![Image](http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc12/SHEM/99S.INVEST/ir/geo/1km/20120210.1900.meteo7.x.ir1km.99SINVEST.15kts-NAmb-114S-1114E.100pc.jpg)
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 10:54am WST on Friday the 10th of February 2012
Valid until midnight WST Monday
Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
Nil.
Potential Cyclones:
At 8am WST Thursday a low was located near 11S 116E. The low is expected to move
steadily west over the next three days. It is not expected to develop into a
tropical cyclone during Saturday or Sunday but has a moderate chance of
developing into a cyclone on Monday. This system will not affect mainland
communities. The low may bring squally storms to Christmas Island for a period
late on Saturday or during Sunday but gales are not likely.
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Saturday :Low
Sunday :Low
Monday :Moderate
There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
develop over the next three days.
NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.
Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/