ATL: OPHELIA - Remnants - Discussion

[tobol.7uno]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240208
AF304 0216A OPHELIA HDOB 29 20110924
015830 1521N 05424W 8790 01215 0096 +203 +195 217024 025 /// /// 03
015900 1523N 05422W 8455 01557 0092 +196 +192 213021 021 003 001 03
015930 1524N 05420W 8425 01588 0093 +190 +188 215021 022 003 001 00
020000 1525N 05418W 8432 01579 0095 +190 +185 216021 021 002 003 03
020030 1526N 05416W 8429 01585 0095 +190 +182 217022 022 001 001 03
020100 1527N 05415W 8430 01583 0096 +189 +180 217023 023 003 001 03
020130 1528N 05413W 8429 01581 0095 +188 +178 214025 026 003 000 00
020200 1530N 05411W 8429 01580 0096 +185 +176 214029 029 003 000 00
020230 1531N 05409W 8431 01578 0096 +185 +174 216029 030 003 002 03
020300 1532N 05407W 8428 01581 0095 +185 +172 217032 032 001 001 00
020330 1533N 05405W 8429 01579 0095 +185 +171 217031 032 003 001 03
020400 1535N 05404W 8432 01577 0095 +187 +170 217029 031 003 001 03
020430 1537N 05402W 8433 01575 0092 +190 +170 217027 027 003 003 03
020500 1538N 05400W 8430 01576 0094 +186 +170 217029 029 005 001 03
020530 1540N 05359W 8428 01579 0095 +185 +170 215030 031 004 001 00
020600 1541N 05357W 8429 01578 0097 +181 +170 214032 032 008 001 03
020630 1543N 05355W 8429 01580 0097 +180 +169 211033 033 004 001 00
020700 1545N 05354W 8433 01575 0097 +180 +169 207033 034 004 001 00
020730 1546N 05352W 8428 01580 0097 +180 +168 203034 034 010 000 00
020800 1548N 05351W 8429 01577 0099 +179 +167 204035 035 007 002 00
$$
;

[tobol.7uno]

Certainly not healthy, but certainly not the poorest looking storm we have seen this year.

[tobol.7uno]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240226
AF304 0216A OPHELIA HDOB 30 20110924
020830 1550N 05349W 8429 01576 0099 +175 +166 205035 036 006 002 00
020900 1551N 05348W 8430 01576 0101 +175 +166 202036 036 010 002 00
020930 1553N 05346W 8430 01575 0096 +180 +165 194037 037 013 002 00
021000 1555N 05345W 8429 01575 0097 +180 +164 192037 037 012 002 00
021030 1556N 05343W 8430 01576 0097 +180 +164 190037 037 016 002 00
021100 1558N 05342W 8429 01578 0100 +176 +164 189036 036 018 002 00
021130 1600N 05340W 8432 01575 0102 +173 +165 189036 036 020 002 00
021200 1601N 05339W 8428 01578 0105 +167 +164 191036 038 023 004 00
021230 1603N 05337W 8428 01576 0098 +179 +163 186038 039 024 001 00
021300 1605N 05336W 8428 01583 0104 +175 +160 184037 038 023 001 00
021330 1606N 05334W 8432 01579 0105 +174 +159 183038 038 019 002 00
021400 1608N 05333W 8430 01580 0107 +170 +159 183038 039 019 001 00
021430 1610N 05331W 8431 01578 0101 +180 +158 181040 040 017 001 00
021500 1611N 05329W 8430 01581 0100 +186 +157 177038 038 019 001 00
021530 1613N 05328W 8432 01581 0109 +174 +158 178037 037 019 002 03
021600 1615N 05327W 8427 01590 0113 +170 +159 175033 035 022 003 00
021630 1616N 05325W 8430 01584 0114 +167 +159 170031 033 025 002 00
021700 1618N 05324W 8426 01589 0116 +167 +158 175032 034 023 002 00
021730 1620N 05322W 8432 01585 0122 +158 +155 174036 037 025 001 00
021800 1621N 05321W 8430 01588 0117 +168 +151 172036 037 022 003 00
$$
;

[tobol.7uno]

[wxman57]

RRRRRIIIIIIIIPPPPPP! Torn apart by shear right after recon left.

