ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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lester
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#341 Postby lester » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:33 pm

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#342 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:35 pm

sorry for the spelling and lack.of responding im away from my computer .... usung phone. still nothing to latch onto... aso more WAitung. still the eastern side has the best CVhance for the moment
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#343 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:36 pm

yeah Luis thats where I see it also....but at night hard to see anything....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#344 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:39 pm

0Z GFS is running out 24hrs....

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#345 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:41 pm

36hrs

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#346 Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:41 pm

wxman57 wrote:Obs indicate a very broad low center, perhaps 150 miles across with a lobe near the Yucatan and another off to the NNE a good ways. Sort of like Frances of 1998.


If it is like Frances of 1998, it would be a large storm that dumps heavy rain over a large area.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#347 Postby Jagno » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:42 pm

This was posted in another thread but it seems that this met is fairly confident that this will affect the Texas/Louisiana area following some pretty extreme temperatures next week. No mention of possible intensity we'd be looking at. Anybody?

http://www.examiner.com/article/weekend ... ne-22-2012
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#348 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:45 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M


I think it got left behind....
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#349 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:48 pm

just ne of the yucatan is still showing signs. from earlier visible till now. radar still showing something there
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#350 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:48 pm

Very interested to see model runs tonight. Maybe something unexpected? I feel like GFS may swing west.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#351 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:51 pm

63hr

still there

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#352 Postby Riptide » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:52 pm


Looks quite potent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#353 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:54 pm

the CMC brought it north like this and then slammed into the high sending it west.....lets see if this is the case...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#354 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:54 pm

Man do I remember Frances around here. Epic flooding on area rivers. People using driveways as boat ramps to get to houses. Almost as bad as Allison. Sure hope we don't see that kind if rain. But IF the models are correct and this does meander south of us and heads towards upper tx coast could be in for some trouble.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#355 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:55 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#356 Postby tailgater » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:57 pm

just a nudge west westward.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#357 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:58 pm

the ridge just met Debby.....ala CMC run...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#358 Postby Lane » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:59 pm




It looks to stall there through 72hrs
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#359 Postby ROCK » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:59 pm

Lane wrote:



It looks to stall there through 72hrs




yep at 90hr still sitting there

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#360 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Thu Jun 21, 2012 10:59 pm

Sitting here thinking about it, would rather see it shoot off to the NE across FL into the ATL. This scenario the models are leaning closer to now of drifting north then west for days could lead to Allison type flooding rains in some areas of LA and TX
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