URPN15 KNHC 241939
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 34 20120524
193100 1538N 10652W 6941 03132 9957 +115 +074 296057 057 046 001 03
193130 1537N 10653W 6954 03116 9965 +115 +076 297056 056 043 000 03
193200 1536N 10655W 6966 03103 9976 +107 +086 300054 054 043 001 00
193230 1535N 10656W 6964 03109 9979 +109 +083 301052 053 042 001 03
193300 1534N 10657W 6965 03112 9979 +110 +079 299049 050 040 001 03
193330 1533N 10658W 6963 03118 9984 +107 +082 296048 049 039 001 00
193400 1532N 10659W 6966 03116 9991 +105 +087 297046 047 040 000 03
193430 1531N 10701W 6963 03121 9998 +100 +092 299047 047 038 001 00
193500 1530N 10702W 6964 03124 0005 +096 +095 301047 048 036 000 00
193530 1528N 10703W 6963 03127 0011 +094 //// 305046 047 037 001 01
193600 1527N 10704W 6963 03128 0017 +091 //// 306042 043 039 000 01
193630 1526N 10706W 6963 03136 0019 +093 //// 304038 039 039 001 01
193700 1525N 10707W 6966 03129 0018 +095 +089 306039 040 037 000 00
193730 1524N 10709W 6965 03132 0022 +095 +084 308040 040 036 001 00
193800 1523N 10710W 6965 03134 0023 +094 +076 311040 040 036 000 00
193830 1521N 10711W 6962 03139 0030 +091 +074 311041 041 036 001 00
193900 1520N 10712W 6963 03143 0032 +091 +083 306039 040 035 001 00
193930 1519N 10714W 6965 03140 0035 +090 +088 306038 039 035 000 00
194000 1518N 10715W 6963 03141 0040 +085 //// 308037 038 034 001 01
194030 1517N 10716W 6965 03143 0044 +084 //// 311037 038 033 000 01
$$
EPAC: BUD - Post-Tropical
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Dropsonde in EYE
Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZPN13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 24th day of the month at 19:38Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Storm Number: 02
Storm Name: Bud (flight in the Northeast Pacific basin)
Mission Number: 1
Observation Number: 11
Part A...
Date: Near the closest hour of 19Z on the 24th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 16.1N 106.5W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... lon=-106.5
Location: 326 miles (524 km) to the SSW (195°) from Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, México.
Level: Geo. Height / Air Temp. / Dew Point / Wind Direction / Wind Speed
964mb (28.47 inHg): Sea Level (Surface) / 25.6°C (78.1°F) / 25.1°C (77.2°F) / 185° (from the S) / 19 knots (22 mph)
1000mb: -328m (-1076 ft) / This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
925mb: 361m (1,184 ft) / 24.2°C (75.6°F) / 23.6°C (74.5°F) / 185° (from the S) / 17 knots (20 mph)
850mb: 1,102m (3,615 ft) / 21.8°C (71.2°F) / 19.7°C (67.5°F) / 210° (from the SSW) / 18 knots (21 mph)
700mb: 2,790m (9,154 ft) / 18.4°C (65.1°F) / Approximately 11°C (52°F) / 275° (from the W) / 3 knots (3 mph)
Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 19:17Z
Remarks Section...
Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eye.
Splash Location: 16.13N 106.45W
Splash Time: 19:21Z
Release Location: 16.11N 106.46W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-106.46
Release Time: 19:17:20Z
Splash Location: 16.13N 106.45W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-106.45
Splash Time: 19:21:06Z
Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters):
- Wind: 185° (from the S) at 18 knots (21 mph)
Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth):
- Wind: 200° (from the SSW) at 16 knots (18 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 693mb to 963mb
Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm):
- Lowest 150m: 159 gpm - 9 gpm (522 geo. feet - 30 geo. feet)
- Wind: 185° (from the S) at 19 knots (22 mph)
Part B: Data For Significant Levels...
Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...
Level: Air Temp. / Dew Point
964mb (Surface): 25.6°C (78.1°F) / 25.1°C (77.2°F)
850mb: 21.8°C (71.2°F) / 19.7°C (67.5°F)
846mb: 21.6°C (70.9°F) / 19.4°C (66.9°F)
824mb: 22.4°C (72.3°F) / 17.5°C (63.5°F)
807mb: 21.4°C (70.5°F) / 16.6°C (61.9°F)
787mb: 22.6°C (72.7°F) / Approximately 15°C (59°F)
705mb: 19.8°C (67.6°F) / Approximately 12°C (54°F)
693mb: 16.4°C (61.5°F) / 11.6°C (52.9°F)
Significant Wind Levels...
Level: Wind Direction / Wind Speed
964mb (Surface): 185° (from the S) / 19 knots (22 mph)
916mb: 195° (from the SSW) / 15 knots (17 mph)
895mb: 190° (from the S) / 18 knots (21 mph)
850mb: 210° (from the SSW) / 18 knots (21 mph)
835mb: 220° (from the SW) / 20 knots (23 mph)
797mb: 205° (from the SSW) / 24 knots (28 mph)
751mb: 200° (from the SSW) / 16 knots (18 mph)
728mb: 165° (from the SSE) / 10 knots (12 mph)
693mb: 280° (from the W) / 7 knots (8 mph)
---
Original Undecoded Observation:
UZPN13 KNHC 241938
XXAA 74197 99161 71065 04766 99964 25605 18519 00828 ///// /////
92361 24206 18517 85102 21821 21018 70790 18457 27503 88999 77999
31313 09608 81917
61616 AF308 0102E BUD OB 11
62626 EYE SPL 1613N10645W 1921 MBL WND 18518 AEV 20802 DLM WND 20
016 963693 WL150 18519 084 REL 1611N10646W 191720 SPG 1613N10645W
192106 =
XXBB 74198 99161 71065 04766 00964 25605 11850 21821 22846 21622
33824 22449 44807 21448 55787 22658 66705 19858 77693 16448
21212 00964 18519 11916 19515 22895 19018 33850 21018 44835 22020
55797 20524 66751 20016 77728 16510 88693 28007
31313 09608 81917
61616 AF308 0102E BUD OB 11
62626 EYE SPL 1613N10645W 1921 MBL WND 18518 AEV 20802 DLM WND 20
016 963693 WL150 18519 084 REL 1611N10646W 191720 SPG 1613N10645W
192106 =
Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZPN13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 24th day of the month at 19:38Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Storm Number: 02
Storm Name: Bud (flight in the Northeast Pacific basin)
Mission Number: 1
Observation Number: 11
Part A...
Date: Near the closest hour of 19Z on the 24th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 16.1N 106.5W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... lon=-106.5
Location: 326 miles (524 km) to the SSW (195°) from Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, México.
Level: Geo. Height / Air Temp. / Dew Point / Wind Direction / Wind Speed
964mb (28.47 inHg): Sea Level (Surface) / 25.6°C (78.1°F) / 25.1°C (77.2°F) / 185° (from the S) / 19 knots (22 mph)
1000mb: -328m (-1076 ft) / This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
925mb: 361m (1,184 ft) / 24.2°C (75.6°F) / 23.6°C (74.5°F) / 185° (from the S) / 17 knots (20 mph)
850mb: 1,102m (3,615 ft) / 21.8°C (71.2°F) / 19.7°C (67.5°F) / 210° (from the SSW) / 18 knots (21 mph)
700mb: 2,790m (9,154 ft) / 18.4°C (65.1°F) / Approximately 11°C (52°F) / 275° (from the W) / 3 knots (3 mph)
Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 19:17Z
Remarks Section...
Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eye.
Splash Location: 16.13N 106.45W
Splash Time: 19:21Z
Release Location: 16.11N 106.46W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-106.46
Release Time: 19:17:20Z
Splash Location: 16.13N 106.45W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-106.45
Splash Time: 19:21:06Z
Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters):
- Wind: 185° (from the S) at 18 knots (21 mph)
Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth):
- Wind: 200° (from the SSW) at 16 knots (18 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 693mb to 963mb
Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm):
- Lowest 150m: 159 gpm - 9 gpm (522 geo. feet - 30 geo. feet)
- Wind: 185° (from the S) at 19 knots (22 mph)
Part B: Data For Significant Levels...
Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...
Level: Air Temp. / Dew Point
964mb (Surface): 25.6°C (78.1°F) / 25.1°C (77.2°F)
850mb: 21.8°C (71.2°F) / 19.7°C (67.5°F)
846mb: 21.6°C (70.9°F) / 19.4°C (66.9°F)
824mb: 22.4°C (72.3°F) / 17.5°C (63.5°F)
807mb: 21.4°C (70.5°F) / 16.6°C (61.9°F)
787mb: 22.6°C (72.7°F) / Approximately 15°C (59°F)
705mb: 19.8°C (67.6°F) / Approximately 12°C (54°F)
693mb: 16.4°C (61.5°F) / 11.6°C (52.9°F)
Significant Wind Levels...
Level: Wind Direction / Wind Speed
964mb (Surface): 185° (from the S) / 19 knots (22 mph)
916mb: 195° (from the SSW) / 15 knots (17 mph)
895mb: 190° (from the S) / 18 knots (21 mph)
850mb: 210° (from the SSW) / 18 knots (21 mph)
835mb: 220° (from the SW) / 20 knots (23 mph)
797mb: 205° (from the SSW) / 24 knots (28 mph)
751mb: 200° (from the SSW) / 16 knots (18 mph)
728mb: 165° (from the SSE) / 10 knots (12 mph)
693mb: 280° (from the W) / 7 knots (8 mph)
---
Original Undecoded Observation:
UZPN13 KNHC 241938
XXAA 74197 99161 71065 04766 99964 25605 18519 00828 ///// /////
92361 24206 18517 85102 21821 21018 70790 18457 27503 88999 77999
31313 09608 81917
61616 AF308 0102E BUD OB 11
62626 EYE SPL 1613N10645W 1921 MBL WND 18518 AEV 20802 DLM WND 20
016 963693 WL150 18519 084 REL 1611N10646W 191720 SPG 1613N10645W
192106 =
XXBB 74198 99161 71065 04766 00964 25605 11850 21821 22846 21622
33824 22449 44807 21448 55787 22658 66705 19858 77693 16448
21212 00964 18519 11916 19515 22895 19018 33850 21018 44835 22020
55797 20524 66751 20016 77728 16510 88693 28007
31313 09608 81917
61616 AF308 0102E BUD OB 11
62626 EYE SPL 1613N10645W 1921 MBL WND 18518 AEV 20802 DLM WND 20
016 963693 WL150 18519 084 REL 1611N10646W 191720 SPG 1613N10645W
192106 =
0 likes
-
'CaneFreak
- Category 5
- Posts: 1486
- Joined: Mon Jun 05, 2006 10:50 am
- Location: New Bern, NC
Vortex Data Msg:
URPN12 KNHC 241944
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE EP022012
A. 24/19:17:10Z
B. 16 deg 08 min N
106 deg 28 min W
C. 700 mb 2796 m
D. 89 kt
E. 024 deg 7 nm
F. 138 deg 108 kt
G. 046 deg 17 nm
H. 964 mb
I. 7 C / 3047 m
J. 18 C / 3060 m
K. 11 C / NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. E21/30/15
N. 12345 / 07
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF308 0102E BUD OB 10
MAX FL WIND 108 KT NE QUAD 19:12:00Z
MAX FL TEMP 19 C 225 / 14 NM FROM FL CNTR
URPN12 KNHC 241944
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE EP022012
A. 24/19:17:10Z
B. 16 deg 08 min N
106 deg 28 min W
C. 700 mb 2796 m
D. 89 kt
E. 024 deg 7 nm
F. 138 deg 108 kt
G. 046 deg 17 nm
H. 964 mb
I. 7 C / 3047 m
J. 18 C / 3060 m
K. 11 C / NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. E21/30/15
N. 12345 / 07
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF308 0102E BUD OB 10
MAX FL WIND 108 KT NE QUAD 19:12:00Z
MAX FL TEMP 19 C 225 / 14 NM FROM FL CNTR
0 likes
URPN15 KNHC 241949
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 35 20120524
194100 1515N 10718W 6967 03140 0043 +082 //// 306035 036 033 000 01
194130 1514N 10719W 6963 03144 0048 +081 +080 304033 034 032 000 00
194200 1513N 10720W 6963 03142 0041 +087 +072 305037 039 030 001 00
194230 1512N 10722W 6967 03139 0040 +089 +074 301036 037 030 001 00
194300 1511N 10723W 6963 03148 0031 +096 +080 298035 037 033 001 00
194330 1510N 10724W 6969 03138 0037 +090 +077 303031 035 035 007 00
194400 1509N 10725W 6967 03142 //// +076 //// 318033 035 038 014 01
194430 1507N 10727W 6973 03136 0049 +084 //// 322037 040 039 011 01
194500 1506N 10728W 6953 03165 0041 +093 +082 320032 033 032 003 00
194530 1505N 10729W 6967 03145 0041 +095 +076 315032 032 030 001 00
194600 1504N 10731W 6964 03148 0043 +092 +077 314031 031 029 001 00
194630 1503N 10732W 6963 03151 0042 +093 +080 314032 032 028 000 00
194700 1501N 10733W 6967 03145 0050 +087 //// 313030 031 028 000 01
194730 1500N 10735W 6963 03157 0056 +083 //// 311030 030 028 001 01
194800 1459N 10736W 6963 03153 0053 +086 +085 312029 030 026 001 00
194830 1458N 10737W 6965 03151 0053 +087 //// 310030 031 028 001 01
194900 1457N 10739W 6962 03158 0045 +094 +074 310029 029 027 001 00
194930 1455N 10740W 6963 03159 0049 +091 +074 314028 029 028 000 00
195000 1454N 10741W 6966 03156 0049 +093 +072 315026 027 027 001 00
195030 1453N 10743W 6962 03159 0052 +091 +076 320028 028 026 000 00
$$
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 35 20120524
194100 1515N 10718W 6967 03140 0043 +082 //// 306035 036 033 000 01
194130 1514N 10719W 6963 03144 0048 +081 +080 304033 034 032 000 00
194200 1513N 10720W 6963 03142 0041 +087 +072 305037 039 030 001 00
194230 1512N 10722W 6967 03139 0040 +089 +074 301036 037 030 001 00
194300 1511N 10723W 6963 03148 0031 +096 +080 298035 037 033 001 00
194330 1510N 10724W 6969 03138 0037 +090 +077 303031 035 035 007 00
194400 1509N 10725W 6967 03142 //// +076 //// 318033 035 038 014 01
194430 1507N 10727W 6973 03136 0049 +084 //// 322037 040 039 011 01
194500 1506N 10728W 6953 03165 0041 +093 +082 320032 033 032 003 00
194530 1505N 10729W 6967 03145 0041 +095 +076 315032 032 030 001 00
194600 1504N 10731W 6964 03148 0043 +092 +077 314031 031 029 001 00
194630 1503N 10732W 6963 03151 0042 +093 +080 314032 032 028 000 00
194700 1501N 10733W 6967 03145 0050 +087 //// 313030 031 028 000 01
194730 1500N 10735W 6963 03157 0056 +083 //// 311030 030 028 001 01
194800 1459N 10736W 6963 03153 0053 +086 +085 312029 030 026 001 00
194830 1458N 10737W 6965 03151 0053 +087 //// 310030 031 028 001 01
194900 1457N 10739W 6962 03158 0045 +094 +074 310029 029 027 001 00
194930 1455N 10740W 6963 03159 0049 +091 +074 314028 029 028 000 00
195000 1454N 10741W 6966 03156 0049 +093 +072 315026 027 027 001 00
195030 1453N 10743W 6962 03159 0052 +091 +076 320028 028 026 000 00
$$
0 likes
2nd dropsonde
Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZPN13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 24th day of the month at 19:49Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Storm Number: 02
Storm Name: Bud (flight in the Northeast Pacific basin)
Mission Number: 1
Observation Number: 13
Part A...
