ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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ROCK
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#481 Postby ROCK » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:22 am

South Texas Storms wrote:Looks like it misses the trough again this run. 96 hrs: http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP096.gif




yep pretty much the same run from the 12Z so far......meets the ridge....at 96hr....now does it stall for 5 days like the GFS.... :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#482 Postby Big O » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:23 am

Seems to be moving south of due west. It may even miss TX to the south in this run.
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#483 Postby bella_may » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:23 am

nope. looks like its going to mexico at 120hr!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#484 Postby ROCK » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:24 am

yeah looks like Brownsville...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#485 Postby South Texas Storms » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:28 am

ROCK wrote:yeah looks like Brownsville...


Rgv thought the run would be this way. He said just south of the 12z run and it looks like he will be right.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#486 Postby ROCK » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:29 am

FWIW this is the second run of the EURO with a western solution.....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#487 Postby ROCK » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:30 am

South Texas Storms wrote:
ROCK wrote:yeah looks like Brownsville...


Rgv thought the run would be this way. He said just south of the 12z run and it looks like he will be right.



maybe so...waiting for the 144 frame...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#488 Postby South Texas Storms » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:31 am

ROCK wrote:FWIW this is the second run of the EURO with a western solution.....



How many cmc runs in a row now show it coming to Texas? 4?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#489 Postby southerngale » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:31 am

South Texas Storms wrote:
ROCK wrote:FWIW this is the second run of the EURO with a western solution.....



How many cmc runs in a row now show it coming to Texas? 4?


Yes.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#490 Postby ROCK » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:32 am

South Texas Storms wrote:
ROCK wrote:FWIW this is the second run of the EURO with a western solution.....



How many cmc runs in a row now show it coming to Texas? 4?


yes....5 for the UKMET if you count that one.... :lol:
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#491 Postby Big O » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:33 am

Looks like Kennedy county
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#492 Postby ROCK » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:33 am

boca wrote:After staring at this for 2 minutes it looks like 96L is in the Yucatan Channel I see the most rotation there.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/flash-rb.html



hard to tell...maybe the inland vortex swung around the larger COC and emerged on the other side of the Yucatan.....I see some towers firing...
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#493 Postby ROCK » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:36 am

Big O wrote:Looks like Kennedy county



yeah little south of that maybe.....close...at 144hr to making landfall...

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP144.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#494 Postby southerngale » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:36 am

Euro at 144 hours
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#495 Postby Big O » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:36 am

Perhaps Brownsville
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#496 Postby Big O » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:37 am

Between BRO and CRP.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#497 Postby ROCK » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:38 am

not as deep as last run either....

168hr landfall...Texas
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#498 Postby southerngale » Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:39 am

Euro at 168 hours

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#499 Postby latitude_20 » Fri Jun 22, 2012 2:28 am

Interesting Boca- was just thinking the same thing. Either that or I've been staring at the loop too long... :double:
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#500 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jun 22, 2012 3:03 am

its the circ i have mentioned was forming earlier. said thst would be the area to look.
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