2012 SE TX/SW LA Weather:Cold/cool week.

[Jagno]

All those rain chances and unfortunately my house wasn't under those specific locations apparently. I did get to see some spectacular lightening shows and heard the rolling thunder but they all seemed to take detours as they approached our area. The humidity is enough to choke you, unless you're a fish of course. That's okay, I'm just so very grateful for the cloud cover at least.

[TexasSam]

This is lightning from a few weeks ago. I just took the time to understand how to post a youtube video here...
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2rN4U4QPzhc[/youtube]

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

I love light shows like that

Did Humble get rain?

How much did you get Vbhoutex?

[Tireman4]

I love light shows like that

Did Humble get rain?

How much did you get Vbhoutex?

Yes, Humble ( well Atscocita) got an inch of rain. I missed it. I was at work, but it knocked out the power..

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
442 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

TXZ199-200-213-142230-
HARRIS TX-LIBERTY TX-MONTGOMERY TX-
442 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN HARRIS...WEST
CENTRAL LIBERTY AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM
CDT...

AT 436 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HUMBLE...MOVING NORTH AT 10
MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PEAS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KINGWOOD...HUMBLE...LAKE HOUSTON...PORTER AND PORTER HEIGHTS.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

I love light shows like that

Did Humble get rain?

How much did you get Vbhoutex?

Yes, Humble ( well Atscocita) got an inch of rain. I missed it. I was at work, but it knocked out the power..

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
442 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

TXZ199-200-213-142230-
HARRIS TX-LIBERTY TX-MONTGOMERY TX-
442 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN HARRIS...WEST
CENTRAL LIBERTY AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM
CDT...

AT 436 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HUMBLE...MOVING NORTH AT 10
MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PEAS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KINGWOOD...HUMBLE...LAKE HOUSTON...PORTER AND PORTER HEIGHTS.

Not too bad for your location re hail and winds ...wish the rain had been a bit more though (I'd love to send all of what we are getting tomorrow down there).

[vbhoutex]

SS we got 0.06" from the big storm that hit NE Houston the other day. Also had one very close CG which almost caused another load of laundry to be done. Meanwhile the high today at the house was 97F.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

SS we got 0.06" from the big storm that hit NE Houston the other day. Also had one very close CG which almost caused another load of laundry to be done. Meanwhile the high today at the house was 97F.

You didn't hang enough laundry! I can't believe how some areas of Houston were hit so hard with rain and yet you got so little.

Or you should plan to paint your house! We've been wanting to paint our front porch for 3 years now. Mother Nature nixed that plan

[vbhoutex]

SS we got 0.06" from the big storm that hit NE Houston the other day. Also had one very close CG which almost caused another load of laundry to be done. Meanwhile the high today at the house was 97F.

You didn't hang enough laundry! I can't believe how some areas of Houston were hit so hard with rain and yet you got so little.

Or you should plan to paint your house! We've been wanting to paint our front porch for 3 years now. Mother Nature nixed that plan

You laugh. I actually do need to paint our garage.
See below for Jeff's take on our week.

[vbhoutex]

Look's like a WET week for SE TX according to Jeff.

Interesting several days ahead as the tropics help to provide a good coverage of rainfall for the area.

Today-Wednesday:

Easterly wave is moving westward toward the upper TX coast this morning with the axis of this wave near the coast at sunrise. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are in progress on the eastern side of the wave axis from roughly Liberty and Chambers Counties eastward into central LA. Air mass will continue to moisten today as the wave axis moves westward allowing deep tropical moisture to move into the area from the ESE. PWS will rise to 1.7 inches this afternoon and over 2.0 inches on Tuesday. Expect widespread showers and thunderstorms today east of a lien from Conroe to Sugar Land to Bay City once upper 80 degree trigger temperatures are reached. With the wave axis further west on Tuesday and very deep moisture in place, expect numerous storms to develop prior to sunrise over the coastal waters and then move inland around sunrise. Saturated air column will support very heavy rainfall in a short period of time with a very quick 1-2 inches likely under the stronger storms. Wednesday should see a repeat of Tuesday with widespread morning development pushing inland through the day.

Thursday-weekend:

All attention will focus on the possible formation of some sort of tropical system in the southern Gulf of Mexico. Models are not in really any better agreement than last week on if/when/where this system may attempt to form and in what direction it may move. Central America monsoon trough has indeed lifted northward into the Caribbean Sea and extreme southern Gulf of Mexico and widespread convection is in progress over much of the Caribbean Sea this morning…very much as these models had been suggesting all last week. GFS and ECMWF have been the most consistent in developing a broad surface circulation in the southern Gulf or NW Caribbean Sea Thursday of this week and pushing it slowly WNW to NW into the western or northwestern Gulf this weekend. The latest CMC takes a NW Caribbean Sea NE toward FL as a strong tropical storm and this is being discounted as an outlier. Will lean toward the GFS/ECMWF solutions and trend in the direction of a broad (messy) surface low developing in the southern Gulf of Mexico this Thursday or Friday and meandering toward the WNW over the weekend. Will keep the system weak as the latest GFS has really broad low pressure extending over much of the central Gulf of Mexico. Confidence is low on both the development and any movement of a southern Gulf tropical system…stay tuned!