Date: Near the closest hour of 19Z on the 24th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 16.3N 106.3W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... lon=-106.3
Location: 309 miles (498 km) to the SSW (193°) from Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, México.
Level: Geo. Height / Air Temp. / Dew Point / Wind Direction / Wind Speed
978mb (28.88 inHg): Sea Level (Surface) / 24.8°C (76.6°F) / 24.8°C (76.6°F) / 50° (from the NE) / 79 knots (91 mph)
1000mb: -193m (-633 ft) / This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
925mb: 492m (1,614 ft) / 22.2°C (72.0°F) / 22.2°C (72.0°F) / 70° (from the ENE) / 103 knots (119 mph)
850mb: 1,227m (4,026 ft) / 19.0°C (66.2°F) / 18.9°C (66.0°F) / 100° (from the E) / 108 knots (124 mph)
700mb: 2,884m (9,462 ft) / 12.4°C (54.3°F) / 12.3°C (54.1°F) / 135° (from the SE) / 102 knots (117 mph)
Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 19:13Z
Remarks Section...
Dropsonde Location: Dropped in maximum wind band.
Splash Location: 16.32N 106.49W
Splash Time: 19:19Z
Release Location: 16.29N 106.34W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-106.34
Release Time: 19:13:35Z
Splash Location: 16.32N 106.49W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-106.49
Splash Time: 19:19:00Z
Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters):
- Wind: 65° (from the ENE) at 102 knots (117 mph)
Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth):
- Wind: 100° (from the E) at 97 knots (112 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 696mb to 978mb
Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm):
- Lowest 150m: 159 gpm - 9 gpm (522 geo. feet - 30 geo. feet)
- Wind: 55° (from the NE) at 97 knots (112 mph)
Part B: Data For Significant Levels...
Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...
Level: Air Temp. / Dew Point
978mb (Surface): 24.8°C (76.6°F) / 24.8°C (76.6°F)
850mb: 19.0°C (66.2°F) / 18.9°C (66.0°F)
701mb: 13.0°C (55.4°F) / 12.8°C (55.0°F)
696mb: 10.4°C (50.7°F) / 10.4°C (50.7°F)
Significant Wind Levels...
Level: Wind Direction / Wind Speed
978mb (Surface): 50° (from the NE) / 79 knots (91 mph)
975mb: 50° (from the NE) / 89 knots (102 mph)
967mb: 55° (from the NE) / 101 knots (116 mph)
960mb: 60° (from the ENE) / 103 knots (119 mph)
954mb: 60° (from the ENE) / 111 knots (128 mph)
937mb: 70° (from the ENE) / 101 knots (116 mph)
931mb: 70° (from the ENE) / 107 knots (123 mph)
925mb: 70° (from the ENE) / 103 knots (119 mph)
916mb: 75° (from the ENE) / 115 knots (132 mph)
907mb: 80° (from the E) / 102 knots (117 mph)
901mb: 80° (from the E) / 108 knots (124 mph)
889mb: 85° (from the E) / 108 knots (124 mph)
880mb: 95° (from the E) / 112 knots (129 mph)
870mb: 100° (from the E) / 106 knots (122 mph)
850mb: 100° (from the E) / 108 knots (124 mph)
696mb: 140° (from the SE) / 100 knots (115 mph)
---
Original Undecoded Observation:
UZPN13 KNHC 241949
XXAA 74197 99163 71063 04766 99978 24800 05079 00693 ///// /////
92492 22200 07103 85227 19001 10108 70884 12401 13602 88999 77999
31313 09608 81913
61616 AF308 0102E BUD OB 13
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 1632N10649W 1919 MBL WND 06602 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 10097 978696 WL150 05597 084 REL 1629N10634W 191335 SPG 1632N1
0649W 191900 =
XXBB 74198 99163 71063 04766 00978 24800 11850 19001 22701 13002
33696 10400
21212 00978 05079 11975 05089 22967 05601 33960 06103 44954 06111
55937 07101 66931 07107 77925 07103 88916 07615 99907 08102 11901
08108 22889 08608 33880 09612 44870 10106 55850 10108 66696 14100
31313 09608 81913
61616 AF308 0102E BUD OB 13
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 1632N10649W 1919 MBL WND 06602 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 10097 978696 WL150 05597 084 REL 1629N10634W 191335 SPG 1632N1
0649W 191900 =
Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZPN13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 24th day of the month at 19:49Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Storm Number: 02
Storm Name: Bud (flight in the Northeast Pacific basin)
Mission Number: 1
Observation Number: 13
Part A...
Date: Near the closest hour of 19Z on the 24th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 16.3N 106.3W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... lon=-106.3
Location: 309 miles (498 km) to the SSW (193°) from Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, México.
Level: Geo. Height / Air Temp. / Dew Point / Wind Direction / Wind Speed
978mb (28.88 inHg): Sea Level (Surface) / 24.8°C (76.6°F) / 24.8°C (76.6°F) / 50° (from the NE) / 79 knots (91 mph)
1000mb: -193m (-633 ft) / This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
925mb: 492m (1,614 ft) / 22.2°C (72.0°F) / 22.2°C (72.0°F) / 70° (from the ENE) / 103 knots (119 mph)
850mb: 1,227m (4,026 ft) / 19.0°C (66.2°F) / 18.9°C (66.0°F) / 100° (from the E) / 108 knots (124 mph)
700mb: 2,884m (9,462 ft) / 12.4°C (54.3°F) / 12.3°C (54.1°F) / 135° (from the SE) / 102 knots (117 mph)
Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 19:13Z
Remarks Section...
Dropsonde Location: Dropped in maximum wind band.
Splash Location: 16.32N 106.49W
Splash Time: 19:19Z
Release Location: 16.29N 106.34W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-106.34
Release Time: 19:13:35Z
Splash Location: 16.32N 106.49W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-106.49
Splash Time: 19:19:00Z
Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters):
- Wind: 65° (from the ENE) at 102 knots (117 mph)
Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth):
- Wind: 100° (from the E) at 97 knots (112 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 696mb to 978mb
Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm):
- Lowest 150m: 159 gpm - 9 gpm (522 geo. feet - 30 geo. feet)
- Wind: 55° (from the NE) at 97 knots (112 mph)
Part B: Data For Significant Levels...
Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...
