ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#981 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:24 pm

Riptide wrote:
CYCLONE MIKE wrote:Only reason gfs is showing this moving east now is not because of trof picking it up but another system developimg off se coast no later than Monday leaving a weakness behind . No other models have shown a hint of this so as usual think the gfs is wrong again. Have to give it credit it is persistent :roll:

The GFS is trying to create a Beryl redux right now....it will fall short though because there is another shortwave digging into the Great Lakes.

:lol:


Im wondering if its picking up on some type of MCC and trying to make it a storm
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#982 Postby Jevo » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:29 pm

Some Spaghetti for yas.. updated 5 mins ago

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#983 Postby Ptarmigan » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:32 pm

ROCK wrote:75 still stalled


If it is stalled, it could dump heavy rain as much as 3 feet! :eek: :eek:

I noticed the models are all over the place.
Last edited by Ptarmigan on Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#984 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:33 pm

GFS holds serve....TVCN still shows an east Gulf scenario. Even if the rest of the models come in the same, we are in the same boat we have been in....great :lol:
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#985 Postby Cainer » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:35 pm

That has to be the most divergent spaghetti plot I've ever seen.
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#986 Postby Rgv20 » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:37 pm

0zNOGAPS still forecast the low to the Western Gulf.....Forecast valid for Tuesday Morning.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#987 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:38 pm

Ptarmigan wrote:
ROCK wrote:75 still stalled


If it is stalled, it could dump heavy rain as much as 3 feet! :eek: :eek:

I noticed the models are all over the place.


If this run came through, everyone from New Orleans to Ft Myers would get historic flooding so I'm saying while I like tracking tropical cyclones I want nothing to do with this especially if its slow moving, but I believe we need another day to figure out which models are right or wrong

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#988 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:39 pm

Nogaps looks like it splits the low...but it is the nogaps..
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#989 Postby Riptide » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:47 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Nogaps looks like it splits the low...but it is the nogaps..

It says NoGaps(not available) on the model chart because nobody cares about it, jking. Personally, I don't look at it even though someone posted some model statistics last year....it's not far behind the CMC and UKmet.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#990 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:48 pm

Jevo, is that all the spaghetti plots or just some. Looks like a lot more are showing east vs north and west as saw earlier today.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#991 Postby Jevo » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:52 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:Jevo, is that all the spaghetti plots or just some. Looks like a lot more are showing east vs north and west as saw earlier today.


A mix of both.. you'll see some 0z mixed in with some of the older runs in the image as indicated by the key at the top of it
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#992 Postby lebron23 » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:54 pm

I would love to see which side of the models the NHC goes with if they had to make a projected path right now
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#993 Postby ROCK » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:55 pm

maybe one big circle...... :lol: :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#994 Postby thundercam96 » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:56 pm

ROCK wrote:maybe one big circle...... :lol: :lol:


Or Just Covering The Whole Basin lol
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#995 Postby lebron23 » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:57 pm

thundercam96 wrote:
ROCK wrote:maybe one big circle...... :lol: :lol:


Or Just Covering The Whole Basin lol


Tampico to Miami? :D :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#996 Postby boca » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:58 pm

The GFS could be picking up on that upper lever low south of Bermuda anyone agree with me?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#997 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:59 pm

CMC looks like Louisiana/Texas border....

Northern shift....however, look how close it gets to the New Orleans

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#998 Postby Rgv20 » Fri Jun 22, 2012 11:59 pm

0zUKMET has landfall on Wednesday Evening on the Houston area..

Image
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#999 Postby lebron23 » Sat Jun 23, 2012 12:00 am

All i can say is..wow its going to be a fun weekend and a fun first half of next week with you guys :D
Recon goes in tomorrow, we should know a lot more after that...
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Re:

#1000 Postby lebron23 » Sat Jun 23, 2012 12:01 am

Rgv20 wrote:0zUKMET has landfall on Wednesday Evening on the Houston area..

Image


Another HGX landfall..
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