[tobol.7uno]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240233
AF304 0216A OPHELIA HDOB 31 20110924
021830 1623N 05319W 8431 01585 0115 +173 +148 170033 034 023 004 00
021900 1624N 05318W 8428 01589 0123 +160 +146 170034 035 025 001 03
021930 1626N 05316W 8432 01583 0120 +165 +145 175032 033 023 001 00
022000 1628N 05315W 8430 01587 0119 +167 +143 173028 030 021 001 03
022030 1629N 05313W 8432 01587 0119 +166 +142 180029 030 022 001 00
022100 1631N 05312W 8430 01588 0119 +169 +144 179030 031 024 001 00
022130 1632N 05310W 8428 01592 0119 +172 +146 175032 032 022 002 00
022200 1634N 05309W 8429 01592 0120 +170 +148 175032 032 019 003 00
022230 1636N 05307W 8430 01591 0121 +170 +150 177033 034 020 001 00
022300 1637N 05306W 8429 01593 0127 +161 +152 171033 035 020 004 03
022330 1639N 05305W 8429 01595 0128 +162 +153 164033 035 025 001 00
022400 1640N 05303W 8432 01591 0126 +167 +152 170032 032 019 002 00
022430 1642N 05302W 8432 01595 0128 +167 +151 170033 034 021 001 03
022500 1644N 05300W 8433 01592 0128 +167 +151 164035 036 023 002 00
022530 1645N 05259W 8429 01596 0122 +176 +151 166034 034 023 000 00
022600 1647N 05257W 8425 01601 0122 +177 +152 167034 034 022 000 00
022630 1648N 05256W 8430 01596 0126 +169 +154 165035 036 023 001 00
022700 1650N 05254W 8430 01596 0128 +168 +155 161036 037 023 001 00
022730 1652N 05253W 8430 01596 0126 +171 +156 164036 036 024 001 00
022800 1653N 05251W 8429 01596 0125 +170 +157 168037 039 025 001 00
$$
;

[tobol.7uno]

[tobol.7uno]

RRRRRIIIIIIIIPPPPPP! Torn apart by shear right after recon left.

Recon is still there. It was at the center though at the time of peak convection, they are going to get a false impression of the intensity.

[CrazyC83]

The official forecast keeps the intensity for 5 days with fluctuations likely. It seems they are just going to sit back, relax and let Ophelia take control.

[tobol.7uno]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240310
AF304 0216A OPHELIA HDOB 35 20110924
025830 1749N 05341W 8440 01586 0136 +158 //// 108039 040 039 006 01
025900 1749N 05343W 8424 01604 0134 +150 //// 110042 044 038 005 01
025930 1749N 05345W 8425 01599 0133 +152 //// 102040 042 037 003 01
030000 1749N 05347W 8437 01589 0129 +165 //// 104039 040 034 004 01
030030 1749N 05349W 8430 01597 0128 +165 //// 105037 038 035 002 01
030100 1749N 05351W 8425 01601 0129 +163 //// 107037 038 033 003 01
030130 1749N 05353W 8428 01597 0126 +164 //// 113040 041 035 001 01
030200 1749N 05355W 8429 01592 0125 +163 //// 110040 041 037 001 01
030230 1749N 05357W 8434 01589 //// +162 //// 110043 044 034 002 01
030300 1749N 05359W 8431 01598 //// +160 //// 110043 043 034 003 01
030330 1749N 05401W 8431 01595 //// +165 //// 113044 045 035 002 01
030400 1749N 05403W 8430 01599 //// +163 //// 111043 043 037 001 01
030430 1749N 05406W 8430 01597 0124 +172 //// 107042 042 037 003 01
030500 1749N 05408W 8428 01595 0121 +171 //// 103042 044 036 001 01
030530 1749N 05410W 8426 01601 //// +170 //// 100044 044 036 002 01
030600 1749N 05413W 8431 01596 //// +170 //// 100046 047 036 002 01
030630 1749N 05415W 8430 01599 //// +172 //// 098044 045 036 002 01
030700 1749N 05418W 8427 01601 //// +172 //// 097044 045 037 002 01
030730 1749N 05420W 8430 01598 //// +171 //// 094041 042 034 003 01
030800 1749N 05423W 8428 01599 //// +171 //// 090040 041 035 002 01
$$
;

[tobol.7uno]

[tobol.7uno]