Level: Air Temp. / Dew Point
978mb (Surface): 24.8°C (76.6°F) / 24.8°C (76.6°F)
850mb: 19.0°C (66.2°F) / 18.9°C (66.0°F)
701mb: 13.0°C (55.4°F) / 12.8°C (55.0°F)
696mb: 10.4°C (50.7°F) / 10.4°C (50.7°F)
Significant Wind Levels...
Level: Wind Direction / Wind Speed
978mb (Surface): 50° (from the NE) / 79 knots (91 mph)
975mb: 50° (from the NE) / 89 knots (102 mph)
967mb: 55° (from the NE) / 101 knots (116 mph)
960mb: 60° (from the ENE) / 103 knots (119 mph)
954mb: 60° (from the ENE) / 111 knots (128 mph)
937mb: 70° (from the ENE) / 101 knots (116 mph)
931mb: 70° (from the ENE) / 107 knots (123 mph)
925mb: 70° (from the ENE) / 103 knots (119 mph)
916mb: 75° (from the ENE) / 115 knots (132 mph)
907mb: 80° (from the E) / 102 knots (117 mph)
901mb: 80° (from the E) / 108 knots (124 mph)
889mb: 85° (from the E) / 108 knots (124 mph)
880mb: 95° (from the E) / 112 knots (129 mph)
870mb: 100° (from the E) / 106 knots (122 mph)
850mb: 100° (from the E) / 108 knots (124 mph)
696mb: 140° (from the SE) / 100 knots (115 mph)
---
Original Undecoded Observation:
UZPN13 KNHC 241949
XXAA 74197 99163 71063 04766 99978 24800 05079 00693 ///// /////
92492 22200 07103 85227 19001 10108 70884 12401 13602 88999 77999
31313 09608 81913
61616 AF308 0102E BUD OB 13
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 1632N10649W 1919 MBL WND 06602 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 10097 978696 WL150 05597 084 REL 1629N10634W 191335 SPG 1632N1
0649W 191900 =
XXBB 74198 99163 71063 04766 00978 24800 11850 19001 22701 13002
33696 10400
21212 00978 05079 11975 05089 22967 05601 33960 06103 44954 06111
55937 07101 66931 07107 77925 07103 88916 07615 99907 08102 11901
08108 22889 08608 33880 09612 44870 10106 55850 10108 66696 14100
31313 09608 81913
61616 AF308 0102E BUD OB 13
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 1632N10649W 1919 MBL WND 06602 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 10097 978696 WL150 05597 084 REL 1629N10634W 191335 SPG 1632N1
0649W 191900 =
0 likes
-
'CaneFreak
- Category 5
- Posts: 1486
- Joined: Mon Jun 05, 2006 10:50 am
- Location: New Bern, NC
Looks like they're headed N for a MW - SE run next
URPN15 KNHC 241959
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 36 20120524
195100 1452N 10744W 6963 03159 0056 +088 +078 321028 029 025 001 00
195130 1451N 10745W 6961 03161 0056 +090 +070 319027 028 025 000 00
195200 1449N 10747W 6968 03155 0057 +089 +083 311025 029 029 002 03
195230 1448N 10748W 6958 03169 //// +086 //// 318025 028 /// /// 05
195300 1447N 10746W 6962 03169 0062 +087 //// 298024 025 /// /// 05
195330 1447N 10744W 6972 03149 0058 +087 //// 296023 023 028 000 05
195400 1448N 10742W 6961 03161 0052 +092 +084 300024 024 027 000 00
195430 1448N 10740W 6965 03159 0054 +092 +068 302025 026 026 002 00
195500 1448N 10738W 6962 03160 0052 +093 +064 304026 026 027 000 00
195530 1448N 10736W 6965 03157 0054 +090 +085 302025 026 029 001 00
195600 1448N 10734W 6964 03157 //// +084 //// 298026 027 033 001 01
195630 1448N 10732W 6962 03158 //// +083 //// 299024 026 032 001 01
195700 1449N 10730W 6964 03158 0064 +082 //// 291023 024 030 000 01
195730 1449N 10728W 6964 03155 0059 +085 //// 289024 024 029 000 01
195800 1449N 10726W 6963 03155 0057 +086 //// 288026 028 029 001 01
195830 1449N 10724W 6966 03152 0062 +082 //// 296026 027 029 000 01
195900 1449N 10722W 6964 03159 0065 +080 //// 296027 028 028 000 01
195930 1449N 10720W 6965 03158 0060 +083 //// 293026 027 028 000 01
200000 1449N 10718W 6963 03157 0060 +081 //// 292027 027 027 000 01
200030 1450N 10716W 6964 03156 0064 +080 //// 289027 027 027 002 01
$$
I'm going to need a short break soon - can anyone pick up a coupe of HDOBS once I get the VDM image posted?
URPN15 KNHC 241959
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 36 20120524
195100 1452N 10744W 6963 03159 0056 +088 +078 321028 029 025 001 00
195130 1451N 10745W 6961 03161 0056 +090 +070 319027 028 025 000 00
195200 1449N 10747W 6968 03155 0057 +089 +083 311025 029 029 002 03
195230 1448N 10748W 6958 03169 //// +086 //// 318025 028 /// /// 05
195300 1447N 10746W 6962 03169 0062 +087 //// 298024 025 /// /// 05
195330 1447N 10744W 6972 03149 0058 +087 //// 296023 023 028 000 05
195400 1448N 10742W 6961 03161 0052 +092 +084 300024 024 027 000 00
195430 1448N 10740W 6965 03159 0054 +092 +068 302025 026 026 002 00
195500 1448N 10738W 6962 03160 0052 +093 +064 304026 026 027 000 00
195530 1448N 10736W 6965 03157 0054 +090 +085 302025 026 029 001 00
195600 1448N 10734W 6964 03157 //// +084 //// 298026 027 033 001 01
195630 1448N 10732W 6962 03158 //// +083 //// 299024 026 032 001 01
195700 1449N 10730W 6964 03158 0064 +082 //// 291023 024 030 000 01
195730 1449N 10728W 6964 03155 0059 +085 //// 289024 024 029 000 01
195800 1449N 10726W 6963 03155 0057 +086 //// 288026 028 029 001 01
195830 1449N 10724W 6966 03152 0062 +082 //// 296026 027 029 000 01
195900 1449N 10722W 6964 03159 0065 +080 //// 296027 028 028 000 01
195930 1449N 10720W 6965 03158 0060 +083 //// 293026 027 028 000 01
200000 1449N 10718W 6963 03157 0060 +081 //// 292027 027 027 000 01
200030 1450N 10716W 6964 03156 0064 +080 //// 289027 027 027 002 01
$$
I'm going to need a short break soon - can anyone pick up a coupe of HDOBS once I get the VDM image posted?
