fit,here is the link to that site.

http://instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/s ... L&hour=072

That site is part of our model sites button above.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3506 Postby chris_fit » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:56 pm

GFS @ 69 hours

Right over Orlando! Shifting even further to the right....

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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3507 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:57 pm

In 84 hours is off the East Florida Coast.

Image
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3508 Postby AdamFirst » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:58 pm

chris_fit wrote:GFS @ 69 hours

Right over Orlando! Shifting even further to the right....

[edited image out]



That looks like earlier solutions from the past week where it drifted over the central portion of the state
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3509 Postby chris_fit » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:58 pm

Right over Orlando! Shifted to the right again.


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#3510 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:00 pm

URNT15 KNHC 250355
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 35 20120625
034830 2705N 08702W 8430 01508 0030 +160 +160 316034 034 027 004 01
034900 2706N 08700W 8430 01507 //// +156 //// 314033 034 027 004 01
034930 2706N 08658W 8430 01507 0031 +160 +160 316033 033 028 004 01
035000 2706N 08656W 8427 01507 //// +151 //// 319033 033 028 004 01
035030 2706N 08654W 8426 01510 //// +145 //// 310033 036 031 007 01
035100 2706N 08652W 8425 01506 //// +140 //// 298036 038 031 009 01
035130 2706N 08650W 8440 01493 0025 +160 +160 305035 038 030 009 01
035200 2706N 08647W 8429 01504 0024 +160 +160 308036 036 024 003 01
035230 2706N 08645W 8428 01504 0022 +160 +160 306036 037 024 003 01
035300 2706N 08643W 8430 01499 0020 +160 +160 304037 037 023 004 01
035330 2706N 08641W 8429 01499 0019 +160 +160 304036 037 025 003 01
035400 2706N 08639W 8431 01497 0018 +160 +160 304037 038 027 003 01
035430 2706N 08637W 8429 01499 0016 +160 +160 304039 041 028 004 01
035500 2706N 08635W 8431 01496 0014 +160 +160 303040 040 028 004 01
035530 2706N 08633W 8430 01495 0015 +170 +170 301040 040 028 004 01
035600 2707N 08631W 8429 01496 0015 +160 +160 301040 041 026 005 01
035630 2707N 08628W 8429 01495 0013 +160 +160 298041 042 027 003 01
035700 2707N 08626W 8431 01491 0012 +170 +170 294038 040 028 002 01
035730 2707N 08624W 8427 01495 0011 +170 +170 290038 038 028 004 01
035800 2707N 08622W 8430 01491 0010 +170 +170 286038 038 031 004 01
$$
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3511 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:00 pm

cycloneye wrote:In 84 hours is off the East Florida Coast.

Image

It isn't allowing you to "hotlink" the images, need to save them and post them through imageshack.

This keeps appearing:

Image
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#3512 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:01 pm

96hr gfs stalling off the Florida east coast....
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#3513 Postby SeminoleWind » Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:02 pm

I know the GFS had the rite idea all along about the movement of Debby, but this 00Z run seems a little surprising to me.
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Re:

#3514 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:04 pm

SeminoleWind wrote:I know the GFS had the rite idea all along about the movement of Debby, but this 00Z run seems a little surprising to me.


not really that has been talk about if the gfs solution were to verify that the trough being so flat after it exits the east coast that debbie might get left behind. only time will tell.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3515 Postby mcheer23 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:05 pm

These models just continue to shock..
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3516 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:06 pm

check out the 500 mb ridging at 105 hrs.

see like it may get trapped.

Image
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#3517 Postby Dave » Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:06 pm

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#3518 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:10 pm

@ 123 hours the GFS keeps Debbie stuck off the Eastern coast of Florida.
Last edited by Kingarabian on Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3519 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:11 pm

WOW...The hits just keep coming! If "KING GFS" continues to verify and if, and that's a big IF, it were to stall off of the east coast then it COULD be foreseeable that it could track back West into the Peninsula under the building high pressure.

I thought Fay back in 08 was a barrell of monkeys but Debby is downright a looney!!!

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#3520 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:11 pm

URNT15 KNHC 250405
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 36 20120625
035830 2707N 08620W 8430 01489 0010 +170 +170 283038 039 032 002 01
035900 2707N 08618W 8429 01491 0009 +170 +170 279038 039 031 004 01
035930 2707N 08615W 8430 01489 0008 +170 +170 277037 038 033 004 01
040000 2707N 08613W 8431 01489 0008 +170 +170 274036 037 033 003 01
040030 2707N 08611W 8428 01489 0005 +170 +170 270038 039 032 005 01
040100 2707N 08609W 8422 01496 0006 +170 +170 264038 038 032 004 01
040130 2707N 08606W 8430 01490 0007 +170 +170 264038 039 030 003 01
040200 2707N 08604W 8429 01490 0007 +170 +170 263039 040 032 002 01
040230 2707N 08601W 8430 01487 0006 +170 +170 258039 040 031 004 01
040300 2708N 08559W 8430 01487 //// +144 //// 258043 045 031 005 01
040330 2708N 08556W 8431 01487 0006 +160 +160 258043 045 033 004 01
040400 2708N 08554W 8430 01489 0007 +170 +170 253043 043 031 005 01
040430 2708N 08551W 8429 01490 0005 +170 +170 250043 044 033 004 01
040500 2708N 08549W 8432 01487 0003 +170 +170 247043 045 031 004 01
040530 2708N 08546W 8428 01494 0008 +170 +170 246046 047 032 004 01
040600 2708N 08544W 8430 01492 0007 +170 +170 244045 046 032 003 01
040630 2708N 08541W 8429 01493 0007 +170 +170 242045 046 034 003 01
040700 2708N 08539W 8428 01494 0008 +160 +160 242045 046 032 004 01
040730 2708N 08536W 8430 01493 0008 +170 +165 241046 047 032 002 00
040800 2708N 08533W 8430 01493 0010 +167 +162 240046 047 032 002 00
$$
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