Texas Winter 2011-2012...

[gboudx]

Should help Lake Travis too Porta. I cant find the monitoring station for it. Isn't it over 40' low?

[Portastorm]

Should help Lake Travis too Porta. I cant find the monitoring station for it. Isn't it over 40' low?

Good point. Yep, Travis is 42 feet below its historic December level. Should definitely help. Wouldn't it be great to have these systems every 4-5 days all winter long? Oh wait ... that's a El Nino pattern. Silly me!

[iorange55]

Well, this one didn't pan out. But, technically winter hasn't even started, yet! Heck, we just now entered December.

We still got a good two and half months.

[Jarodm]

I dont belive all hope is lost, we have decatur reporting 37f and a dew point of 34 and a nw wind of 7mph obviously cold air is advecting. It really just depends how cold we get. Watch your temps and dew points closely wet bulb deff could have an effect.

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

I still don't think all hope is lost. You know how quickly things can change here in north Texas and southern Oklahoma.

[iorange55]

I dont belive all hope is lost, we have decatur reporting 37f and a dew point of 34 and a nw wind of 7mph obviously cold air is advecting. It really just depends how cold we get. Watch your temps and dew points closely wet bulb deff could have an effect.

Decatur could certainly see some flakes fly. However in the DFW metro area it looks unlikely.

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

Let's see what the 18Z NAM has to offer..hopefully some good news.

[Jarodm]

Well we can always hope, i really dont see us only moving a few degrees downward come night fall and early morning. Not when we have 30s in our north and north west counties currently with a northwest wind youd expect more lowering of temps than currently forecast.

[Jarodm]

Let's see what the 18Z NAM has to offer..hopefully some good news.

indeed that and the 00utc, also RUC will be worth checking out

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

Right now it appears to bring the temps down a little bit quicker, at 15hrs, than the 12Z. Anybody else seeing this?

[Jarodm]

yes actually it is a bit colder, intresting

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

It wants to end the precip pretty quickly..

However, it does appear to have more moisture moving in around hours 30-33, albeit light.

[Jarodm]

It wants to end the precip pretty quickly..

However, it does appear to have more moisture moving in around hours 30-33, albeit light.

At 24 hours i belive we are sitting right on the 32 mark with light precip, and looks like it's showing snow through tuesday 36 hours out

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

It wants to end the precip pretty quickly..

However, it does appear to have more moisture moving in around hours 30-33, albeit light.

At 24 hours i belive we are sitting right on the 32 mark with light precip

At 36 hours it has very light snow/flurries in parts of N.TX and S.OK..

[Jarodm]

39 as well man this run is looking much nicer, and 42 ok so from 24 hours out 42 hours we have light snow/ flurries?

at 48 hours out it starts to shut down. Wondering what the qp is for the 24 hours of freezing precip

[iorange55]

It is showing the last bit of energy coming through with a tad bit more of moisture. Flurries, possibly. The 12z NAM kind of showed the same thing as this run, just this one has a little more moisture.

We'll see if any of the models pick up on any added moisture with the last wave. Nothing significant, but could squeeze a few flurries out.

Very very light precip.

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

39 as well man this run is looking much nicer, and 42 ok so from 24 hours out 42 hours we have light snow/ flurries?

That's what it's showing, with very cold temps, especially cold at hr 42.

[GRAYSONCO.WX]

It is showing the last bit of energy coming through with a tad bit more of moisture. Flurries, possibly. The 12z NAM kind of showed the same thing as this run, just this one has a little more moisture.

We'll see if any of the models pick up on any added moisture with the last wave. Nothing significant, but could squeeze a few flurries out.

Very very light precip.

I'm ready to see what the 18Z GFS has to show with this last piece of energy moving through!

[Jarodm]

denton is down to 39f dewpoint 36 and north wind of 7. Come on, really all denton has to do is drop five degree's and i bet they start seeing a change over

[jerryh421]

Where is the cold front at right now?