33 Came in...
000
URNT15 KNHC 240317
AF304 0216A OPHELIA HDOB 33 20110924
023830 1726N 05229W 8428 01602 0147 +147 +130 151035 036 026 004 00
023900 1727N 05231W 8429 01600 0146 +147 +127 146035 037 024 005 00
023930 1728N 05232W 8433 01596 0142 +154 +131 148036 037 024 004 00
024000 1729N 05234W 8429 01598 0148 +141 +140 144037 037 026 007 00
024030 1731N 05235W 8435 01594 0139 +156 +149 144036 038 027 005 00
024100 1732N 05237W 8426 01602 0136 +158 +155 141038 038 029 003 03
024130 1733N 05238W 8431 01599 0133 +161 +159 138038 039 030 003 00
024200 1735N 05240W 8429 01598 0133 +160 //// 139039 040 029 003 01
024230 1736N 05241W 8430 01598 0135 +160 //// 136039 039 031 003 01
024300 1737N 05243W 8429 01598 0135 +159 //// 130040 041 034 004 01
024330 1739N 05244W 8429 01601 0136 +160 //// 127037 039 033 005 01
024400 1740N 05246W 8428 01604 0139 +158 //// 131036 037 034 006 01
024430 1742N 05247W 8431 01600 0135 +162 //// 133034 035 033 006 01
024500 1743N 05249W 8428 01602 0130 +169 +166 138038 039 033 004 00
024530 1744N 05251W 8434 01598 0134 +164 //// 133036 037 031 003 01
024600 1746N 05252W 8428 01602 0135 +165 //// 137038 038 032 002 01
024630 1747N 05254W 8429 01602 0130 +168 +166 137039 039 034 003 00
024700 1749N 05255W 8429 01599 0137 +163 //// 135040 040 033 003 05
024730 1749N 05257W 8431 01601 0140 +162 //// 134037 038 033 003 05
024800 1749N 05259W 8427 01604 0134 +165 +164 133034 035 035 002 00
$$
;

[tobol.7uno]

Be back in about 30 minutes.If anyone want to take over go ahead.

[tobol.7uno]

000
URNT15 KNHC 240333
AF304 0216A OPHELIA HDOB 36 20110924
030830 1749N 05425W 8430 01598 //// +173 //// 092041 041 035 002 01
030900 1749N 05427W 8432 01596 //// +172 //// 090041 041 036 001 01
030930 1749N 05430W 8430 01595 //// +174 //// 089039 039 034 002 01
031000 1749N 05432W 8433 01594 //// +172 //// 090038 038 035 001 01
031030 1749N 05435W 8429 01597 //// +172 //// 090037 038 034 001 01
031100 1749N 05437W 8428 01598 //// +170 //// 089038 038 035 001 01
031130 1748N 05439W 8433 01592 //// +171 //// 086036 037 035 001 01
031200 1748N 05442W 8429 01597 //// +171 //// 083036 036 034 002 01
031230 1748N 05444W 8429 01597 //// +165 //// 081037 037 034 001 01
031300 1748N 05447W 8431 01593 //// +165 //// 079038 039 034 002 01
031330 1748N 05449W 8428 01598 //// +165 //// 077039 040 035 001 01
031400 1748N 05451W 8429 01597 //// +165 //// 075039 039 035 002 01
031430 1748N 05454W 8430 01597 0128 +168 //// 070039 039 034 002 01
031500 1748N 05456W 8419 01606 0128 +166 //// 070038 038 033 001 01
031530 1748N 05458W 8154 01882 //// +154 //// 069030 034 034 002 05
031600 1748N 05500W 7611 02471 //// +129 //// 063018 019 /// /// 05
031630 1748N 05502W 7160 02978 //// +102 //// 077008 010 /// /// 05
031700 1748N 05504W 6787 03434 //// +088 //// 120011 012 /// /// 05
031730 1748N 05506W 6471 03831 //// +064 //// 141011 011 /// /// 05
031800 1748N 05508W 6212 04170 //// +038 //// 106010 012 /// /// 05
$$
;

[tobol.7uno]

[wxman57]

Discussion said the plane wasn't able to find any TS winds. Looks like there might be a tiny area of 34kt winds to the NE, possibly, but that may be a stretch.

[tobol.7uno]

Latest microwave pass is overall not too bad.

[tobol.7uno]

Discussion said the plane wasn't able to find any TS winds. Looks like there might be a tiny area of 34kt winds to the NE, possibly, but that may be a stretch.

Found flight level winds barely to TS force, the highest ones were less than 50 mph. Highest SFMR winds were 39.1 mph. Yet NHC held at 50mph at 11pm.

[Gustywind]

000
WTNT31 KNHC 240847
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
500 AM AST SAT SEP 24 2011

...OPHELIA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 55.2W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

[Gustywind]

TS Ophelia east of the Leewards.