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145296
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
12z GFS ensembles.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: EPAC: BUD - Recon
URPN15 KNHC 242009
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 37 20120524
200100 1450N 10714W 6965 03152 0060 +082 //// 286027 027 026 000 01
200130 1450N 10712W 6963 03156 0060 +081 //// 283027 027 027 000 01
200200 1450N 10710W 6963 03156 0058 +085 //// 283029 029 027 001 01
200230 1450N 10708W 6963 03155 0060 +082 //// 282029 029 027 000 01
200300 1450N 10706W 6963 03156 0061 +082 //// 280031 032 027 000 01
200330 1450N 10704W 6962 03157 0057 +083 //// 278032 033 027 001 01
200400 1451N 10702W 6966 03152 0061 +081 //// 273032 033 025 001 01
200430 1451N 10700W 6963 03151 0056 +083 +082 270033 033 027 001 00
200500 1451N 10657W 6965 03151 0057 +084 +080 270033 034 028 000 00
200530 1451N 10655W 6963 03156 0057 +085 +078 269033 034 028 001 00
200600 1451N 10653W 6963 03156 0056 +085 +077 268034 035 026 000 00
200630 1451N 10651W 6966 03153 0055 +085 +074 268035 036 024 001 00
200700 1451N 10649W 6960 03158 0050 +090 +069 263037 037 027 001 00
200730 1452N 10647W 6966 03151 0051 +088 +071 262037 037 023 000 00
200800 1452N 10645W 6963 03152 0049 +089 +070 260037 038 023 000 00
200830 1452N 10643W 6963 03154 0050 +087 +068 259038 038 026 000 00
200900 1452N 10640W 6963 03154 0053 +086 +070 260038 038 027 001 00
200930 1452N 10638W 6963 03151 0044 +093 +062 256039 040 027 001 00
201000 1452N 10636W 6966 03148 0044 +092 +063 254039 039 029 000 00
201030 1453N 10634W 6962 03150 0039 +097 +060 251040 041 028 001 00
$$
Erp - I goofed - they're flying east for SE-NW run next
I'm taking a short break - if someone can grab a couple of HDOBS I'll be back shortly
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 37 20120524
200100 1450N 10714W 6965 03152 0060 +082 //// 286027 027 026 000 01
200130 1450N 10712W 6963 03156 0060 +081 //// 283027 027 027 000 01
200200 1450N 10710W 6963 03156 0058 +085 //// 283029 029 027 001 01
200230 1450N 10708W 6963 03155 0060 +082 //// 282029 029 027 000 01
200300 1450N 10706W 6963 03156 0061 +082 //// 280031 032 027 000 01
200330 1450N 10704W 6962 03157 0057 +083 //// 278032 033 027 001 01
200400 1451N 10702W 6966 03152 0061 +081 //// 273032 033 025 001 01
200430 1451N 10700W 6963 03151 0056 +083 +082 270033 033 027 001 00
200500 1451N 10657W 6965 03151 0057 +084 +080 270033 034 028 000 00
200530 1451N 10655W 6963 03156 0057 +085 +078 269033 034 028 001 00
200600 1451N 10653W 6963 03156 0056 +085 +077 268034 035 026 000 00
200630 1451N 10651W 6966 03153 0055 +085 +074 268035 036 024 001 00
200700 1451N 10649W 6960 03158 0050 +090 +069 263037 037 027 001 00
200730 1452N 10647W 6966 03151 0051 +088 +071 262037 037 023 000 00
200800 1452N 10645W 6963 03152 0049 +089 +070 260037 038 023 000 00
200830 1452N 10643W 6963 03154 0050 +087 +068 259038 038 026 000 00
200900 1452N 10640W 6963 03154 0053 +086 +070 260038 038 027 001 00
200930 1452N 10638W 6963 03151 0044 +093 +062 256039 040 027 001 00
201000 1452N 10636W 6966 03148 0044 +092 +063 254039 039 029 000 00
201030 1453N 10634W 6962 03150 0039 +097 +060 251040 041 028 001 00
$$
Erp - I goofed - they're flying east for SE-NW run next
I'm taking a short break - if someone can grab a couple of HDOBS I'll be back shortly
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145296
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: EPAC: BUD - Hurricane
Let's see what the second pass from SE to NW has on pressure and strongest winds.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
URPN15 KNHC 242019
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 38 20120524
201100 1453N 10632W 6958 03157 0038 +098 +058 249041 041 025 000 00
201130 1453N 10629W 6959 03161 0040 +099 +055 251042 043 028 000 00
201200 1453N 10627W 6965 03154 0039 +102 +054 252043 043 030 002 00
201230 1453N 10624W 6966 03152 0039 +100 +054 251044 044 031 001 00
201300 1453N 10622W 6963 03157 0039 +102 +053 248045 045 031 000 00
201330 1454N 10619W 6966 03151 0038 +103 +058 246044 044 031 001 00
201400 1454N 10617W 6963 03156 0039 +099 +077 244044 044 031 000 00
201430 1454N 10614W 6968 03150 0042 +101 +059 242043 044 031 000 00
201500 1454N 10612W 6963 03160 0040 +102 +060 240043 044 031 000 00
201530 1454N 10609W 6966 03157 0040 +100 +072 237043 043 030 000 00
201600 1454N 10607W 6963 03161 0043 +100 +073 237043 044 030 000 00
201630 1454N 10605W 6964 03162 0041 +100 +068 237043 043 031 000 00
201700 1455N 10602W 6963 03160 0043 +099 +083 238044 046 032 001 00
201730 1455N 10600W 6966 03157 0053 +093 //// 239042 045 033 001 01
201800 1455N 10557W 6962 03165 0056 +090 //// 228044 047 035 001 01
201830 1455N 10555W 6965 03160 0045 +099 +081 226045 046 034 000 00
201900 1455N 10552W 6963 03164 0049 +095 +083 225045 045 032 001 00
201930 1455N 10550W 6964 03159 0048 +098 +077 224047 048 032 001 00
202000 1456N 10547W 6963 03164 0045 +101 +073 225050 051 033 000 00
202030 1456N 10545W 6965 03159 0050 +097 +086 225049 050 032 000 00
$$
;
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 38 20120524
201100 1453N 10632W 6958 03157 0038 +098 +058 249041 041 025 000 00
201130 1453N 10629W 6959 03161 0040 +099 +055 251042 043 028 000 00
201200 1453N 10627W 6965 03154 0039 +102 +054 252043 043 030 002 00
201230 1453N 10624W 6966 03152 0039 +100 +054 251044 044 031 001 00
201300 1453N 10622W 6963 03157 0039 +102 +053 248045 045 031 000 00
201330 1454N 10619W 6966 03151 0038 +103 +058 246044 044 031 001 00
201400 1454N 10617W 6963 03156 0039 +099 +077 244044 044 031 000 00
201430 1454N 10614W 6968 03150 0042 +101 +059 242043 044 031 000 00
201500 1454N 10612W 6963 03160 0040 +102 +060 240043 044 031 000 00
201530 1454N 10609W 6966 03157 0040 +100 +072 237043 043 030 000 00
201600 1454N 10607W 6963 03161 0043 +100 +073 237043 044 030 000 00
201630 1454N 10605W 6964 03162 0041 +100 +068 237043 043 031 000 00
201700 1455N 10602W 6963 03160 0043 +099 +083 238044 046 032 001 00
201730 1455N 10600W 6966 03157 0053 +093 //// 239042 045 033 001 01
201800 1455N 10557W 6962 03165 0056 +090 //// 228044 047 035 001 01
201830 1455N 10555W 6965 03160 0045 +099 +081 226045 046 034 000 00
201900 1455N 10552W 6963 03164 0049 +095 +083 225045 045 032 001 00
201930 1455N 10550W 6964 03159 0048 +098 +077 224047 048 032 001 00
202000 1456N 10547W 6963 03164 0045 +101 +073 225050 051 033 000 00
202030 1456N 10545W 6965 03159 0050 +097 +086 225049 050 032 000 00
$$
;
0 likes
I'm back - thanks Crazy!
