ATL: OPHELIA - Remnants - Discussion

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AdamFirst
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#341 Postby AdamFirst » Wed Sep 21, 2011 4:36 pm

Chances Ophelia makes hurricane status?

Or will it have to wait beyond 60 west as it gets shunted WNW/NW?
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#342 Postby tobol.7uno » Wed Sep 21, 2011 4:57 pm

AdamFirst wrote:Chances Ophelia makes hurricane status?

Or will it have to wait beyond 60 west as it gets shunted WNW/NW?

Not likely that she will ever reach hurricane strength, but it really depends on how ragged the storm is after enduring all of the upcoming shear.
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Re: ATL: OPHELIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#343 Postby tobol.7uno » Wed Sep 21, 2011 5:01 pm

Overall structure is still the same as it was lastnight...
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#344 Postby Jevo » Wed Sep 21, 2011 5:05 pm

Back from a MRSA infection that put in in the hospital for 7 days... miss me??

:lol:

18z GFS +24

Image

18z GFS +48

Image
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#345 Postby Jevo » Wed Sep 21, 2011 5:06 pm

18z GFS +72

Image

18z GFS +96

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#346 Postby Jevo » Wed Sep 21, 2011 5:26 pm

18z GFS +120

Image

18z GFS +144

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#347 Postby Jevo » Wed Sep 21, 2011 5:30 pm

18Z gfs +168

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#348 Postby Jevo » Wed Sep 21, 2011 5:55 pm

18z GFS +192

Image

18z GFS +216

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#349 Postby Jevo » Wed Sep 21, 2011 6:07 pm

18z GFS +10 days

Image
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Re:

#350 Postby expat2carib » Wed Sep 21, 2011 6:31 pm

Jevo wrote:Back from a MRSA infection that put in in the hospital for 7 days... miss me??

:lol:

18z GFS +24

http://img716.imageshack.us/img716/5018 ... msl024.gif

18z GFS +48

http://img836.imageshack.us/img836/8942 ... sl048y.gif[


Missed you! Did you get rid of those small MRSA creeps?
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#351 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 21, 2011 7:43 pm

21/2345 UTC 13.4N 45.6W T3.0/3.0 OPHELIA
21/1745 UTC 13.6N 43.8W T2.5/2.5 OPHELIA
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Re: ATL: OPHELIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#352 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 21, 2011 7:46 pm

Pretty strong winds at bouy 41041.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41041

Continuous Winds TIME
(GMT) WDIR WSPD
2350 ENE ( 62 deg ) 35.5 kts
2340 ENE ( 58 deg ) 34.0 kts
2330 ENE ( 57 deg ) 36.5 kts
2320 ENE ( 62 deg ) 36.9 kts
2310 ENE ( 60 deg ) 37.7 kts
2300 ENE ( 59 deg ) 37.5 kts

Supplemental Measurements Lowest 1-minute Pressure
Time (GMT) Pressure
2257 29.78 in
Highest 1-minute Wind Speed
Time (GMT) WSPD WDIR
2257 42.7 kts ENE ( 60 deg true )

Peak gust during the measurement hour
TIME
(GMT) GDR GST
2322 NE ( 50 deg ) 50.5 kts
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#353 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 21, 2011 7:46 pm

TS Ophelia continuing its trip westward.

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Re: ATL: OPHELIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#354 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 21, 2011 7:48 pm

cycloneye wrote:Pretty strong winds at bouy 41041.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41041

Continuous Winds TIME
(GMT) WDIR WSPD
2350 ENE ( 62 deg ) 35.5 kts
2340 ENE ( 58 deg ) 34.0 kts
2330 ENE ( 57 deg ) 36.5 kts
2320 ENE ( 62 deg ) 36.9 kts
2310 ENE ( 60 deg ) 37.7 kts
2300 ENE ( 59 deg ) 37.5 kts

Supplemental Measurements Lowest 1-minute Pressure
Time (GMT) Pressure
2257 29.78 in
Highest 1-minute Wind Speed
Time (GMT) WSPD WDIR
2257 42.7 kts ENE ( 60 deg true )

Peak gust during the measurement hour
TIME
(GMT) GDR GST
2322 NE ( 50 deg ) 50.5 kts


:uarrow: Really strong winds there...
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#355 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 21, 2011 7:54 pm

TS Ophelia


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Re: ATL: OPHELIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#356 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 21, 2011 7:54 pm

00z Best Track

Still westbound.

AL, 16, 2011092200, , BEST, 0, 136N, 454W, 50, 1000, TS

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 011.invest
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#357 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 21, 2011 8:51 pm

Flemish cap - where the BIG fish go.

Can we add BIG to that graphic? :lol:

Wow the trough is so strong may even miss the islands. Most models are now east of the islands.
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Re: ATL: OPHELIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#358 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 21, 2011 8:55 pm

More pretty strong winds in the last hour at bouy.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41041

Continuous Winds TIME
(GMT) WDIR WSPD
0050 ENE ( 62 deg ) 35.2 kts
0040 ENE ( 62 deg ) 41.0 kts
0030 ENE ( 63 deg ) 39.8 kts
0020 ENE ( 63 deg ) 38.9 kts
0010 ENE ( 60 deg ) 35.0 kts
0000 ENE ( 66 deg ) 37.9 kts

Supplemental Measurements Highest 1-minute Wind Speed
Time (GMT) WSPD WDIR
0019 44.7 kts ENE ( 70 deg true )

Peak gust during the measurement hour
TIME
(GMT) GDR GST
0017 ENE ( 60 deg ) 52.4 kts
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Re: ATL: OPHELIA - Models

#359 Postby tobol.7uno » Wed Sep 21, 2011 9:20 pm

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Re: ATL: OPHELIA - Models

#360 Postby tobol.7uno » Wed Sep 21, 2011 9:20 pm

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