As far as any impacts go, tides are already running above normal along the TX coast due to easterly winds and tides are expected to come up even more as the ESE fetch increases off the Gulf early this week behind the westward moving easterly wave. Tides area currently running .5-1.0 feet above predicted levels at Galveston, Freeport, and Port O Connor. Toward the end of the week, as low pressure develops to the south, expect increasing fetch and seas again aimed at the TX coast so higher tides will likely linger into next weekend. Will just have to wait and see how much high pressure builds into the central US and how this may affect the moisture profile on the northern flank of any tropical system. Latest models have come in drier with more high pressure over the region this weekend. There could be a very strong rainfall gradient across the area with bands of heavy rains moving into the southern TX and possibly the coastal bend while areas further up the coast remain dry. As noted this is a low confidence forecast and significant changes are likely later this week if/when a surface circulation actually develops.

Now is a good time to remind residents to review their hurricane preparation plans and make sure their supply kits are fully stocked.

[CajunMama]

NO! NO! NO! Just NO! SE Texas is not allowed to have a wet week! I'm headed to Houston for the week and I already don't like driving over there much less on wet roads!

So who's up for lunch in the Houston area????

[CajunMama]

You can thank me for bringing these nice storms to houston!!! I'll do my best to have it rain every day while i'm here. I leave friday or saturday so your weekend should be quite nice!

[southerngale]

It's been very wet lately, but that looks to end Thursday, per NWS. We've gotten rain every day, sometimes quite a bit of rain. I got about 6 inches Friday/Saturday and smaller amounts every other day. It's pretty saturated around here.

And not just rain... thunderstorms... the best way to get rain.

[CajunMama]

Vbhoutx and i had lunch today. As we were standing outside the restaurant talking after lunch there was a huge lightning strike near us. I know i grabbed his arm and jumped backwards, not knowing if i should run back inside the restaurant. What an end to a weatherweenie lunch!

[vbhoutex]

Vbhoutx and i had lunch today. As we were standing outside the restaurant talking after lunch there was a huge lightning strike near us. I know i grabbed his arm and jumped backwards, not knowing if i should run back inside the restaurant. What an end to a weatherweenie lunch!

CM and I both jumped and headed for the door!!!LOL!! She had brought us some much needed rain, so we are happy. I had another 0.80" at the house so far today, so we are at 2.20" in the last 24 hours.

[Tireman4]

Vbhoutx and i had lunch today. As we were standing outside the restaurant talking after lunch there was a huge lightning strike near us. I know i grabbed his arm and jumped backwards, not knowing if i should run back inside the restaurant. What an end to a weatherweenie lunch!

CM and I both jumped and headed for the door!!!LOL!! She had brought us some much needed rain, so we are happy. I had another 0.80" at the house so far today, so we are at 2.20" in the last 24 hours.

Yeah and that should make us good for the supposed big time mega high coming...LOL

[vbhoutex]

Vbhoutx and i had lunch today. As we were standing outside the restaurant talking after lunch there was a huge lightning strike near us. I know i grabbed his arm and jumped backwards, not knowing if i should run back inside the restaurant. What an end to a weatherweenie lunch!

CM and I both jumped and headed for the door!!!LOL!! She had brought us some much needed rain, so we are happy. I had another 0.80" at the house so far today, so we are at 2.20" in the last 24 hours.

Yeah and that should make us good for the supposed big time mega high coming...LOL

What I fear now is that the cockroach ridge will set in and not let go. Hopefully the "heatwave" won't last long.

[Tireman4]

[
Yeah and that should make us good for the supposed big time mega high coming...LOL[/quote]
What I fear now is that the cockroach ridge will set in and not let go. Hopefully the "heatwave" won't last long.[/quote]

According to Larry Cosgrove, this is SUPPOSED to last for 11-15 days. Who knows...

[Ntxw]

According to Larry Cosgrove, this is SUPPOSED to last for 11-15 days. Who knows...

Teleconnections point to July 4th ish week for change so that thought by LC seems very reasonable

[StormClouds63]

Through mid-June, the summer pattern here in SW LA was somewhat similar to 2006 ... with rain showers even in the early morning hours. Now, a period of hot, dry weather is here, with little chance of rain for the next 7-10 days. Anniversary of Audrey coming up on June 27, so maybe that strong high pressure ridge isn't so bad after all. I guess it's still too early to draw any conclusions just yet about Summer 2012.

[Jagno]

We've had alot of rain in the past week. Yesterday was the first time I could get out into my garden beds to weed and the soil was dry, despite all of the recent moisture. We really needed it although it was absorbed immediately. I really do have some exterior painting to do so I guess this week would be a good time to get that done.