URPN15 KNHC 242029
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 39 20120524
202100 1456N 10543W 6963 03162 0054 +093 +090 226047 049 031 000 00
202130 1456N 10540W 6965 03159 0051 +095 +088 227047 047 031 000 00
202200 1456N 10538W 6963 03162 0050 +095 +094 224047 048 030 000 00
202230 1456N 10535W 6964 03160 0051 +095 +090 224048 049 029 000 00
202300 1457N 10533W 6962 03163 0053 +094 //// 222049 049 029 001 01
202330 1457N 10530W 6963 03161 0049 +096 +093 219049 049 030 000 00
202400 1457N 10528W 6963 03167 0051 +095 +094 216049 049 029 000 00
202430 1457N 10526W 6965 03160 0049 +100 +089 215049 050 030 000 00
202500 1457N 10523W 6963 03164 0051 +095 +095 214049 050 033 001 00
202530 1457N 10521W 6965 03161 0054 +091 //// 213048 048 032 000 01
202600 1457N 10519W 6963 03166 0049 +097 +092 210048 049 030 001 00
202630 1458N 10516W 6964 03165 0050 +095 +092 211046 048 029 001 00
202700 1458N 10514W 6963 03166 0049 +099 +093 211045 046 028 001 00
202730 1458N 10512W 6962 03168 0048 +097 +095 213045 046 029 000 30
202800 1458N 10509W 6963 03166 0049 +099 +086 213047 047 029 000 00
202830 1458N 10507W 6964 03167 0041 +106 +079 212049 050 029 001 00
202900 1458N 10504W 6965 03166 0046 +104 +078 212049 050 029 000 03
202930 1459N 10502W 6954 03181 0058 +098 +081 210048 048 /// /// 03
203000 1501N 10502W 6967 03166 0059 +097 +082 207045 046 /// /// 03
203030 1503N 10503W 6969 03160 0053 +097 +085 207043 043 027 001 03
$$
And they've made the turn for SE-NW run
URPN15 KNHC 242029
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 39 20120524
202100 1456N 10543W 6963 03162 0054 +093 +090 226047 049 031 000 00
202130 1456N 10540W 6965 03159 0051 +095 +088 227047 047 031 000 00
202200 1456N 10538W 6963 03162 0050 +095 +094 224047 048 030 000 00
202230 1456N 10535W 6964 03160 0051 +095 +090 224048 049 029 000 00
202300 1457N 10533W 6962 03163 0053 +094 //// 222049 049 029 001 01
202330 1457N 10530W 6963 03161 0049 +096 +093 219049 049 030 000 00
202400 1457N 10528W 6963 03167 0051 +095 +094 216049 049 029 000 00
202430 1457N 10526W 6965 03160 0049 +100 +089 215049 050 030 000 00
202500 1457N 10523W 6963 03164 0051 +095 +095 214049 050 033 001 00
202530 1457N 10521W 6965 03161 0054 +091 //// 213048 048 032 000 01
202600 1457N 10519W 6963 03166 0049 +097 +092 210048 049 030 001 00
202630 1458N 10516W 6964 03165 0050 +095 +092 211046 048 029 001 00
202700 1458N 10514W 6963 03166 0049 +099 +093 211045 046 028 001 00
202730 1458N 10512W 6962 03168 0048 +097 +095 213045 046 029 000 30
202800 1458N 10509W 6963 03166 0049 +099 +086 213047 047 029 000 00
202830 1458N 10507W 6964 03167 0041 +106 +079 212049 050 029 001 00
202900 1458N 10504W 6965 03166 0046 +104 +078 212049 050 029 000 03
202930 1459N 10502W 6954 03181 0058 +098 +081 210048 048 /// /// 03
203000 1501N 10502W 6967 03166 0059 +097 +082 207045 046 /// /// 03
203030 1503N 10503W 6969 03160 0053 +097 +085 207043 043 027 001 03
$$
And they've made the turn for SE-NW run
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URPN15 KNHC 242039
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 40 20120524
203100 1504N 10505W 6961 03169 0044 +104 +082 207044 045 029 001 00
203130 1506N 10507W 6970 03157 0042 +106 +076 205044 044 028 001 00
203200 1507N 10508W 6961 03168 0039 +105 +081 203044 044 028 001 00
203230 1509N 10510W 6965 03163 0045 +101 +086 203043 044 030 000 00
203300 1510N 10511W 6966 03160 0045 +100 +092 203044 045 031 004 00
203330 1512N 10513W 6962 03166 0044 +101 +091 207046 046 032 001 00
203400 1514N 10514W 6961 03165 0043 +105 +091 207047 048 033 000 00
203430 1515N 10516W 6966 03162 0043 +103 +083 209047 047 032 000 00
203500 1517N 10518W 6967 03155 0036 +105 +094 209046 046 031 001 00
203530 1518N 10519W 6959 03165 0038 +105 +086 206045 046 031 000 00
203600 1520N 10521W 6978 03141 0032 +106 +083 208047 048 030 000 00
203630 1521N 10522W 6966 03147 0022 +109 +082 208048 049 031 001 00
203700 1522N 10523W 6966 03146 0019 +112 +060 209049 049 031 000 00
203730 1524N 10525W 6963 03148 0016 +110 +077 207049 050 031 000 00
203800 1525N 10526W 6963 03147 0018 +108 +079 210051 051 031 000 00
203830 1526N 10528W 6966 03147 0022 +102 +087 209050 051 031 000 00
203900 1528N 10529W 6965 03144 0026 +099 +091 212049 049 032 000 00
203930 1529N 10530W 6963 03141 0018 +103 +096 212050 051 033 000 00
204000 1530N 10531W 6967 03136 0017 +103 +092 213050 051 033 001 00
204030 1531N 10533W 6959 03146 0015 +104 +077 209052 052 033 000 00
$$
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 40 20120524
203100 1504N 10505W 6961 03169 0044 +104 +082 207044 045 029 001 00
203130 1506N 10507W 6970 03157 0042 +106 +076 205044 044 028 001 00
203200 1507N 10508W 6961 03168 0039 +105 +081 203044 044 028 001 00
203230 1509N 10510W 6965 03163 0045 +101 +086 203043 044 030 000 00
203300 1510N 10511W 6966 03160 0045 +100 +092 203044 045 031 004 00
203330 1512N 10513W 6962 03166 0044 +101 +091 207046 046 032 001 00
203400 1514N 10514W 6961 03165 0043 +105 +091 207047 048 033 000 00
203430 1515N 10516W 6966 03162 0043 +103 +083 209047 047 032 000 00
203500 1517N 10518W 6967 03155 0036 +105 +094 209046 046 031 001 00
203530 1518N 10519W 6959 03165 0038 +105 +086 206045 046 031 000 00
203600 1520N 10521W 6978 03141 0032 +106 +083 208047 048 030 000 00
203630 1521N 10522W 6966 03147 0022 +109 +082 208048 049 031 001 00
203700 1522N 10523W 6966 03146 0019 +112 +060 209049 049 031 000 00
203730 1524N 10525W 6963 03148 0016 +110 +077 207049 050 031 000 00
203800 1525N 10526W 6963 03147 0018 +108 +079 210051 051 031 000 00
203830 1526N 10528W 6966 03147 0022 +102 +087 209050 051 031 000 00
203900 1528N 10529W 6965 03144 0026 +099 +091 212049 049 032 000 00
203930 1529N 10530W 6963 03141 0018 +103 +096 212050 051 033 000 00
204000 1530N 10531W 6967 03136 0017 +103 +092 213050 051 033 001 00
204030 1531N 10533W 6959 03146 0015 +104 +077 209052 052 033 000 00
$$
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URPN15 KNHC 242049
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 41 20120524
204100 1533N 10534W 6965 03140 0027 +096 +070 206051 052 035 000 00
204130 1534N 10536W 6963 03135 0026 +093 +082 205051 052 035 000 00
204200 1535N 10537W 6964 03136 0020 +096 +090 203052 052 037 001 00
204230 1537N 10538W 6961 03138 0023 +092 //// 203052 052 038 000 01
204300 1538N 10540W 6967 03128 0020 +093 +086 202053 054 038 001 00
204330 1539N 10541W 6965 03129 0023 +090 +082 204054 055 038 001 00
204400 1541N 10542W 6963 03126 0016 +092 +082 205055 055 039 001 00
204430 1542N 10544W 6968 03117 0013 +092 +079 205057 058 040 001 00
204500 1543N 10545W 6960 03126 0012 +090 +086 207055 056 040 001 00
204530 1545N 10546W 6968 03109 0011 +085 //// 208056 056 041 002 01
204600 1546N 10548W 6966 03113 0001 +091 //// 211054 056 044 001 01
204630 1547N 10549W 6966 03109 9992 +096 //// 210056 058 044 001 01
204700 1549N 10550W 6963 03111 9984 +100 +095 215059 060 043 001 00
204730 1550N 10552W 6966 03101 9968 +109 +081 215061 062 043 000 00
204800 1551N 10553W 6963 03103 9976 +098 +094 214063 064 043 001 00
204830 1552N 10554W 6967 03094 9958 +109 +082 217065 066 045 001 00
204900 1554N 10556W 6961 03094 9955 +107 +085 219067 068 047 001 00
204930 1555N 10557W 6962 03083 9931 +120 +070 218070 072 048 001 00
205000 1556N 10558W 6960 03075 9938 +105 +081 220075 076 050 002 00
205030 1557N 10559W 6963 03063 9924 +110 +077 221079 080 052 002 00
$$
Nearing the center
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 41 20120524
204100 1533N 10534W 6965 03140 0027 +096 +070 206051 052 035 000 00
204130 1534N 10536W 6963 03135 0026 +093 +082 205051 052 035 000 00
204200 1535N 10537W 6964 03136 0020 +096 +090 203052 052 037 001 00
204230 1537N 10538W 6961 03138 0023 +092 //// 203052 052 038 000 01
