ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical
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120 hours stationary. looks like its getting left behind. next frame will show it.
http://instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php ... b&hour=120
http://instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php ... b&hour=120
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models
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- South Texas Storms
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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:120 hours stationary. looks like its getting left behind. next frame will show it.
http://instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF/201 ... mb_120.gif
ala CMC run....that showed it 3 runs in a row....all about timing...
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Re: Re:
ROCK wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:120 hours stationary. looks like its getting left behind. next frame will show it.
http://instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF/201 ... mb_120.gif
ala CMC run....that showed it 3 runs in a row....all about timing...
yeah, its stationary at 120 hours.. at this rate next trough will pick it up.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models
Possibility of hitting NOLA, backing out, then hitting Galveston?
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
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- northjaxpro
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Man it is really, really going to be a close call with regards of the trough picking up this system. All a matter of timing.
Could indeed be seeing an Elena '85 type scenario.
Could indeed be seeing an Elena '85 type scenario.
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ATL: INVEST 96L
bqhurricane wrote:Possibility of hitting NOLA, backing out, then hitting Galveston?
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
that is the CMC run from earlier....we are talking about the EURO that is coming out...
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- South Texas Storms
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Re: Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:ROCK wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:120 hours stationary. looks like its getting left behind. next frame will show it.
http://instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF/201 ... mb_120.gif
ala CMC run....that showed it 3 runs in a row....all about timing...
yeah, its stationary at 120 hours.. at this rate next trough will pick it up.
No aric, moved slightly west from 96 hrs to 120 hrs.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L
First position of invest 96L.
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we will call that slight movement and a drift. even stationary system are not technically stationary. in that 24 hours period it barely moved is all i meant.
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
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- South Texas Storms
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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:we will call that slight movement and a drift. even stationary system are not technically stationary. in that 24 hours period it barely moved is all i meant.
Well the next trough is no where in sight...
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- tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L
Upper level winds have died down considerably and it appears high pressure is building above the low.
Deep-layer wind shear
Tropicwatch
Deep-layer wind shear
Tropicwatch
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- latitude_20
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There are synoptic pattern differences in 12z euro vs 0z euro. There is an extension of the ridge going to the southeast in 12z. If this is the case my guess is the rest of the run will go west. 0z had lower pressures in Georgia and Florida.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models
stormandan28 wrote:just north of Tampa at 168 hrs
That's the 0z run. 12z run isn't out to 144 hours yet.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models
This is the run page. 144 not done yet for the 12z run.
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwf.html
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwf.html
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Re: Re:
It's June and not Sept. so the likelihood of another trough picking it up is not high. IMO
South Texas Storms wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:we will call that slight movement and a drift. even stationary system are not technically stationary. in that 24 hours period it barely moved is all i meant.
Well the next trough is no where in sight...
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