204300 1538N 10540W 6967 03128 0020 +093 +086 202053 054 038 001 00
204330 1539N 10541W 6965 03129 0023 +090 +082 204054 055 038 001 00
204400 1541N 10542W 6963 03126 0016 +092 +082 205055 055 039 001 00
204430 1542N 10544W 6968 03117 0013 +092 +079 205057 058 040 001 00
204500 1543N 10545W 6960 03126 0012 +090 +086 207055 056 040 001 00
204530 1545N 10546W 6968 03109 0011 +085 //// 208056 056 041 002 01
204600 1546N 10548W 6966 03113 0001 +091 //// 211054 056 044 001 01
204630 1547N 10549W 6966 03109 9992 +096 //// 210056 058 044 001 01
204700 1549N 10550W 6963 03111 9984 +100 +095 215059 060 043 001 00
204730 1550N 10552W 6966 03101 9968 +109 +081 215061 062 043 000 00
204800 1551N 10553W 6963 03103 9976 +098 +094 214063 064 043 001 00
204830 1552N 10554W 6967 03094 9958 +109 +082 217065 066 045 001 00
204900 1554N 10556W 6961 03094 9955 +107 +085 219067 068 047 001 00
204930 1555N 10557W 6962 03083 9931 +120 +070 218070 072 048 001 00
205000 1556N 10558W 6960 03075 9938 +105 +081 220075 076 050 002 00
205030 1557N 10559W 6963 03063 9924 +110 +077 221079 080 052 002 00
$$
Nearing the center
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145296
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: EPAC: BUD - Hurricane
Crazy,they did.
Hurricane Warning issued
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BUD ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012
200 PM PDT THU MAY 24 2012
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 106.4W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM
MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES AND A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FROM CABO CORRIENTES NORTHWARD TO SAN BLAS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO WESTWARD TO EAST OF
MANZANILLO
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO WESTWARD TO EAST OF
MANZANILLO
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.4 WEST. BUD IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH LATE FRIDAY. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF BUD WILL MOVE INLAND ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST
LATE FRIDAY.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATED THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. BUD IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...AND BUD COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE BEFORE WEAKENING BEGINS ON FRIDAY. BUD IS FORECAST TO
REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO AS A HURRICANE.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO FIRST REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IN THE HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS TONIGHT...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
RAINFALL...BUD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN THE STATES OF
MICHOACAN...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND SOUTHERN NAYARIT...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE
THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES.
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY BUD ARE BEGINNING TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN
HURRICANE BUD DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012
200 PM PDT THU MAY 24 2012
AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
BUD...AND ON THE FIRST PASS THROUGH THE CENTER THE PLANE MEASURED A
MAXIMUM 700-MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 108 KT AND A MAXIMUM SFMR
ESTIMATE OF 89 KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. BASED ON THESE
DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 95 KT...ALTHOUGH IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT THE PLANE COULD FIND STRONGER WINDS ONCE IT FLIES
THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.
BUD HAS NOT SLOWED DOWN AS HAD BEEN SHOWN BY THE MODELS. THE
INITIAL MOTION IS 035 DEGREES AT 8 KT...AND BUD IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AHEAD OF A DEEPENING LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
WESTERN UNITED STATES. SINCE THE CYCLONE HAS NOT SLOWED DOWN...THE
MODEL GUIDANCE IS NOW IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE CENTER WILL REACH
THE COASTLINE BEFORE IT IS IMPEDED BY A STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND NORTHERN MEXICO. THE NHC TRACK
FORECAST IS VERY NEAR THE MODEL CONSENSUS TVCN AND SHOWS THE CENTER
OF THE CYCLONE REACHING THE COAST IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.
EVEN IF THE PLANE DOES NOT FIND STRONGER WINDS...THE HURRICANE STILL
HAS A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING.
DUE TO INCREASING SOUTHERLY SHEAR AND PROBABLE ENTRAINMENT OF DRY
MID-LEVEL AIR TO ITS WEST...BUD IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING BY
24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE LGEM...GFDL...AND HWRF MODELS ALL BRING
BUD TO THE COAST AS A HURRICANE...AND THAT IS SHOWN IN THE NHC
INTENSITY FORECAST. FASTER WEAKENING WILL OCCUR ONCE THE CENTER
MOVES INLAND...AND THE FORECAST SHOWS BUD DEGENERATING INTO A
REMNANT LOW BY DAY 4...IF NOT SOONER. IN FACT...THE GLOBAL MODELS
COMPLETELY DISSIPATE THE VORTICITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE IN
3-4 DAYS.
NOW THAT THE FORECAST BRINGS BUD TO THE COAST AS A HURRICANE...THE
GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST
FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 24/2100Z 16.4N 106.4W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 25/0600Z 17.4N 105.9W 100 KT 115 MPH
24H 25/1800Z 18.6N 105.4W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 26/0600Z 19.8N 105.2W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND
48H 26/1800Z 20.5N 105.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
72H 27/1800Z 19.5N 105.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...OVER WATER
96H 28/1800Z 19.0N 105.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN
Hurricane Warning issued
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BUD ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012
200 PM PDT THU MAY 24 2012
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 106.4W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM
MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES AND A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FROM CABO CORRIENTES NORTHWARD TO SAN BLAS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO WESTWARD TO EAST OF
MANZANILLO
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO WESTWARD TO EAST OF
MANZANILLO
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.4 WEST. BUD IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH LATE FRIDAY. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF BUD WILL MOVE INLAND ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST
LATE FRIDAY.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATED THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. BUD IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...AND BUD COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE BEFORE WEAKENING BEGINS ON FRIDAY. BUD IS FORECAST TO
REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO AS A HURRICANE.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO FIRST REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IN THE HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS TONIGHT...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
RAINFALL...BUD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN THE STATES OF
MICHOACAN...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND SOUTHERN NAYARIT...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE
THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES.
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY BUD ARE BEGINNING TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN
HURRICANE BUD DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012
200 PM PDT THU MAY 24 2012
AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
BUD...AND ON THE FIRST PASS THROUGH THE CENTER THE PLANE MEASURED A
MAXIMUM 700-MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 108 KT AND A MAXIMUM SFMR
ESTIMATE OF 89 KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. BASED ON THESE
DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 95 KT...ALTHOUGH IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT THE PLANE COULD FIND STRONGER WINDS ONCE IT FLIES
THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.
BUD HAS NOT SLOWED DOWN AS HAD BEEN SHOWN BY THE MODELS. THE
INITIAL MOTION IS 035 DEGREES AT 8 KT...AND BUD IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AHEAD OF A DEEPENING LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
WESTERN UNITED STATES. SINCE THE CYCLONE HAS NOT SLOWED DOWN...THE
MODEL GUIDANCE IS NOW IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE CENTER WILL REACH
THE COASTLINE BEFORE IT IS IMPEDED BY A STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND NORTHERN MEXICO. THE NHC TRACK
FORECAST IS VERY NEAR THE MODEL CONSENSUS TVCN AND SHOWS THE CENTER
OF THE CYCLONE REACHING THE COAST IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.
EVEN IF THE PLANE DOES NOT FIND STRONGER WINDS...THE HURRICANE STILL
HAS A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING.
DUE TO INCREASING SOUTHERLY SHEAR AND PROBABLE ENTRAINMENT OF DRY
MID-LEVEL AIR TO ITS WEST...BUD IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING BY
24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE LGEM...GFDL...AND HWRF MODELS ALL BRING
BUD TO THE COAST AS A HURRICANE...AND THAT IS SHOWN IN THE NHC
INTENSITY FORECAST. FASTER WEAKENING WILL OCCUR ONCE THE CENTER
MOVES INLAND...AND THE FORECAST SHOWS BUD DEGENERATING INTO A
REMNANT LOW BY DAY 4...IF NOT SOONER. IN FACT...THE GLOBAL MODELS
COMPLETELY DISSIPATE THE VORTICITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE IN
3-4 DAYS.
NOW THAT THE FORECAST BRINGS BUD TO THE COAST AS A HURRICANE...THE
GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST
FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 24/2100Z 16.4N 106.4W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 25/0600Z 17.4N 105.9W 100 KT 115 MPH
24H 25/1800Z 18.6N 105.4W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 26/0600Z 19.8N 105.2W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND
48H 26/1800Z 20.5N 105.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
72H 27/1800Z 19.5N 105.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...OVER WATER
96H 28/1800Z 19.0N 105.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: EPAC: BUD - Recon
Talk about timing......
URPN15 KNHC 242059
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 42 20120524
205100 1559N 10601W 6967 03056 9915 +111 +080 221082 084 055 004 00
205130 1600N 10602W 6961 03052 9929 +089 //// 216085 086 059 006 01
205200 1601N 10603W 6969 03034 9918 +084 //// 215089 091 062 008 01
205230 1602N 10604W 6964 03026 //// +083 //// 216095 097 064 009 01
205300 1604N 10606W 6966 03007 9880 +093 //// 217101 102 064 020 01
205330 1605N 10607W 6964 02992 9852 +100 //// 218106 107 070 013 01
205400 1607N 10608W 6962 02980 9833 +099 //// 217107 108 070 009 01
205430 1609N 10609W 6961 02970 9796 +124 +096 220104 106 069 002 00
205500 1610N 10610W 6979 02923 9753 +144 +091 220104 108 070 005 03
205530 1612N 10610W 6970 02912 9711 +156 +106 222094 101 066 007 00
205600 1614N 10611W 6977 02873 9674 +164 +115 222083 091 065 009 00
205630 1616N 10612W 6972 02861 9657 +161 +110 214065 069 053 004 00
205700 1617N 10613W 6973 02851 9658 +148 +113 202047 056 036 002 03
205730 1618N 10615W 6963 02855 9636 +161 +105 201031 038 030 001 00
205800 1619N 10616W 6960 02854 9627 +164 +101 206020 021 025 002 00
205830 1620N 10618W 6970 02843 9627 +165 +102 216014 016 021 002 00
205900 1621N 10620W 6966 02848 9629 +163 +105 206008 011 023 001 03
205930 1622N 10621W 6963 02855 9638 +156 +115 075005 008 025 001 00
210000 1623N 10623W 6963 02859 9640 +159 +118 050013 020 030 001 00
210030 1624N 10624W 6966 02863 9660 +149 +118 046031 037 046 002 03
$$
URPN15 KNHC 242059
AF308 0102E BUD HDOB 42 20120524
205100 1559N 10601W 6967 03056 9915 +111 +080 221082 084 055 004 00
205130 1600N 10602W 6961 03052 9929 +089 //// 216085 086 059 006 01
205200 1601N 10603W 6969 03034 9918 +084 //// 215089 091 062 008 01
205230 1602N 10604W 6964 03026 //// +083 //// 216095 097 064 009 01
205300 1604N 10606W 6966 03007 9880 +093 //// 217101 102 064 020 01
205330 1605N 10607W 6964 02992 9852 +100 //// 218106 107 070 013 01
205400 1607N 10608W 6962 02980 9833 +099 //// 217107 108 070 009 01
205430 1609N 10609W 6961 02970 9796 +124 +096 220104 106 069 002 00
205500 1610N 10610W 6979 02923 9753 +144 +091 220104 108 070 005 03
205530 1612N 10610W 6970 02912 9711 +156 +106 222094 101 066 007 00
205600 1614N 10611W 6977 02873 9674 +164 +115 222083 091 065 009 00
205630 1616N 10612W 6972 02861 9657 +161 +110 214065 069 053 004 00
205700 1617N 10613W 6973 02851 9658 +148 +113 202047 056 036 002 03
205730 1618N 10615W 6963 02855 9636 +161 +105 201031 038 030 001 00
205800 1619N 10616W 6960 02854 9627 +164 +101 206020 021 025 002 00
205830 1620N 10618W 6970 02843 9627 +165 +102 216014 016 021 002 00
205900 1621N 10620W 6966 02848 9629 +163 +105 206008 011 023 001 03
205930 1622N 10621W 6963 02855 9638 +156 +115 075005 008 025 001 00
210000 1623N 10623W 6963 02859 9640 +159 +118 050013 020 030 001 00
210030 1624N 10624W 6966 02863 9660 +149 +118 046031 037 046 002 03
$$
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Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 15980
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
What a crazy ride Bud has given us. First forecasted to be a strong Hurricane and make landfall on Mexico, then forecasted to not become a Hurricane and also avoid a landfall on Mexico, and now back to being forecasted that it will be a major Hurricane and a landfall on Mexico is happening.
Damn.
Damn.
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RIP Kobe Bryant
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